Mainz vs Freiburg Prediction & Tips | Bundesliga | FootballTips.app
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AI Prediction
verified High Confidence
12.30
X3.40
23.34
Recommended Bet
Home Win
Stake: Low (5/10)
47
Opp. Value
Key Factors
League Rank: Home #9 vs Away #8
Season: Home 1.18 PPG vs Away 1.32 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.50 PPG vs Away 0.90 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.21 GPG vs Away 1.07 GPG
donut_small Win Probabilities
41%
34%
26%
Mainz
Draw
Freiburg
Match Preview
Mainz 05 head into this contest with plenty of positive momentum. A Phillip Tietz brace sealed a 2-1 away win over Hoffenheim last time out in the Bundesliga, and Die Nullfünfer cruised to a 2-0 Conference League quarter-final victory over Ligue 1 outfit Strasbourg on Thursday evening.
Freiburg were minutes away from a momentous 2-1 home win over runaway league leaders Bayern Munich last weekend before conceding twice in stoppage time. Julian Schuster's men responded with a dominant 3-0 Europa League win over Celta Vigo on Thursday night.
Lineups
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
Mainz
Starting 11
-Daniel Batz
GK6.88
-Dominik Kohr
DC6.63
-Stefan Posch
DC6.83
-Danny da Costa
DC6.70
-Phillipp Mwene
DML6.40
-William Bøving
MC6.21
-Kaishu Sano
MC6.93
-Paul Nebel
MC6.59
-Silvan Widmer
DMR6.50
-Phillip Tietz
FW6.90
-Sheraldo Becker
FW6.56
Freiburg
Starting 11
-Noah Atubolu
GK6.63
-Christian Günter
DL6.39
-Philipp Lienhart
DC6.51
-Matthias Ginter
DC6.87
-Philipp Treu
DR6.45
-Maximilian Eggestein
DMC6.76
-Johan Manzambi
DMC6.80
-Derry Scherhant
AML6.48
-Yuito Suzuki
AMC6.61
-Niklas Beste
AMR6.73
-Igor Matanovic
FW6.65
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 28 matchesMainzvsFreiburg
radarTeam Profile
Mainz
Freiburg
sports_soccer
40Attack43
shield
42Defense38
swap_horiz
27Possession46
gps_fixed
61Efficiency66
auto_fix_high
35Creativity27
gavel
37Discipline60
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
35Goals Scored41
43Goals Conceded47
3Clean Sheets5
82Big Chances64
54Big Chances Missed38
7Penalty Goals5
gps_fixedShooting
316Total Shots358
105Shots on Target121
swap_horizPassing & Possession
43.0%Avg Possession47.9%
10,109Total Passes11,450
74.2%Pass Accuracy81.4%
shieldDefending
421Tackles397
296Interceptions248
97Saves87
48.6%Duels Won51.7%
gavelDiscipline
310Fouls259
61Yellow Cards43
5Red Cards3
66Offsides58
analyticsOther
139Corners125
147Successful Dribbles166
3Errors Leading to Goal9
6.77Avg Rating6.78
Statistical Comparison
MainzMetricFreiburg
35
Goals
39
21
Assists
21
6.5
Average Ratings
6.5
29.3
Average Age
26.2
181.4
Average Height (cm)
183.5
0.8
Shots pg
0.8
48%
Aerial Duel Success
49%
0.4
Dribbles pg
0.5
1.4
Tackles pg
1.1
history Recent Form
MainzW
W
W
D
D
FreiburgL
W
L
D
L
group Head to Head
PL30 Nov 2025
4-0
PL15 Mar 2025
2-2
PL3 Nov 2024
0-0
PL21 Apr 2024
1-1
PL3 Dec 2023
0-1
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
24 / 32 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
17 / 32 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
10 / 32 matches
Both Teams to Score
56%
18 / 32 matches
Mainz CS
25%
Clean Sheets
Freiburg CS
28%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
30 Nov 2025
Freiburg
4 - 0
Mainz 05
15 Mar 2025
Mainz 05
2 - 2
Freiburg
3 Nov 2024
Freiburg
0 - 0
Mainz 05
21 Apr 2024
Freiburg
1 - 1
Mainz 05
3 Dec 2023
Mainz 05
0 - 1
Freiburg
19 Mar 2023
Mainz 05
1 - 1
Freiburg
1 Oct 2022
Freiburg
2 - 1
Mainz 05
12 Feb 2022
Freiburg
1 - 1
Mainz 05
18 Sept 2021
Mainz 05
0 - 0
Freiburg
13 Mar 2021
Mainz 05
1 - 0
Freiburg
22 Nov 2020
Freiburg
1 - 3
Mainz 05
18 Jan 2020
Mainz 05
1 - 2
Freiburg
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
1.18
Form (Overall)
1.32
Freiburg is +12% better in terms of Points Per Game
Hoffenheim
1 - 2
Mainz 05
Mainz 05
2 - 1
Eintracht Frankfurt
Werder Bremen
0 - 2
Mainz 05
Mainz 05
2 - 2
Stuttgart
Bayer Leverkusen
1 - 1
Mainz 05
Freiburg
2 - 3
Bayern München
St. Pauli
1 - 2
Freiburg
Freiburg
0 - 1
Union Berlin
Freiburg
3 - 3
Bayer Leverkusen
Eintracht Frankfurt
2 - 0
Freiburg
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified High Confidence
12.30
X3.40
23.34
Recommended Bet
Home Win
Stake: Low (5/10)
47
Opp. Value
Key Factors
League Rank: Home #9 vs Away #8
Season: Home 1.18 PPG vs Away 1.32 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.50 PPG vs Away 0.90 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.21 GPG vs Away 1.07 GPG
Match Preview
Mainz 05 head into this contest with plenty of positive momentum. A Phillip Tietz brace sealed a 2-1 away win over Hoffenheim last time out in the Bundesliga, and Die Nullfünfer cruised to a 2-0 Conference League quarter-final victory over Ligue 1 outfit Strasbourg on Thursday evening.
