Luton vs Exeter Prediction & Tips | League One | FootballTips.app

Luton
HomeFull Time
3 - 2
HT: 3 - 1
Tuesday 17 March

Exeter
AwayLutonTimelineExeter
1st Half
Palmer K. (Walsh L.)
sports_soccer
13'
Cole R.
sports_soccer
25'
Clark J.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
29'
Cole R.
45+4'
Odoffin H.Assist: Saville G.
sports_soccer
45+5'
2nd Half
Niskanen I. (Tuterov T.)
sports_soccer
49'
Wareham J.Out: Magennis J.
sync_alt
55'
Andrew D.Out: Yfeko J.
sync_alt
55'
Higgins A.Out: Cole R.
sync_alt
65'
Lawrence E.
72'
Adebayo E.Out: Cole D.
sync_alt
75'
Richards J.Out: Palmer K.
sync_alt
75'
McDonald K.Out: Brierley E.
sync_alt
80'
Cox S.Out: Tuterov T.
sync_alt
80'
McMillan J.
82'
van den Berg D.Out: Clark J.
sync_alt
90+2'
Sandal S.Out: Saville G.
sync_alt
90+5'
Top stats
2.73Expected goals (xG)1.93
46%Ball possession54%
16Total shots8
7Shots on target3
4Big chances4
7Corner kicks2
79% (302/383)Passes81% (362/449)
1Yellow cards2
Shots
2.73Expected goals (xG)1.93
3.10xG on target (xGOT)1.49
16Total shots8
7Shots on target3
6Shots off target3
3Blocked shots2
14Shots inside the box6
2Shots outside the box2
1Hit the woodwork1
1Headed goals0
Attack
4Big chances4
7Corner kicks2
26Touches in opposition box27
1Accurate through passes0
1Offsides0
12Free kicks13
Passes
79% (302/383)Passes81% (362/449)
40% (23/57)Long passes45% (39/86)
61% (84/137)Passes in final third72% (115/159)
17% (3/18)Crosses17% (4/23)
1.67Expected assists (xA)1.89
21Throw ins17
Defense
13Fouls12
56% (5/9)Tackles65% (13/20)
47Duels won56
30Clearances31
10Interceptions9
0Errors leading to shot1
0Errors leading to goal0
Goalkeeping
1Goalkeeper saves4
1.49xGOT faced3.10
-0.51Goals prevented0.10
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.65
X3.68
24.81
Recommended Bet
check_circle
Home Win
Stake: Medium (7/10)
69
Opp. Value
Key Factors
League Rank: Home #11 vs Away #18
Season: Home 1.38 PPG vs Away 1.14 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.40 PPG vs Away 0.15 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.50 GPG vs Away 0.94 GPG
donut_small Win Probabilities
74%
Luton Win
15%
Draw
12%
Exeter Win
Luton
Draw
Exeter
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 37 matchesLutonvsExeter
1.30Goals / Match1.08
1.24Conceded / Match1.27
11Clean Sheets11
3.62Shots on Target / Match3.41
56.4%Possession %51.6%
76.8%Pass Accuracy %77.2%
radarTeam Profile
Luton
Exeter
sports_soccer
35Attack24
shield
48Defense45
swap_horiz
51Possession37
gps_fixed
59Efficiency60
auto_fix_high
27Creativity18
gavel
57Discipline52
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
48Goals Scored40
46Goals Conceded47
11Clean Sheets11
66Big Chances59
37Big Chances Missed34
5Penalty Goals3
gps_fixedShooting
450Total Shots390
134Shots on Target126
swap_horizPassing & Possession
56.4%Avg Possession51.6%
15,093Total Passes15,505
76.8%Pass Accuracy77.2%
shieldDefending
562Tackles546
289Interceptions246
79Saves98
48.5%Duels Won47.6%
gavelDiscipline
438Fouls447
61Yellow Cards71
64Offsides101
analyticsOther
218Corners176
281Successful Dribbles150
13Errors Leading to Goal5
6.75Avg Rating6.76
history Recent Form
W
D
L
D
D
L
L
L
D
L
group Head to Head
PL1 Jan 2026
1-0
PL2 Dec 2025
4-0
PL26 Sept 2023
1-0
PL3 Feb 2018
1-0
PL17 Oct 2017
1-4
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
60%
6 / 10 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
5 / 10 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
50%
5 / 10 matches
Both Teams to Score
50%
5 / 10 matches
Luton CS
30%
Clean Sheets
Exeter CS
30%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
1 Jan 2026
Exeter City
1 - 0
Luton Town
2 Dec 2025
Luton Town
4 - 0
Exeter City
26 Sept 2023
Exeter City
1 - 0
Luton Town
3 Feb 2018
Luton Town
1 - 0
Exeter City
17 Oct 2017
Exeter City
1 - 4
Luton Town
18 Mar 2017
Luton Town
1 - 1
Exeter City
26 Nov 2016
Exeter City
0 - 0
Luton Town
5 Nov 2016
Exeter City
1 - 3
Luton Town
7 May 2016
Luton Town
4 - 1
Exeter City
19 Dec 2015
Exeter City
2 - 3
Luton Town
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
1.38
Form (Overall)
1.14
Luton is +21% better in terms of Points Per Game
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1 - 5
Bolton Wanderers
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