Livingston vs Aberdeen Prediction & Tips | Premiership - Relegation Group | FootballTips.app

Livingston

Livingston

Home
Full Time
2 - 2
HT: 0 - 1
Friday 1 May
Aberdeen

Aberdeen

Away
LivingstonTimelineAberdeen
1st Half
Frame M. (Geiger D.)
sports_soccer
24'
2nd Half
Pittman S.Out: May S.
sync_alt
46'
Tait M.Out: Wilson D.
sync_alt
46'
McKay B.Out: Arfield S.
sync_alt
46'
Nouble J.
sports_soccer
47'
Fati B.Out: Montano C.
sync_alt
59'
Knoester M.Out: Milne J.
sync_alt
66'
Fati B.
70'
Finlayson D.
sports_soccer
71'
Muirhead R.Out: Nouble J.
sync_alt
73'
Keskinen T.Out: Geiger D.
sync_alt
74'
Palaversa A.Out: Olusanya T.
sync_alt
74'
Muirhead R.
sports_soccer
78'
Finlayson D.
81'
Bwomono E.Out: Frame M.
sync_alt
84'
Milanovic N.Out: Jensen A.
sync_alt
84'
Tait M.
90'
Keskinen T.
90+6'

Top stats

1.56Expected goals (xG)0.74
50%Ball possession50%
16Total shots7
5Shots on target2
1Big chances0
6Corner kicks3
75% (308/410)Passes73% (304/418)
3Yellow cards1

Shots

1.56Expected goals (xG)0.74
2.11xG on target (xGOT)0.39
16Total shots7
5Shots on target2
6Shots off target3
5Blocked shots2
11Shots inside the box5
5Shots outside the box2
1Hit the woodwork0

Attack

1Big chances0
6Corner kicks3
27Touches in opposition box21
0Accurate through passes0
2Offsides3
15Free kicks10

Passes

75% (308/410)Passes73% (304/418)
43% (26/61)Long passes33% (21/63)
59% (66/111)Passes in final third56% (74/132)
35% (6/17)Crosses18% (4/22)
0.69Expected assists (xA)0.62
15Throw ins14

Defense

10Fouls15
100% (9/9)Tackles54% (7/13)
68Duels won44
24Clearances27
8Interceptions13
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

1Goalkeeper saves3
0.39xGOT faced2.11
-0.61Goals prevented0.11
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified High Confidence
12.88
X3.36
22.38

Recommended Bet

Away Win
Stake: Medium (7/10)
73
Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 0.56 PPG vs Away 1.06 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.20 PPG vs Away 1.75 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.31 GPG vs Away 0.47 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.88 conc vs Away 1.59 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

28%
27%
45%
Livingston
Draw
Aberdeen

Match Preview

Livingston kept their slim hopes of Scottish Premiership survival alive, as Aberdeen essentially secured their safety with both teams winning in the Scottish Premiership last weekend.

Livingston clinched just a second Scottish Premiership victory of the season, as the Lions beat St Mirren in Paisley ending a long wait for a league win both this season and away to Saints. Livi won their first ever Premiership visit to the Buddies in August 2018, and ended a 10 visit wait (D4 L6) at the weekend to keep their top tier status hanging by a thread ahead of Friday night's game against Aberdeen.

Aberdeen's strong recent record against Kilmarnock at Pittodrie continued, as the Dons' sole goal success was their ninth win in the past 10 times that Killie have came up north to take them on in the Scottish Premiership. Eight points clear of the relegation playoff place, the Reds can begin to plan for next season as a top tier team and rectify what has been an incredibly underwhelming 2025/26 campaign.

