Livingston vs Kilmarnock Prediction & Tips | Premiership - Relegation Group | FootballTips.app

Livingston

Livingston

Home
Full Time
1 - 4
HT: 1 - 2
Sunday 17 May
Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock

Away
LivingstonTimelineKilmarnock
1st Half
May S. (McKay B.)
sports_soccer
19'
Hugill J. (Thompson D.)
sports_soccer
24'
Danso E.
31'
Clescenco N.Assist: Kiltie G.
sports_soccer
34'
Thompson D.
38'
2nd Half
Lyons B.Out: Schjonning-Larsen M.
sync_alt
46'
Curtis F. (Thompson D.)
sports_soccer
53'
Nouble J.Out: Muirhead R.
sync_alt
56'
Denholm A.Out: Danso E.
sync_alt
56'
Zimmerman J.Out: McKay B.
sync_alt
56'
Hugill J. (Deas R.)
sports_soccer
58'
Thomson J.Out: Tshibola A.
sync_alt
62'
Schilte-Brown E.Out: Stanger G.
sync_alt
62'
Watson D.Out: Clescenco N.
sync_alt
66'
Culbert S.Out: Smith L.
sync_alt
66'
Lyons B.
70'
Bowie E.Out: Thompson D.
sync_alt
84'
Fati B.Out: Tait M.
sync_alt
85'

Top stats

0.70Expected goals (xG)2.08
52%Ball possession48%
9Total shots14
4Shots on target4
3Big chances3
6Corner kicks1
88% (483/546)Passes91% (471/516)
1Yellow cards2

Shots

0.70Expected goals (xG)2.08
1.59xG on target (xGOT)1.92
9Total shots14
4Shots on target4
3Shots off target6
2Blocked shots4
7Shots inside the box8
2Shots outside the box6
0Hit the woodwork0

Attack

3Big chances3
6Corner kicks1
27Touches in opposition box35
0Accurate through passes0
1Offsides2
10Free kicks10

Passes

88% (483/546)Passes91% (471/516)
67% (41/61)Long passes72% (28/39)
75% (98/130)Passes in final third85% (133/156)
22% (4/18)Crosses14% (1/7)
0.77Expected assists (xA)1.24
14Throw ins10

Defense

10Fouls10
54% (7/13)Tackles76% (13/17)
39Duels won37
11Clearances25
6Interceptions9
0Errors leading to shot0
1Errors leading to goal1

Goalkeeping

0Goalkeeper saves3
1.92xGOT faced1.59
-2.08Goals prevented0.59
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
12.87
X3.56
22.29

Recommended Bet

Away Win
Stake: Medium (7/10)
69
Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 0.57 PPG vs Away 1.00 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.95 PPG vs Away 2.35 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.35 GPG vs Away 1.00 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.88 conc vs Away 2.17 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

24%
27%
49%
Livingston
Draw
Kilmarnock

Match Preview

Both Livingston and Kilmarnock know which divisions they'll be playing their football in next season, after the midweek matches secured Killie's top tier status with Livi returning to the Scottish Championship.

Livingston avoided losing to Dundee United on a third successive occasion in the top flight for the first time ever, as they and the Terrors played out a goalless game in their midweek meeting on Tuesday night. The Lions haven't won their final away match in any of their past 11 top flight seasons (D3 L8) since a 3-2 victory at Tynecastle over Hearts back in 2001/02, but haven't won at home since 9th August 2025 (3-1 vs Falkirk).

Kilmarnock secured their Scottish Premiership safety on Tuesday night, by defeating Dundee 3-1 at Rugby Park, and extended their unbeaten league record against the Dee in Ayrshire as they've now gone nine games without defeat against the Dark Blues (W4 D5) since May 2017. Having previously got over their away day hoodoo in Paisley, it's Killie's home form that has kept them up having won six of their last eight (D1 L1).

