Livingston vs St. Mirren Prediction & Tips | Premiership

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Livingston

Home

Full Time

1 - 1

HT: 0 - 1

Saturday 28 February

St. Mirren

Away

LivingstonTimelineSt. Mirren

1st Half

N'Lundulu D. (Mandron M.)

sports_soccer

44'

2nd Half

Danso E.

55'

Bokila J.Out: Danso E.

sync_alt

60'

McKay B.Out: Smith L.

sync_alt

60'

Nouble J.Out: Muirhead R.

sync_alt

69'

Kabongolo B. (McKay B.)

sports_soccer

76'

Donnelly L.Out: Baccus K.

sync_alt

82'

Idowu R.Out: N'Lundulu D.

sync_alt

82'

Fraser M.

84'

Sylla M.Out: Pittman S.

sync_alt

86'

Young J.Out: Phillips K.

sync_alt

90+3'

King R.Out: Richardson J.

sync_alt

90+3'

Etete K.Out: Mandron M.

sync_alt

90+5'

Mandron M.

90+6'

Top stats

0.75Expected goals (xG)1.07

50%Ball possession50%

10Total shots12

3Shots on target2

2Big chances3

7Corner kicks2

73% (283/389)Passes69% (266/385)

1Yellow cards2

Shots

0.75Expected goals (xG)1.07

1.09xG on target (xGOT)0.89

10Total shots12

3Shots on target2

6Shots off target6

1Blocked shots4

9Shots inside the box7

1Shots outside the box5

0Hit the woodwork1

1Headed goals1

Attack

2Big chances3

7Corner kicks2

21Touches in opposition box25

0Accurate through passes0

2Offsides1

17Free kicks11

Passes

73% (283/389)Passes69% (266/385)

39% (29/74)Long passes32% (26/82)

48% (48/101)Passes in final third57% (78/137)

26% (7/27)Crosses23% (6/26)

0.39Expected assists (xA)1.32

22Throw ins20

Defense

11Fouls17

44% (4/9)Tackles69% (9/13)

62Duels won60

31Clearances39

7Interceptions10

1Errors leading to shot1

0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

1Goalkeeper saves2

0.89xGOT faced1.09

-0.11Goals prevented0.09

auto_awesome

AI Prediction

verified Very High Confidence

13.23

X3.36

22.18

Recommended Bet

Home Win

Stake: Medium (8/10)

Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #12 vs Away #10

Season: Home 0.46 PPG vs Away 0.85 PPG

Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.55 PPG vs Away 0.55 PPG

Goals (venue): Home 1.29 GPG vs Away 1.00 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

43%

31%

26%

Livingston

Draw

St. Mirren

Match Preview

On February 28th, 2026, Livingston will host St Mirren at the Home of the Set Fare Arena in a Scottish Premiership clash.

The 12th-placed Livingston will take on 10th-placed St Mirren as both teams look to secure vital points in the league.

Livingston has accumulated 13 points so far this season but has faced challenges, losing 4 of their last 6 matches in the Premiership.

On the other hand, St Mirren sits on 23 points, with 14 losses in 27 league fixtures.

In terms of their head-to-head encounters, Livingston has suffered defeats in 50 percent of their last 6 matches against St Mirren in the Premiership.

Both teams will be aiming to improve their performances in this fixture, which is poised to be closely contested.

Our model prediction suggests a draw between Livingston and St Mirren, with a 37% probability.

Livingston and St Mirren meet for the third time in the Scottish Premiership, and fourth occasion in all competitions, this season with ten points separating the two teams in the current standings.

Livingston had lost 21 of their previous 23 meetings (D2) with Rangers in all competitions, since a sole goal success in September 2018, before they blew a two-goal lead against the Gers as they missed out on two potentially pivotal points. The last team to go longer than Livi (13) without a home win in a Scottish Premiership season was St Mirren from August 2014 to February 2015 (14).

St Mirren have won just one of their last 12 Scottish Premiership home matches against Motherwell (D5 L6), after they were smashed by the Steelmen 5-0 in Paisley last Saturday night. The Buddies are without a win in eight against the Well, and three successive league defeats isn't ideal preparation as they head to a venue where they haven't won in 90 minutes since October 2021.

