Luton vs Northampton Prediction & Tips | EFL Trophy - Play Offs

arrow_back Back/EFL Trophy - Play Offs/Luton vs Northampton

Luton

Home

Full Time

2 - 1

HT: 0 - 1

Wednesday 4 March

Northampton

Away

LutonTimelineNorthampton

1st Half

Naismith K.

16'

McAdam K. (Taylor T.)

sports_soccer

17'

2nd Half

Wells N. (Clark J.)

sports_soccer

54'

Hoskins S.Out: Swyer K.

sync_alt

55'

McGeehan C.Out: Jacobs M.

sync_alt

55'

Campbell D.Out: List E.

sync_alt

55'

Morris S.Out: van den Berg D.

sync_alt

55'

Palmer K.Out: Richards J.

sync_alt

55'

Wells N.

60'

Evans J.Out: McCarthy C.

sync_alt

69'

Forbes M.Out: Willis J.

sync_alt

69'

Clark J.

79'

Cole D.Out: Kodua G.

sync_alt

81'

Walsh L.Assist: Naismith K.

sports_soccer

82'

Lonwijk N.Out: Odoffin H.

sync_alt

85'

Top stats

2.16Expected goals (xG)0.18

65%Ball possession35%

20Total shots4

7Shots on target2

1Big chances1

7Corner kicks2

78% (357/456)Passes55% (140/254)

3Yellow cards0

Shots

2.16Expected goals (xG)0.18

1.65xG on target (xGOT)0.23

20Total shots4

7Shots on target2

5Shots off target1

8Blocked shots1

12Shots inside the box3

8Shots outside the box1

0Hit the woodwork0

0Headed goals1

Attack

1Big chances1

7Corner kicks2

42Touches in opposition box11

0Accurate through passes0

1Offsides4

10Free kicks7

Passes

78% (357/456)Passes55% (140/254)

32% (22/68)Long passes28% (21/76)

66% (99/151)Passes in final third31% (33/105)

24% (8/33)Crosses13% (2/15)

1.75Expected assists (xA)0.18

23Throw ins27

Defense

7Fouls10

73% (8/11)Tackles86% (12/14)

58Duels won47

30Clearances51

7Interceptions10

0Errors leading to shot0

0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

1Goalkeeper saves5

0.23xGOT faced1.65

-0.77Goals prevented-0.35

auto_awesome

AI Prediction

verified Very High Confidence

11.50

X3.87

25.16

Recommended Bet

Home Win

Stake: Low (4/10)

Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 1.20 PPG vs Away 0.90 PPG

Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.85 PPG vs Away 0.40 PPG

Goals (venue): Home 1.60 GPG vs Away 1.00 GPG

Defense (venue): Home 1.00 conc vs Away 1.80 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