Two of the previous three meetings between Livingston and Kilmarnock have ended in draws so, with both sides now essentially on the beach, a third from four wouldn't be particularly surprising.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Livingston

Starting 11
-Jérôme Prior
GK
-Cristian Montaño
DL
-Brooklyn Kabongolo
DC
-Daniel Finlayson
DC
-Cammy Kerr
DR
-Emmanuel Danso
DMC
-Macaulay Tait
DMC
-Stevie May
AML
-Scott Pittman
AMC
-Lewis Smith
AMR
-Joel Nouble
FW

Kilmarnock

Starting 11
-Max Stryjek
GK
-Dominic Thompson
DL
-Robbie Deas
DC
-George Stanger
DC
-Michael Schjønning-Larsen
DR
-Aaron Tshibola
DMC
-Tom Lowery
DMC
-Bruce Anderson
AML
-Greg Kiltie
AMC
-Findlay Curtis
AMR
-Joe Hugill
FW
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 37 matches
LivingstonvsKilmarnock

radarTeam Profile

Livingston
Kilmarnock
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
20Attack32
shield
34Defense41
swap_horiz
32Possession24
gps_fixed
66Efficiency64
auto_fix_high
18Creativity21
gavel
31Discipline32

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

39Goals Scored46
71Goals Conceded67
4Clean Sheets9
52Big Chances76
26Big Chances Missed48
5Penalty Goals1

gps_fixedShooting

364Total Shots419
122Shots on Target146

swap_horizPassing & Possession

44.6%Avg Possession42.2%
13,539Total Passes12,700
74.8%Pass Accuracy73.6%

shieldDefending

610Tackles560
328Interceptions298
113Saves131
49.6%Duels Won48.6%

gavelDiscipline

486Fouls491
90Yellow Cards83
4Red Cards5
54Offsides66

analyticsOther

171Corners163
224Successful Dribbles187
8Errors Leading to Goal4
6.70Avg Rating6.76

Statistical Comparison

LivingstonMetricKilmarnock
3
Goals
8
28.1
Average Age
26
182
Average Height (cm)
182.1

history Recent Form

LivingstonLivingston
0.6 GPG
D
L
D
W
L
KilmarnockKilmarnock
1.0 GPG
W
W
W
L
D

group Head to Head

PL21 Mar 2026
Kilmarnock
2-0
Livingston
PL10 Jan 2026
Livingston
1-1
Kilmarnock
PL2 Aug 2025
Kilmarnock
2-2
Livingston
PL16 Jul 2025
Kilmarnock
1-0
Livingston
PL7 Feb 2024
Kilmarnock
1-0
Livingston
42%
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
68%
13 / 19 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
8 / 19 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
5 / 19 matches
Both Teams to Score
42%
8 / 19 matches
Livingston CS
32%
Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock CS
37%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

21 Mar 2026
Kilmarnock
2 - 0
Livingston
10 Jan 2026
Livingston
1 - 1
Kilmarnock
2 Aug 2025
Kilmarnock
2 - 2
Livingston
16 Jul 2025
Kilmarnock
1 - 0
Livingston
7 Feb 2024
Kilmarnock
1 - 0
Livingston
16 Dec 2023
Livingston
0 - 0
Kilmarnock
21 Oct 2023
Kilmarnock
3 - 1
Livingston
13 May 2023
Kilmarnock
2 - 0
Livingston
4 Feb 2023
Livingston
3 - 1
Kilmarnock
4 Nov 2022
Kilmarnock
2 - 3
Livingston
17 Sept 2022
Livingston
1 - 0
Kilmarnock
27 Jan 2021
Livingston
2 - 0
Kilmarnock

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Livingston
0.57
Form (Overall)
Kilmarnock
1.00

Kilmarnock is +75% better in terms of Points Per Game

Dundee United
0 - 0
Livingston
Dundee
3 - 0
Livingston
Livingston
2 - 2
Aberdeen
St. Mirren
0 - 2
Livingston
Dundee United
3 - 2
Livingston
Kilmarnock
3 - 1
Dundee
St. Mirren
0 - 3
Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
3 - 0
Dundee United
Aberdeen
1 - 0
Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
2 - 2
Dundee

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