Machida vs Tochigi City Prediction & Tips | Emperors Cup | FootballTips.app
Machida
HomeFull Time
2 - 1
HT: 1 - 0
Wednesday 23 September
Tochigi City
Awayauto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Model Confidence
11.25
X5.44
27.92
Recommended Bet
No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
41
Best near-miss
Key Factors
Season: Home 2.30 PPG vs Away 1.90 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.40 PPG vs Away 1.15 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.17 GPG vs Away 1.83 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.17 conc vs Away 0.83 conc
donut_small Win Probabilities
56%
23%
21%
Machida
Draw
Tochigi City
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Machida Zelvia Win | 1.25 | 1.80 | 1.39 | -30.5% |
| Draw | 5.44 | 4.35 | 6.04 | +25.2% |
| Tochigi City Win | 7.92 | 6.96 | 8.79 | +13.9% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 8 / 7 matchesMachidavsTochigi City
2.63Goals / Match2.00
1.25Conceded / Match1.43
1Clean Sheets2
47.6%Possession %49.2%
81.3%Pass Accuracy %78.6%
radarTeam Profile
Machida
Tochigi City
sports_soccer
78Attack48
shield
33Defense52
swap_horiz
40Possession43
gps_fixed
80Efficiency54
auto_fix_high
57Creativity30
gavel
54Discipline40
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
21Goals Scored14
10Goals Conceded10
1Clean Sheets2
gps_fixedShooting
109Total Shots98
swap_horizPassing & Possession
47.6%Avg Possession49.2%
3,404Total Passes2,787
81.3%Pass Accuracy78.6%
shieldDefending
68Interceptions321
20Saves29
53.3%Duels Won47.4%
gavelDiscipline
86Fouls86
6Yellow Cards13
2Red Cards1
17Offsides12
analyticsOther
30Corners29
34Successful Dribbles43
history Recent Form
MachidaL
D
W
W
D
Tochigi CityL
D
W
L
W
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
2.30
Form (Overall)
1.90
Machida is +21% better in terms of Points Per Game
Machida Zelvia
2 - 4
Kashiwa Reysol
Machida Zelvia
1 - 1
Yokohama F. Marinos
Nagoya Grampus
1 - 3
Machida Zelvia
Machida Zelvia
2 - 1
Kawasaki Frontale
Mito Hollyhock
1 - 1
Machida Zelvia
Tochigi City
1 - 3
Vegalta Sendai
Kataller Toyama
0 - 0
Tochigi City
Consadole Sapporo
1 - 4
Tochigi City
Tochigi City
1 - 3
Jubilo Iwata
Sagan Tosu
1 - 3
Tochigi City
Weekly Newsletter
Subscribe for Betting Tips
Get exclusive predictions delivered to your inbox.
Join our community of smart bettors. Get exclusive predictions, value picks, and statistical analysis delivered straight to your inbox.
Free Weekly Tips
Value Opportunities