St Mirren's defensive fragility was exposed in their last league match, and Livingston will hope to take advantage of that to record a first home victory since 9th August 2025.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Livingston

Starting 11

-Jérôme Prior

GK6.46

-Danny Wilson

DC6.48

-Ryan McGowan

DC6.54

-Brooklyn Kabongolo

DC6.87

-Babacar Fati

DML6.27

-Scott Pittman

MC6.47

-Macaulay Tait

MC6.22

-Emmanuel Danso

MC6.41

-Daniel Finlayson

DMR6.76

-Robbie Muirhead

FW6.54

-Lewis Smith

FW6.58

St. Mirren

Starting 11

-Shamal George

GK6.48

-Miguel Freckleton

DC7.01

-Alex Gogic

DC6.61

-Marcus Fraser

DC6.55

-Declan John

DML6.68

-Mark O'Hara

MC6.37

-Jacob Devaney

MC6.25

-Killian Phillips

MC6.58

-Jayden Richardson

DMR6.29

-Mikaël Mandron

FW6.78

-Roland Idowu

FW6.24

Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 28 / 27 matches

LivingstonvsSt. Mirren

radarTeam Profile

Livingston

St. Mirren

sports_soccer

19Attack22

shield

33Defense38

swap_horiz

31Possession30

gps_fixed

73Efficiency39

auto_fix_high

18Creativity17

gavel

23Discipline33

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

30Goals Scored21

58Goals Conceded42

1Clean Sheets7

39Big Chances48

18Big Chances Missed33

5Penalty Goals1

gps_fixedShooting

265Total Shots332

94Shots on Target100

swap_horizPassing & Possession

44.2%Avg Possession44.4%

10,068Total Passes9,349

74.7%Pass Accuracy74.5%

shieldDefending

491Tackles375

244Interceptions175

89Saves83

48.7%Duels Won47.9%

gavelDiscipline

405Fouls355

75Yellow Cards57

3Red Cards4

39Offsides61

analyticsOther

126Corners159

168Successful Dribbles158

8Errors Leading to Goal6

6.68Avg Rating6.72

Statistical Comparison

LivingstonMetricSt. Mirren

Goals

Assists

6.4

Average Ratings

6.3

27.8

Average Age

26.6

183.9

Average Height (cm)

186.7

0.7

Shots pg

0.9

48%

Aerial Duel Success

49%

0.3

Dribbles pg

0.5

Tackles pg

1.1

League Standings Context

For Livingston

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	Pts
11	Kilmarnock	28	4	9	15	21
12	Livingston	28	1	10	17	13

For St. Mirren

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	Pts
9	Dundee	27	7	6	14	27
10	St Mirren	27	5	8	14	23
11	Kilmarnock	28	4	9	15	21

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

46.7/ 85.7

Dangerous Attacks

47.1/ 84.3

39.0%

Shots on Target

33.0%

10.0

Total Shots

10.9

46.0%

Possession

45.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.2

Goals Scored / Match

1.2

1.9

Goals Conceded / Match

1.4

Head-to-Head Summary

Livingston Wins

17%

Draws

50%

St. Mirren Wins

33%

Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

Market	Livingston	St. Mirren
Over 1.5 Goals	85%29/34	79%27/34
Over 2.5 Goals	62%21/34	44%15/34
Both Teams to Score	65%22/34	56%19/34

* Based on last 34 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Livingston

Home Games: Livingston

Last 6: St. Mirren

Away Games: St. Mirren

history Recent Form

Livingston

0.5 GPG

St. Mirren

0.8 GPG

group Head to Head

PL20 Jan 2026

1-1

PL17 Jan 2026

1-1

PL20 Dec 2025

1-0

PL17 Feb 2024

1-0

PL25 Nov 2023

1-0

37%

Over 2.5 Goals

60%

Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals

66%

23 / 35 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

37%

13 / 35 matches

Over 3.5 Goals

26%

9 / 35 matches

Both Teams to Score

60%

21 / 35 matches

Livingston CS

17%

Clean Sheets

St. Mirren CS

29%

Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

20 Jan 2026

Livingston

1 - 1

St. Mirren

17 Jan 2026

Livingston

1 - 1

St. Mirren

20 Dec 2025

St. Mirren

1 - 0

Livingston

17 Feb 2024

Livingston

1 - 0

St. Mirren

25 Nov 2023

St. Mirren

1 - 0

Livingston

2 Sept 2023

Livingston

1 - 1

St. Mirren

1 Apr 2023

St. Mirren

3 - 0

Livingston

28 Dec 2022

Livingston

1 - 1

St. Mirren

1 Oct 2022

St. Mirren

2 - 1

Livingston

11 May 2022

St. Mirren

0 - 0

Livingston

19 Feb 2022

Livingston

1 - 1

St. Mirren

20 Nov 2021

St. Mirren

1 - 1

Livingston

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)

0.46

Form (Overall)

0.85

St. Mirren is +85% better in terms of Points Per Game

Livingston

2 - 2

Rangers

Dundee

2 - 2

Livingston

Celtic

2 - 1

Livingston

1 - 2

Falkirk

Livingston

0 - 2

Motherwell

St. Mirren

0 - 5

Motherwell

Hibernian

2 - 0

St. Mirren

Kilmarnock

4 - 3

St. Mirren

1 - 0

Hearts