Mainz vs Hamburger SV Prediction & Tips | Bundesliga | FootballTips.app

Mainz
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Mainz
Starting 11
Hamburger SV
Starting 11
Match Preview
Mainz will face Hamburger SV in a Bundesliga clash at MEWA ARENA on February 20, 2026 GMT.
The host, Mainz, sits in 14th place in the league standings, while Hamburger SV is positioned 9th, with a significant difference in points – Mainz with 21 and Hamburger SV with 25.
Mainz has been dominant in their home matches, winning 67% of their last six games at MEWA ARENA.
On the other hand, Hamburger SV has been drawing quite frequently, with 50% of their last six matches ending in a draw.
When these two teams have met in the past, they have shared the points in 50% of their last six head-to-head encounters.
With the statistical data at hand, the matchup between Mainz and Hamburger SV is set to be a closely contested affair, with the model prediction suggesting Under 2.5 goals to be scored.
Mainz 05 were no match for title contenders Borussia Dortmund last weekend, conceding three times before the break in a 4-0 away defeat to Niko Kovac's side. Friday's hosts had won three straight league games before that defeat and remain four points clear of 17th-placed St. Pauli.
Hamburg, meanwhile, head into gameweek 23 in the top half of the Bundesliga standings after securing back-to-back league wins against FC Heidenheim and Union Berlin. Away form remains a concern for Merlin Polzin's side, though, after winning just one of their first 10 league games on the road this season.
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Based on 22 / 21 matchesradarTeam Profile
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Statistical Comparison
League Standings Context
For Mainz
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Borussia M'gladbach | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 22 |
| 14 | Mainz | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 21 |
| 15 | Wolfsburg | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 20 |
For Hamburger SV
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Freiburg | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 30 |
| 9 | Hamburger SV | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 25 |
| 10 | Union Berlin | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 25 |
Advanced Stats (Avg per match)
Team Performance (Avg)
Head-to-Head Summary
Recent Form Stats
| Market | Mainz | Hamburger SV |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72%23/32 | 50%16/32 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 47%15/32 | 34%11/32 |
| Both Teams to Score | 50%16/32 | 38%12/32 |
Past Matches
Last 6: Mainz
Home Games: Mainz
Last 6: Hamburger SV
Away Games: Hamburger SV
history Recent Form
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Head-to-Head Detailed
Recent Matches
Current Form Comparison
Hamburger SV is +25% better in terms of Points Per Game
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