Liverpool vs Chelsea Prediction & Tips | Premier League | FootballTips.app

Liverpool

Liverpool

Home
Full Time
1 - 1
HT: 1 - 1
Saturday 9 May
Chelsea

Chelsea

Away
LiverpoolTimelineChelsea
1st Half
Gravenberch R. (Ngumoha R.)
sports_soccer
6'
Fernandez E.
sports_soccer
35'
2nd Half
James R.Out: Andrey Santos
sync_alt
63'
Isak A.Out: Ngumoha R.
sync_alt
67'
Hato J.
67'
McFarlane C.
71'
Fernandez E.
73'
Gomez J.Out: Konate I.
sync_alt
77'
Chiesa F.Out: Gakpo C.
sync_alt
77'
Cucurella M.
83'
Gomez J.
88'
Caicedo M.
89'
Mac Allister A.
90+4'

Top stats

0.55Expected goals (xG)0.49
48%Ball possession52%
8Total shots6
3Shots on target3
1Big chances1
5Corner kicks2
84% (398/473)Passes87% (446/515)
2Yellow cards4

Shots

0.55Expected goals (xG)0.49
0.52xG on target (xGOT)0.41
8Total shots6
3Shots on target3
4Shots off target2
1Blocked shots1
5Shots inside the box4
3Shots outside the box2
2Hit the woodwork0

Attack

1Big chances1
5Corner kicks2
24Touches in opposition box22
0Accurate through passes1
2Offsides2
17Free kicks17

Passes

84% (398/473)Passes87% (446/515)
31% (13/42)Long passes21% (9/42)
67% (66/98)Passes in final third67% (81/121)
38% (6/16)Crosses29% (2/7)
0.43Expected assists (xA)0.42
16Throw ins17

Defense

17Fouls17
60% (6/10)Tackles50% (10/20)
42Duels won55
10Clearances14
6Interceptions10
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

2Goalkeeper saves2
0.41xGOT faced0.52
-0.59Goals prevented-0.48
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.87
X4.13
23.97

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: High (9/10)
92
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #4 vs Away #9
Season: Home 1.66 PPG vs Away 1.37 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.80 PPG vs Away 0.00 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.88 GPG vs Away 1.76 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

71%
16%
13%
Liverpool
Draw
Chelsea

Match Preview

Liverpool's three-match winning run came to an end at rivals Manchester United on Sunday, but they're still just four points away from securing their place in the Champions League.

The Reds have lost just one Premier League home game against Chelsea since November 2014.

Chelsea are in full blown crisis right now after suffering a sixth consecutive top-flight defeat against Nottingham Forest to leave them ninth in the table, just a point above 12th-place Sunderland.

The Blues are searching for their first league double over Liverpool for 12 years.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Liverpool

Starting 11
-Freddie Woodman
GK6.58
-Milos Kerkez
DL6.59
-Virgil van Dijk
DC7.04
-Ibrahima Konaté
DC6.98
-Curtis Jones
DR6.46
-Ryan Gravenberch
DMC6.92
-Alexis Mac Allister
DMC6.59
-Florian Wirtz
AML6.85
-Dominik Szoboszlai
AMC7.14
-Jeremie Frimpong
AMR6.48
-Cody Gakpo
FW6.96

Chelsea

Starting 11
-Filip Jörgensen
GK6.56
-Marc Cucurella
DL6.78
-Tosin Adarabioyo
DC6.58
-Trevoh Chalobah
DC6.89
-Malo Gusto
DR6.58
-Moisés Caicedo
DMC6.81
-Roméo Lavia
DMC6.14
-Pedro Neto
AML6.74
-Enzo Fernández
AMC6.93
-Cole Palmer
AMR6.74
-João Pedro
FW7.08
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 35 matches
LiverpoolvsChelsea

radarTeam Profile

Liverpool
Chelsea
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
60Attack54
shield
41Defense51
swap_horiz
73Possession72
gps_fixed
57Efficiency64
auto_fix_high
52Creativity46
gavel
64Discipline34

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

59Goals Scored54
47Goals Conceded48
10Clean Sheets9
92Big Chances98
59Big Chances Missed54
1Penalty Goals7

gps_fixedShooting

541Total Shots486
159Shots on Target156

swap_horizPassing & Possession

59.6%Avg Possession58.3%
18,764Total Passes19,136
85.7%Pass Accuracy87.4%

shieldDefending

460Tackles546
243Interceptions338
92Saves97
50.9%Duels Won50.7%

gavelDiscipline

348Fouls380
52Yellow Cards82
1Red Cards7
70Offsides54

analyticsOther

204Corners219
282Successful Dribbles252
5Errors Leading to Goal8
6.87Avg Rating6.86

Statistical Comparison

LiverpoolMetricChelsea
57
Goals
53
40
Assists
36
6.6
Average Ratings
6.5
26
Average Age
24.7
184.9
Average Height (cm)
183
1
Shots pg
1
54%
Aerial Duel Success
51%
0.6
Dribbles pg
0.5
1.2
Tackles pg
1.2

history Recent Form

LiverpoolLiverpool
1.7 GPG
L
W
W
W
L
ChelseaChelsea
1.4 GPG
L
L
L
L
L

group Head to Head

PL4 Oct 2025
Chelsea
2-1
Liverpool
PL4 May 2025
Chelsea
3-1
Liverpool
PL20 Oct 2024
Liverpool
2-1
Chelsea
PL25 Feb 2024
Chelsea
0-1
Liverpool
PL31 Jan 2024
Liverpool
4-1
Chelsea
35%
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
75%
36 / 48 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
35%
17 / 48 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
17%
8 / 48 matches
Both Teams to Score
56%
27 / 48 matches
Liverpool CS
27%
Clean Sheets
Chelsea CS
27%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

4 Oct 2025
Chelsea
2 - 1
Liverpool
4 May 2025
Chelsea
3 - 1
Liverpool
20 Oct 2024
Liverpool
2 - 1
Chelsea
25 Feb 2024
Chelsea
0 - 1
Liverpool
31 Jan 2024
Liverpool
4 - 1
Chelsea
13 Aug 2023
Chelsea
1 - 1
Liverpool
4 Apr 2023
Chelsea
0 - 0
Liverpool
21 Jan 2023
Liverpool
0 - 0
Chelsea
14 May 2022
Chelsea
0 - 0
Liverpool
27 Feb 2022
Chelsea
0 - 0
Liverpool
2 Jan 2022
Chelsea
2 - 2
Liverpool
28 Aug 2021
Liverpool
1 - 1
Chelsea

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Liverpool
1.66
Form (Overall)
Chelsea
1.37

Liverpool is +21% better in terms of Points Per Game

Manchester United
3 - 2
Liverpool
Liverpool
3 - 1
Crystal Palace
Everton
1 - 2
Liverpool
Liverpool
2 - 0
Fulham
Brighton & Hove Albion
2 - 1
Liverpool
Chelsea
1 - 3
Nottingham Forest
Brighton & Hove Albion
3 - 0
Chelsea
Chelsea
0 - 1
Manchester United
Chelsea
0 - 3
Manchester City
Everton
3 - 0
Chelsea

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