Freiburg were minutes away from a momentous 2-1 home win over runaway league leaders Bayern Munich last weekend before conceding twice in stoppage time. Julian Schuster's men responded with a dominant 3-0 Europa League win over Celta Vigo on Thursday night.
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 28 matchesMainzvsFreiburg
radarTeam Profile
Mainz
Freiburg
sports_soccer
40Attack43
shield
42Defense38
swap_horiz
27Possession46
gps_fixed
61Efficiency66
auto_fix_high
35Creativity27
gavel
37Discipline60
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
35Goals Scored41
43Goals Conceded47
3Clean Sheets5
82Big Chances64
54Big Chances Missed38
7Penalty Goals5
gps_fixedShooting
316Total Shots358
105Shots on Target121
swap_horizPassing & Possession
43.0%Avg Possession47.9%
10,109Total Passes11,450
74.2%Pass Accuracy81.4%
shieldDefending
421Tackles397
296Interceptions248
97Saves87
48.6%Duels Won51.7%
gavelDiscipline
310Fouls259
61Yellow Cards43
5Red Cards3
66Offsides58
analyticsOther
139Corners125
147Successful Dribbles166
3Errors Leading to Goal9
6.77Avg Rating6.78
history Recent Form
MainzW
W
W
D
D
FreiburgL
W
L
D
L
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
24 / 32 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
17 / 32 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
10 / 32 matches
Both Teams to Score
56%
18 / 32 matches
Mainz CS
25%
Clean Sheets
Freiburg CS
28%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
30 Nov 2025
Freiburg
4 - 0
Mainz 05
15 Mar 2025
Mainz 05
2 - 2
Freiburg
3 Nov 2024
Freiburg
0 - 0
Mainz 05
21 Apr 2024
Freiburg
1 - 1
Mainz 05
3 Dec 2023
Mainz 05
0 - 1
Freiburg
19 Mar 2023
Mainz 05
1 - 1
Freiburg
1 Oct 2022
Freiburg
2 - 1
Mainz 05
12 Feb 2022
Freiburg
1 - 1
Mainz 05
18 Sept 2021
Mainz 05
0 - 0
Freiburg
13 Mar 2021
Mainz 05
1 - 0
Freiburg
22 Nov 2020
Freiburg
1 - 3
Mainz 05
18 Jan 2020
Mainz 05
1 - 2
Freiburg
donut_small Win Probabilities
41%
34%
26%
Mainz
Draw
Freiburg
Lineups
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
Mainz
Starting 11
-Daniel Batz
GK6.88
-Dominik Kohr
DC6.63
-Stefan Posch
DC6.83
-Danny da Costa
DC6.70
-Phillipp Mwene
DML6.40
-William Bøving
MC6.21
-Kaishu Sano
MC6.93
-Paul Nebel
MC6.59
-Silvan Widmer
DMR6.50
-Phillip Tietz
FW6.90
-Sheraldo Becker
FW6.56
Freiburg
Starting 11
-Noah Atubolu
GK6.63
-Christian Günter
DL6.39
-Philipp Lienhart
DC6.51
-Matthias Ginter
DC6.87
-Philipp Treu
DR6.45
-Maximilian Eggestein
DMC6.76
-Johan Manzambi
DMC6.80
-Derry Scherhant
AML6.48
-Yuito Suzuki
AMC6.61
-Niklas Beste
AMR6.73
-Igor Matanovic
FW6.65
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
Statistical Comparison
MainzMetricFreiburg
35
Goals
39
21
Assists
21
6.5
Average Ratings
6.5
29.3
Average Age
26.2
181.4
Average Height (cm)
183.5
0.8
Shots pg
0.8
48%
Aerial Duel Success
49%
0.4
Dribbles pg
0.5
1.4
Tackles pg
1.1
group Head to Head
PL30 Nov 2025
4-0
PL15 Mar 2025
2-2
PL3 Nov 2024
0-0
PL21 Apr 2024
1-1
PL3 Dec 2023
0-1
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
Both Team Score
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
1.18
Form (Overall)
1.32
Freiburg is +12% better in terms of Points Per Game
Hoffenheim
1 - 2
Mainz 05
Mainz 05
2 - 1
Eintracht Frankfurt
Werder Bremen
0 - 2
Mainz 05
Mainz 05
2 - 2
Stuttgart
Bayer Leverkusen
1 - 1
Mainz 05
Freiburg
2 - 3
Bayern München
St. Pauli
1 - 2
Freiburg
Freiburg
0 - 1
Union Berlin
Freiburg
3 - 3
Bayer Leverkusen
Eintracht Frankfurt
2 - 0
Freiburg
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