Despite these two teams playing out a goalless draw in West Lothian back in September, Aberdeen have won their last two league games against Livingston so could clinch a third in a row on Friday night.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Livingston

Starting 11
-Jérôme Prior
GK
-Ryan McGowan
DC
-Danny Wilson
DC
-Brooklyn Kabongolo
DC
-Cristian Montaño
DML
-Mohamad Sylla
MC
-Scott Arfield
MC
-Daniel Finlayson
DMR
-Lewis Smith
FWL
-Joel Nouble
FW
-Stevie May
FWR

Aberdeen

Starting 11
-Dimitar Mitov
GK
-Gavin Molloy
DC
-Liam Morrison
DC
-Jack Milne
DC
-Mitchel Frame
ML
-Stuart Armstrong
MC
-Afeez Aremu
MC
-Alexander Jensen
MR
-Lyall Cameron
AMC
-Kevin Nisbet
FW
-Toyosi Olusanya
FW
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 34 matches
LivingstonvsAberdeen

radarTeam Profile

Livingston
Aberdeen
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
20Attack25
shield
34Defense48
swap_horiz
30Possession44
gps_fixed
71Efficiency49
auto_fix_high
19Creativity20
gavel
30Discipline22

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

37Goals Scored34
66Goals Conceded48
3Clean Sheets9
47Big Chances63
22Big Chances Missed42
5Penalty Goals4

gps_fixedShooting

324Total Shots389
111Shots on Target119

swap_horizPassing & Possession

43.9%Avg Possession47.8%
12,168Total Passes13,276
74.3%Pass Accuracy77.5%

shieldDefending

577Tackles535
309Interceptions273
106Saves112
49.5%Duels Won47.7%

gavelDiscipline

459Fouls492
82Yellow Cards85
4Red Cards5
51Offsides62

analyticsOther

152Corners163
206Successful Dribbles255
8Errors Leading to Goal8
6.70Avg Rating6.70

Statistical Comparison

LivingstonMetricAberdeen
1
Goals
1
30.9
Average Age
25.7
185.4
Average Height (cm)
182.4

history Recent Form

LivingstonLivingston
0.6 GPG
W
L
D
L
D
AberdeenAberdeen
1.1 GPG
W
W
L
L
D

group Head to Head

PL24 Jan 2026
Aberdeen
6-2
Livingston
PL30 Nov 2025
Livingston
0-1
Aberdeen
PL13 Sept 2025
Aberdeen
0-0
Livingston
PL15 May 2024
Aberdeen
5-1
Livingston
PL6 Apr 2024
Livingston
0-0
Aberdeen
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
76%
19 / 25 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
15 / 25 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
6 / 25 matches
Both Teams to Score
56%
14 / 25 matches
Livingston CS
20%
Clean Sheets
Aberdeen CS
40%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

24 Jan 2026
Aberdeen
6 - 2
Livingston
30 Nov 2025
Livingston
0 - 1
Aberdeen
13 Sept 2025
Aberdeen
0 - 0
Livingston
15 May 2024
Aberdeen
5 - 1
Livingston
6 Apr 2024
Livingston
0 - 0
Aberdeen
20 Dec 2023
Aberdeen
2 - 1
Livingston
5 Aug 2023
Livingston
0 - 0
Aberdeen
25 Feb 2023
Aberdeen
1 - 0
Livingston
8 Nov 2022
Livingston
2 - 1
Aberdeen
27 Aug 2022
Aberdeen
5 - 0
Livingston
23 Apr 2022
Aberdeen
1 - 2
Livingston
5 Feb 2022
Livingston
2 - 1
Aberdeen

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Livingston
0.56
Form (Overall)
Aberdeen
1.06

Aberdeen is +89% better in terms of Points Per Game

St. Mirren
0 - 2
Livingston
Dundee United
3 - 2
Livingston
Livingston
2 - 2
Hearts
Kilmarnock
2 - 0
Livingston
Hibernian
0 - 0
Livingston
Aberdeen
1 - 0
Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
2 - 0
Hibernian
St. Mirren
2 - 0
Aberdeen
Rangers
4 - 1
Aberdeen
Aberdeen
1 - 1
Falkirk

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