Luton vs Exeter Prediction & Tips | League One | FootballTips.app

Luton

Luton

Home
Full Time
3 - 2
HT: 3 - 1
Tuesday 17 March
Exeter

Exeter

Away
LutonTimelineExeter
1st Half
Palmer K. (Walsh L.)
sports_soccer
13'
Cole R.
sports_soccer
25'
Clark J.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
29'
Cole R.
45+4'
Odoffin H.Assist: Saville G.
sports_soccer
45+5'
2nd Half
Niskanen I. (Tuterov T.)
sports_soccer
49'
Wareham J.Out: Magennis J.
sync_alt
55'
Andrew D.Out: Yfeko J.
sync_alt
55'
Higgins A.Out: Cole R.
sync_alt
65'
Lawrence E.
72'
Adebayo E.Out: Cole D.
sync_alt
75'
Richards J.Out: Palmer K.
sync_alt
75'
McDonald K.Out: Brierley E.
sync_alt
80'
Cox S.Out: Tuterov T.
sync_alt
80'
McMillan J.
82'
van den Berg D.Out: Clark J.
sync_alt
90+2'
Sandal S.Out: Saville G.
sync_alt
90+5'

Top stats

2.73Expected goals (xG)1.93
46%Ball possession54%
16Total shots8
7Shots on target3
4Big chances4
7Corner kicks2
79% (302/383)Passes81% (362/449)
1Yellow cards2

Shots

2.73Expected goals (xG)1.93
3.10xG on target (xGOT)1.49
16Total shots8
7Shots on target3
6Shots off target3
3Blocked shots2
14Shots inside the box6
2Shots outside the box2
1Hit the woodwork1
1Headed goals0

Attack

4Big chances4
7Corner kicks2
26Touches in opposition box27
1Accurate through passes0
1Offsides0
12Free kicks13

Passes

79% (302/383)Passes81% (362/449)
40% (23/57)Long passes45% (39/86)
61% (84/137)Passes in final third72% (115/159)
17% (3/18)Crosses17% (4/23)
1.67Expected assists (xA)1.89
21Throw ins17

Defense

13Fouls12
56% (5/9)Tackles65% (13/20)
47Duels won56
30Clearances31
10Interceptions9
0Errors leading to shot1
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

1Goalkeeper saves4
1.49xGOT faced3.10
-0.51Goals prevented0.10
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.65
X3.68
24.81

Recommended Bet

check_circle
Home Win
Stake: Medium (7/10)
69
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #11 vs Away #18
Season: Home 1.38 PPG vs Away 1.14 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.40 PPG vs Away 0.15 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.50 GPG vs Away 0.94 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

74%
15%
12%
Luton
Draw
Exeter

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 37 matches
LutonvsExeter
1.30Goals / Match1.08
1.24Conceded / Match1.27
11Clean Sheets11
3.62Shots on Target / Match3.41
56.4%Possession %51.6%
76.8%Pass Accuracy %77.2%

radarTeam Profile

Luton
Exeter
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
35Attack24
shield
48Defense45
swap_horiz
51Possession37
gps_fixed
59Efficiency60
auto_fix_high
27Creativity18
gavel
57Discipline52

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

48Goals Scored40
46Goals Conceded47
11Clean Sheets11
66Big Chances59
37Big Chances Missed34
5Penalty Goals3

gps_fixedShooting

450Total Shots390
134Shots on Target126

swap_horizPassing & Possession

56.4%Avg Possession51.6%
15,093Total Passes15,505
76.8%Pass Accuracy77.2%

shieldDefending

562Tackles546
289Interceptions246
79Saves98
48.5%Duels Won47.6%

gavelDiscipline

438Fouls447
61Yellow Cards71
64Offsides101

analyticsOther

218Corners176
281Successful Dribbles150
13Errors Leading to Goal5
6.75Avg Rating6.76

history Recent Form

LutonLuton
1.4 GPG
W
D
L
D
D
ExeterExeter
1.1 GPG
L
L
L
D
L

group Head to Head

PL1 Jan 2026
Exeter City
1-0
Luton Town
PL2 Dec 2025
Luton Town
4-0
Exeter City
PL26 Sept 2023
Exeter City
1-0
Luton Town
PL3 Feb 2018
Luton Town
1-0
Exeter City
PL17 Oct 2017
Exeter City
1-4
Luton Town
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
60%
6 / 10 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
5 / 10 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
50%
5 / 10 matches
Both Teams to Score
50%
5 / 10 matches
Luton CS
30%
Clean Sheets
Exeter CS
30%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

1 Jan 2026
Exeter City
1 - 0
Luton Town
2 Dec 2025
Luton Town
4 - 0
Exeter City
26 Sept 2023
Exeter City
1 - 0
Luton Town
3 Feb 2018
Luton Town
1 - 0
Exeter City
17 Oct 2017
Exeter City
1 - 4
Luton Town
18 Mar 2017
Luton Town
1 - 1
Exeter City
26 Nov 2016
Exeter City
0 - 0
Luton Town
5 Nov 2016
Exeter City
1 - 3
Luton Town
7 May 2016
Luton Town
4 - 1
Exeter City
19 Dec 2015
Exeter City
2 - 3
Luton Town

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Luton
1.38
Form (Overall)
Exeter
1.14

Luton is +21% better in terms of Points Per Game

Wycombe Wanderers
1 - 2
Luton Town
Doncaster Rovers
1 - 1
Luton Town
Luton Town
2 - 3
Reading
Port Vale
1 - 1
Luton Town
Luton Town
1 - 1
Burton Albion
Exeter City
0 - 4
Cardiff City
Exeter City
0 - 1
Lincoln City
Barnsley
2 - 1
Exeter City
Exeter City
1 - 1
Burton Albion
Exeter City
1 - 5
Bolton Wanderers

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