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Luton vs Peterborough Prediction & Tips | League One | FootballTips.app

Luton

Luton

Home
Full Time
2 - 1
HT: 1 - 0
Friday 3 April
Peterborough

Peterborough

Away
LutonTimelinePeterborough
1st Half
Richards J. (Naismith K.)
sports_soccer
20'
Keeley J.
33'
Leonard H. (Penalty missed)
close
35'
2nd Half
Clark J.Assist: Lawrence E.
sports_soccer
50'
Woods B.Out: Khela B.
sync_alt
60'
Kamara D.Out: Leonard H.
sync_alt
60'
Shofowoke B.Out: Hayes C.
sync_alt
61'
Cole D.Out: Wells N.
sync_alt
65'
Kodua G.Out: Lawrence E.
sync_alt
65'
Okagbue D.Out: Lees T.
sync_alt
72'
Morgan J. (Lisbie K.)
sports_soccer
75'
Naismith K.
80'
Lisbie K.
80'
Saville G.Out: van den Berg D.
sync_alt
83'
Palmer K.Out: Clark J.
sync_alt
83'
Kamara D.
90+3'
Palmer K.
90+4'

Top stats

1.96Expected goals (xG)1.35
46%Ball possession54%
17Total shots10
6Shots on target3
3Big chances2
7Corner kicks4
75% (272/364)Passes80% (347/435)
3Yellow cards2

Shots

1.96Expected goals (xG)1.35
1.42xG on target (xGOT)1.34
17Total shots10
6Shots on target3
4Shots off target3
7Blocked shots4
15Shots inside the box4
2Shots outside the box6
0Hit the woodwork0
0Headed goals1

Attack

3Big chances2
7Corner kicks4
26Touches in opposition box23
0Accurate through passes0
3Offsides1
12Free kicks21

Passes

75% (272/364)Passes80% (347/435)
26% (15/57)Long passes32% (20/63)
60% (80/133)Passes in final third61% (56/92)
18% (3/17)Crosses15% (2/13)
1.18Expected assists (xA)0.53
13Throw ins21

Defense

21Fouls12
25% (4/16)Tackles71% (15/21)
43Duels won56
16Clearances26
10Interceptions7
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

2Goalkeeper saves4
1.34xGOT faced1.42
0.34Goals prevented-0.58
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.62
X4.01
24.57

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: Low (4/10)
40
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #11 vs Away #12
Season: Home 1.41 PPG vs Away 1.32 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.80 PPG vs Away 1.30 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.55 GPG vs Away 1.10 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

52%
26%
22%
Luton
Draw
Peterborough

Match Preview

Emilio Lawrence's first-half goal proved enough to earn Luton a point against play-off chasing rivals Stockport County before the international break. The Hatters are unbeaten in four heading into the Easter weekend, and are six points behind Reading in sixth place as things stand.

Peterborough are all but out of contention for a top-six finish this season after they failed to beat mid-table dwellers AFC Wimbledon in their most recent League One outing. The Posh have won just one of their last seven fixtures ahead of Friday's trip to Kenilworth Road.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Luton

Starting 11
-Josh Keeley
GK6.43
-Kal Naismith
DL6.82
-Hakeem Odoffin
DC7.02
-Nigel Lonwijk
DC6.81
-Isaiah Jones
DR6.52
-George Saville
DMC6.88
-Emilio Lawrence
ML6.66
-Jordan Clark
MC6.98
-Liam Walsh
MC6.74
-Jake Richards
MR6.44
-Devante Cole
FW6.32

Peterborough

Starting 11
-Alex Bass
GK6.75
-Harley Mills
DL6.91
-David Okagbue
DC6.86
-Peter Kioso
DC6.83
-James Dornelly
DR6.47
-Brandon Khela
DMC6.49
-Archie Collins
DMC6.85
-Kyrell Lisbie
AML6.55
-Jimmy-Jay Morgan
AMC6.89
-Cian Hayes
AMR6.51
-Oluwalopemiwa Aderoju
FW6.22
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 39 / 38 matches
LutonvsPeterborough

radarTeam Profile

Luton
Peterborough
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
37Attack44
shield
47Defense40
swap_horiz
50Possession52
gps_fixed
60Efficiency73
auto_fix_high
30Creativity33
gavel
57Discipline54

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

52Goals Scored57
49Goals Conceded52
11Clean Sheets9
74Big Chances93
42Big Chances Missed51
6Penalty Goals4

gps_fixedShooting

479Total Shots460
146Shots on Target163

swap_horizPassing & Possession

55.7%Avg Possession55.3%
15,785Total Passes16,877
76.7%Pass Accuracy80.1%

shieldDefending

600Tackles526
313Interceptions260
81Saves124
48.6%Duels Won50.7%

gavelDiscipline

460Fouls367
64Yellow Cards80
0Red Cards2
66Offsides71

analyticsOther

232Corners159
296Successful Dribbles243
13Errors Leading to Goal11
6.75Avg Rating6.81

Statistical Comparison

LutonMetricPeterborough
51
Goals
56
34
Assists
34
6.5
Average Ratings
6.5
26.5
Average Age
22.5
183.3
Average Height (cm)
180.3
0.8
Shots pg
0.8
49%
Aerial Duel Success
49%
0.5
Dribbles pg
0.5
1.4
Tackles pg
1

history Recent Form

LutonLuton
1.4 GPG
D
W
W
D
L
PeterboroughPeterborough
1.3 GPG
D
W
L
D
D

group Head to Head

PL9 Aug 2025
Peterborough United
0-2
Luton Town
PL5 Apr 2022
Peterborough United
1-1
Luton Town
PL7 Aug 2021
Luton Town
3-0
Peterborough United
PL19 Jan 2019
Luton Town
4-0
Peterborough United
PL13 Nov 2018
Peterborough United
2-1
Luton Town
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
88%
7 / 8 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
4 / 8 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
2 / 8 matches
Both Teams to Score
38%
3 / 8 matches
Luton CS
50%
Clean Sheets
Peterborough CS
25%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

9 Aug 2025
Peterborough United
0 - 2
Luton Town
5 Apr 2022
Peterborough United
1 - 1
Luton Town
7 Aug 2021
Luton Town
3 - 0
Peterborough United
19 Jan 2019
Luton Town
4 - 0
Peterborough United
13 Nov 2018
Peterborough United
2 - 1
Luton Town
18 Aug 2018
Peterborough United
3 - 1
Luton Town
9 Jan 2018
Luton Town
0 - 0
Peterborough United
6 Dec 2015
Peterborough United
2 - 0
Luton Town

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Luton
1.41
Form (Overall)
Peterborough
1.32

Luton is +7% better in terms of Points Per Game

Luton Town
1 - 1
Stockport County
Luton Town
3 - 2
Exeter City
Wycombe Wanderers
1 - 2
Luton Town
Doncaster Rovers
1 - 1
Luton Town
Luton Town
2 - 3
Reading
AFC Wimbledon
1 - 1
Peterborough United
Peterborough United
5 - 0
Rotherham United
Leyton Orient
2 - 1
Peterborough United
Northampton Town
1 - 1
Peterborough United
Peterborough United
3 - 3
Exeter City

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