57%

25%

19%

Luton

Draw

Northampton

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Luton

Starting 11

21Nahki Wells

CF6.88

99Emilio Lawrence

5.63

3Kal Naismith

CB6.92

8Liam Walsh

CM6.91

18Jordan Clark

CM7.38

23George Saville

CM7.40

25Isaiah Jones

RW7.36

27Jake Richards

6.77

38Joseph Johnson

4.79

17Nigel Lonwijk

CB6.78

-Josh Keeley

Substitutes

6Davy van den Berg

6.90

-Ali Al-Hamadi

14Shayden Morris

6.71

44Harry Fox

54Kasey Palmer

CAM6.63

16Hakeem Odofin

CDM6.55

1James Shea

GK6.31

Northampton

Starting 11

7Sam Hoskins

RW6.92

9Tom Eaves

CF6.68

2Jack Burroughs

RM6.62

4Dean Campbell

CDM5.47

15Jake Evans

6.66

21Jack Perkins

6.59

23Terry Taylor

6.89

18Michael Forbes

7.44

-Elliott Jordan Moore

1Lee Burge

GK6.79

Substitutes

10Elliott List

RW4.39

11Kamarai Simon-Swyer

6.92

17Michael Jacobs

LW7.01

3Conor McCarthy

CB5.81

21Kyle McAdam

6.78

35Max Dyche

6.72

34Ross Alan Richard Frank Fitzsimons

GK2.83

Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 6 matches

LutonvsNorthampton

radarTeam Profile

Luton

Northampton

sports_soccer

80Attack67

shield

42Defense68

swap_horiz

60Possession31

gps_fixed

97Efficiency92

auto_fix_high

48Creativity54

gavel

66Discipline62

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

15Goals Scored14

8Goals Conceded4

1Clean Sheets3

17Big Chances14

7Big Chances Missed6

4Penalty Goals2

gps_fixedShooting

99Total Shots77

42Shots on Target30

swap_horizPassing & Possession

57.8%Avg Possession49.5%

2,804Total Passes2,150

82.0%Pass Accuracy71.4%

shieldDefending

94Tackles89

55Interceptions41

8Saves17

47.5%Duels Won48.5%

gavelDiscipline

69Fouls67

7Yellow Cards9

8Offsides16

analyticsOther

51Corners31

42Successful Dribbles37

2Errors Leading to Goal0

6.87Avg Rating6.89

history Recent Form

Luton

1.2 GPG

Northampton

0.9 GPG

group Head to Head

PL25 Oct 2025

0-1

PL30 Apr 2016

2-0

PL12 Dec 2015

3-4

PL12 Nov 2011

1-0

25%

Over 2.5 Goals

25%

Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals

50%

2 / 4 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

25%

1 / 4 matches

Over 3.5 Goals

25%

1 / 4 matches

Both Teams to Score

25%

1 / 4 matches

Luton CS

50%

Clean Sheets

Northampton CS

25%

Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

25 Oct 2025

Northampton Town

0 - 1

Luton Town

30 Apr 2016

Northampton Town

2 - 0

Luton Town

12 Dec 2015

Luton Town

3 - 4

Northampton Town

12 Nov 2011

Luton Town

1 - 0

Northampton Town

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)

1.20

Form (Overall)

0.90

Luton is +33% better in terms of Points Per Game

Port Vale

1 - 1

Luton Town

1 - 1

Burton Albion

Wigan Athletic

1 - 0

Luton Town

Cardiff City

3 - 1

Luton Town

2 - 1

Bradford City

Northampton Town

1 - 1

Peterborough United

Northampton Town

0 - 1

Port Vale

Northampton Town

1 - 2

Leyton Orient

Lincoln City

4 - 0

Northampton Town

Exeter City

0 - 0

Northampton Town

auto_awesome

AI Prediction

verified Very High Confidence

11.50

X3.87

25.16

Recommended Bet

Home Win

Stake: Low (4/10)

Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 1.20 PPG vs Away 0.90 PPG

Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.85 PPG vs Away 0.40 PPG

Goals (venue): Home 1.60 GPG vs Away 1.00 GPG

Defense (venue): Home 1.00 conc vs Away 1.80 conc

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Luton

Starting 11

21Nahki Wells

CF6.88

99Emilio Lawrence

5.63

3Kal Naismith

CB6.92

8Liam Walsh

CM6.91

18Jordan Clark

CM7.38

23George Saville

CM7.40

25Isaiah Jones

RW7.36

27Jake Richards

6.77

38Joseph Johnson

4.79

17Nigel Lonwijk

CB6.78

-Josh Keeley

Substitutes

6Davy van den Berg

6.90

-Ali Al-Hamadi

14Shayden Morris

6.71

44Harry Fox

54Kasey Palmer

CAM6.63

16Hakeem Odofin

CDM6.55

1James Shea

GK6.31

Northampton

Starting 11

7Sam Hoskins

RW6.92

9Tom Eaves

CF6.68

2Jack Burroughs

RM6.62

4Dean Campbell

CDM5.47

15Jake Evans

6.66

21Jack Perkins

6.59

23Terry Taylor

6.89

18Michael Forbes

7.44

-Elliott Jordan Moore

1Lee Burge

GK6.79

Substitutes

10Elliott List

RW4.39

11Kamarai Simon-Swyer

6.92

17Michael Jacobs

LW7.01

3Conor McCarthy

CB5.81

21Kyle McAdam

6.78

35Max Dyche

6.72

34Ross Alan Richard Frank Fitzsimons

GK2.83

Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

history Recent Form

Luton

1.2 GPG

Northampton

0.9 GPG

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals

50%

2 / 4 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

25%

1 / 4 matches

Over 3.5 Goals

25%

1 / 4 matches

Both Teams to Score

25%

1 / 4 matches

Luton CS

50%

Clean Sheets

Northampton CS

25%

Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

25 Oct 2025

Northampton Town

0 - 1

Luton Town

30 Apr 2016

Northampton Town

2 - 0

Luton Town

12 Dec 2015

Luton Town

3 - 4

Northampton Town

12 Nov 2011

Luton Town

1 - 0

Northampton Town

donut_small Win Probabilities

57%

25%

19%

Luton

Draw

Northampton

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 6 matches

LutonvsNorthampton

radarTeam Profile

Luton

Northampton

sports_soccer

80Attack67

shield

42Defense68

swap_horiz

60Possession31

gps_fixed

97Efficiency92

auto_fix_high

48Creativity54

gavel

66Discipline62

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

15Goals Scored14

8Goals Conceded4

1Clean Sheets3

17Big Chances14

7Big Chances Missed6

4Penalty Goals2

gps_fixedShooting

99Total Shots77

42Shots on Target30

swap_horizPassing & Possession

57.8%Avg Possession49.5%

2,804Total Passes2,150

82.0%Pass Accuracy71.4%

shieldDefending

94Tackles89

55Interceptions41

8Saves17

47.5%Duels Won48.5%

gavelDiscipline

69Fouls67

7Yellow Cards9

8Offsides16

analyticsOther

51Corners31

42Successful Dribbles37

2Errors Leading to Goal0

6.87Avg Rating6.89

group Head to Head

PL25 Oct 2025

0-1

PL30 Apr 2016

2-0

PL12 Dec 2015

3-4

PL12 Nov 2011

1-0

25%

Over 2.5 Goals

25%

Both Team Score

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)

1.20

Form (Overall)

0.90

Luton is +33% better in terms of Points Per Game

Port Vale

1 - 1

Luton Town

1 - 1

Burton Albion

Wigan Athletic

1 - 0

Luton Town

Cardiff City

3 - 1

Luton Town

2 - 1

Bradford City

Northampton Town

1 - 1

Peterborough United

Northampton Town

0 - 1

Port Vale

Northampton Town

1 - 2

Leyton Orient

Lincoln City

4 - 0

Northampton Town

Exeter City

0 - 0

Northampton Town

Weekly Newsletter

Subscribe for Betting Tips

Get exclusive predictions delivered to your inbox.

Join our community of smart bettors. Get exclusive predictions, value picks, and statistical analysis delivered straight to your inbox.

Free Weekly Tips

Value Opportunities

Luton vs Northampton Prediction & Tips | EFL Trophy - Play Offs | FootballTips.app

Luton

Northampton

Top stats

Shots

Attack

Passes

Defense

Goalkeeping

Recommended Bet

Key Factors

donut_small Win Probabilities

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Luton

Starting 11

Substitutes

Northampton

Starting 11

Substitutes

compareTeam Comparison

radarTeam Profile

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

gps_fixedShooting

swap_horizPassing & Possession

shieldDefending

gavelDiscipline

analyticsOther

history Recent Form

group Head to Head

Head-to-Head Detailed

Recent Matches

Current Form Comparison

Recommended Bet

Key Factors

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Luton

Starting 11

Substitutes

Northampton

Starting 11

Substitutes

history Recent Form

Head-to-Head Detailed

Recent Matches

donut_small Win Probabilities

compareTeam Comparison

radarTeam Profile

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

gps_fixedShooting

swap_horizPassing & Possession

shieldDefending

gavelDiscipline

analyticsOther

group Head to Head

Current Form Comparison

Subscribe for Betting Tips