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Luton vs Leyton Orient Prediction & Tips | League One | FootballTips.app

Luton

Luton

Home
Full Time
1 - 1
HT: 1 - 1
Saturday 5 September
Leyton Orient

Leyton Orient

Away
LutonTimelineLeyton Orient
1st Half
Fox H.Out: Ashby H.
sync_alt
21'
Donley J. (Kodua G.)
sports_soccer
25'
Kabia J. (Mitchell D.)
sports_soccer
34'
Kabia J.
42'
2nd Half
Olowu J.
53'
Johnston G.
57'
Akhamrich Y.
57'
Marshall C.Out: Wells N.
sync_alt
61'
Gore D.Out: Walsh L.
sync_alt
61'
Palmer K.Out: Donley J.
sync_alt
61'
Hayden I.
73'
Oyekunle N.Out: Kabia J.
sync_alt
76'
Clare S.Out: Hayden I.
sync_alt
76'
Springett T.Out: Mitchell D.
sync_alt
82'
Dobra A.Out: Akhamrich Y.
sync_alt
83'
Archibald T.Out: Chinedu P.
sync_alt
83'
Mendel-Idowu T.Out: Kodua G.
sync_alt
83'
Gore D.
86'

Top stats

2.21Expected goals (xG)0.56
53%Ball possession47%
23Total shots7
7Shots on target3
3Big chances2
7Corner kicks2
82% (385/467)Passes76% (317/415)
2Yellow cards4

Shots

2.21Expected goals (xG)0.56
0.62xG on target (xGOT)0.18
23Total shots7
7Shots on target3
6Shots off target3
10Blocked shots1
14Shots inside the box5
9Shots outside the box2
1Hit the woodwork0

Attack

3Big chances2
7Corner kicks2
28Touches in opposition box10
2Accurate through passes0
1Offsides0
12Free kicks9

Passes

82% (385/467)Passes76% (317/415)
28% (14/50)Long passes21% (13/61)
58% (57/99)Passes in final third58% (72/124)
21% (4/19)Crosses17% (2/12)
1.46Expected assists (xA)0.38
20Throw ins30

Defense

9Fouls12
67% (8/12)Tackles65% (13/20)
53Duels won48
43Clearances37
8Interceptions7
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

2Goalkeeper saves5
0.18xGOT faced0.62
-0.82Goals prevented-0.38
7Goal kicks9
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified High Confidence
11.66
X3.91
24.46

Recommended Bet

cancel
Away Win
Odds: 4.33Stake: Medium (7/10)
70
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #7 vs Away #8
Season: Home 2.00 PPG vs Away 1.20 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.72 PPG vs Away 1.67 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.00 GPG vs Away 1.75 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

37%
31%
31%
Luton
Draw
Leyton Orient
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.601.92-16.8%
Luton Town Win1.682.67-37.2%
Draw3.853.20+20.2%
Leyton Orient Win4.333.19+35.8%
BTTS - Yes1.601.80-10.9%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Match Preview

Luton produced the perfect response to a humiliating 5-2 defeat against Mansfield when they beat Stockport County 2-0 in midweek, their visitors having scored five themselves last time out. That result ended a three-match winless streak for Jack Wilshere's side.

Leyton Orient made the most of Bromley's defensive frailties on Tuesday night, hammering the reigning League One champions 5-0 on the road. That result was the perfect antidote to a 3-1 home defeat to Barnsley in gameweek three.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Luton

Starting 11
-Josh Keeley
GK6.01
-Isaiah Jones
DL6.32
-George Johnston
DC6.84
-Mads Andersen
DC6.87
-Hakeem Odoffin
DC7.15
-Harrison Ashby
DR6.48
-Kasey Palmer
ML6.53
-Jake Richards
MC6.75
-Liam Walsh
MC6.60
-Jamie Donley
MR6.30
-Nahki Wells
FW7.21

Leyton Orient

Starting 11
-Oliver Dovin
GK
-Fin Stevens
DC7.01
-Will Forrester
DC8.29
-Joseph Olowu
DC7.24
-Theo Archibald
DML6.14
-Idris El Mizouni
MC7.09
-Isaac Hayden
MC7.00
-Charlie Wellens
DMR7.14
-Dane Scarlett
AMC
-Yusuf Akhamrich
AMC7.70
-Jaze Kabia
FW7.20
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 4 matches
LutonvsLeyton Orient
2.50Goals / Match2.25
2.50Conceded / Match1.25
1Clean Sheets2
4.50Shots on Target / Match5.00
53.3%Possession %50.8%
80.0%Pass Accuracy %69.4%

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

10Goals Scored9
10Goals Conceded5
1Clean Sheets2
10Big Chances11
5Big Chances Missed5
2Penalty Goals0

gps_fixedShooting

44Total Shots45
18Shots on Target20

swap_horizPassing & Possession

53.3%Avg Possession50.8%
1,721Total Passes1,371
80.0%Pass Accuracy69.4%

shieldDefending

61Tackles65
37Interceptions30
6Saves11
49.6%Duels Won52.1%

gavelDiscipline

46Fouls57
10Yellow Cards11
8Offsides2

analyticsOther

19Corners16
26Successful Dribbles20
3Errors Leading to Goal1
6.91Avg Rating7.29

Statistical Comparison

LutonMetricLeyton Orient
10
Goals
9
5
Assists
7
6.6
Average Ratings
6.7
26.5
Average Age
24.8
181.1
Average Height (cm)
182.7
0.9
Shots pg
1.1
42%
Aerial Duel Success
51%
0.7
Dribbles pg
0.9
1.3
Tackles pg
1.4

history Recent Form

LutonLuton
2.0 GPG
W
L
D
W
Leyton OrientLeyton Orient
1.2 GPG
W
L
W
L

group Head to Head

PL29 Dec 2025
Luton Town
3-0
Leyton Orient
PL9 Dec 2025
Leyton Orient
1-1
Luton Town
PL14 Apr 2017
Luton Town
2-2
Leyton Orient
PL15 Oct 2016
Leyton Orient
1-2
Luton Town
PL5 Mar 2016
Leyton Orient
0-1
Luton Town
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
83%
5 / 6 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
3 / 6 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
17%
1 / 6 matches
Both Teams to Score
67%
4 / 6 matches
Luton CS
33%
Clean Sheets
Leyton Orient CS
0%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

29 Dec 2025
Luton Town
3 - 0
Leyton Orient
9 Dec 2025
Leyton Orient
1 - 1
Luton Town
14 Apr 2017
Luton Town
2 - 2
Leyton Orient
15 Oct 2016
Leyton Orient
1 - 2
Luton Town
5 Mar 2016
Leyton Orient
0 - 1
Luton Town
20 Oct 2015
Luton Town
1 - 1
Leyton Orient

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Luton
2.00
Form (Overall)
Leyton Orient
1.20

Luton is +67% better in terms of Points Per Game

Luton Town
2 - 0
Stockport County
Mansfield Town
5 - 2
Luton Town
Luton Town
2 - 2
Notts County
Reading
3 - 4
Luton Town
Bromley
0 - 5
Leyton Orient
Leyton Orient
1 - 3
Barnsley
Wigan Athletic
0 - 2
Leyton Orient
Leyton Orient
1 - 2
Sheffield Wednesday

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