Mainz vs Stuttgart Prediction & Tips | Bundesliga | FootballTips.app

Mainz

Mainz

Home
Full Time
2 - 2
HT: 1 - 0
Saturday 7 March
Stuttgart

Stuttgart

Away
MainzTimelineStuttgart
1st Half
Lee Jae-Sung (da Costa D.)
sports_soccer
39'
2nd Half
Nartey N.Out: Assignon L.
sync_alt
65'
SilasOut: Becker S.
sync_alt
74'
Jeltsch F.Out: Jaquez L.
sync_alt
75'
Tomas T.Out: Fuhrich C.
sync_alt
75'
Demirovic E. (Undav D.)
sports_soccer
76'
Undav D. (Tomas T.)
sports_soccer
77'
Tomas T.
82'
Jeremy ArevaloOut: Undav D.
sync_alt
84'
Hendriks R.Out: Mittelstadt M.
sync_alt
84'
Weiper N.Out: Widmer S.
sync_alt
85'
da Costa D.
sports_soccer
90+1'
Veratschnig N.Out: da Costa D.
sync_alt
90+2'
Boving W.Out: Nebel P.
sync_alt
90+2'
Sieb A.Out: Lee Jae-Sung
sync_alt
90+2'
Chabot J.
90+5'

Top stats

2.73Expected goals (xG)0.99
38%Ball possession62%
18Total shots11
6Shots on target4
7Big chances1
5Corner kicks6
72% (228/318)Passes85% (454/537)
0Yellow cards2

Shots

2.73Expected goals (xG)0.99
2.42xG on target (xGOT)1.23
18Total shots11
6Shots on target4
8Shots off target4
4Blocked shots3
14Shots inside the box8
4Shots outside the box3
2Hit the woodwork0
2Headed goals0

Attack

7Big chances1
5Corner kicks6
43Touches in opposition box29
0Accurate through passes1
2Offsides0
12Free kicks7

Passes

72% (228/318)Passes85% (454/537)
47% (32/68)Long passes52% (26/50)
63% (69/110)Passes in final third71% (105/148)
35% (9/26)Crosses24% (5/21)
3.32Expected assists (xA)1.58
20Throw ins16

Defense

7Fouls12
62% (8/13)Tackles46% (6/13)
51Duels won45
18Clearances31
7Interceptions7
0Errors leading to shot2
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

2Goalkeeper saves3
1.23xGOT faced2.42
-0.77Goals prevented0.42
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
13.28
X3.89
22.15

Recommended Bet

Away Win
Stake: High (10/10)
100
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #14 vs Away #4
Season: Home 0.96 PPG vs Away 1.92 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.30 PPG vs Away 2.05 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.08 GPG vs Away 2.25 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

5%
4%
91%
Mainz
Draw
Stuttgart

Match Preview

In a Bundesliga fixture, Mainz will face Stuttgart at MEWA ARENA on March 7, 2026, GMT.

Mainz, positioned 14th with 23 points, will take on Stuttgart, who holds the 4th spot with 46 points in the standings.

Mainz has secured three wins in their last six matches, while Stuttgart has been impressive this season with 23 victories out of 38 games.

In their recent head-to-head contests, Mainz has struggled, losing four out of their last six matchups against Stuttgart.

Our algorithm predicts Stuttgart to emerge victorious with a 1-2 win.

Mainz 05 were heading for an impressive away win against Bayer Leverkusen in gameweek 24 before Jarell Quansah's late goal levelled the scoreline and shared the spoils. Die Nullfünfer are winless in three heading into Saturday's contest, but performances continue to be acceptable.

Stuttgart turned in a dominant performance against a free-falling Wolfsburg side last weekend, scoring three times before the half-time break in a comfortable home win. The visitors have lost just one of their last 11 league games and have climbed into the top four in the standings.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Mainz

Starting 11
-Daniel Batz
GK6.89
-Dominik Kohr
DC6.60
-Stefan Posch
DC6.88
-Kacper Potulski
DC6.83
-Silvan Widmer
DML6.54
-Lee Jae-Sung
MC6.61
-Kaishu Sano
MC6.88
-Paul Nebel
MC6.34
-Danny da Costa
DMR6.65
-Phillip Tietz
FW6.85
-Sheraldo Becker
FW6.30

Stuttgart

Starting 11
-Alexander Nübel
GK6.82
-Ramon Hendriks
DC6.56
-Jeff Chabot
DC7.11
-Finn Jeltsch
DC6.61
-Maximilian Mittelstädt
DML7.21
-Angelo Stiller
MC6.93
-Atakan Karazor
MC6.60
-Jamie Leweling
DMR6.98
-Deniz Undav
AMC7.13
-Chris Führich
AMC6.67
-Ermedin Demirovic
FW6.88
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 24 matches
MainzvsStuttgart

radarTeam Profile

Mainz
Stuttgart
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
35Attack70
shield
41Defense55
swap_horiz
30Possession64
gps_fixed
56Efficiency78
auto_fix_high
30Creativity58
gavel
30Discipline57

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

27Goals Scored48
39Goals Conceded32
2Clean Sheets9
64Big Chances68
42Big Chances Missed43
7Penalty Goals4

gps_fixedShooting

270Total Shots366
87Shots on Target145

swap_horizPassing & Possession

44.3%Avg Possession58.3%
8,942Total Passes12,661
74.6%Pass Accuracy84.6%

shieldDefending

362Tackles345
259Interceptions204
85Saves72
48.5%Duels Won54.2%

gavelDiscipline

279Fouls231
57Yellow Cards47
5Red Cards1
54Offsides52

analyticsOther

122Corners129
133Successful Dribbles148
2Errors Leading to Goal4
6.74Avg Rating6.93

Statistical Comparison

MainzMetricStuttgart
27
Goals
47
16
Assists
37
6.5
Average Ratings
6.7
28.9
Average Age
26.4
184
Average Height (cm)
186.2
0.8
Shots pg
1
49%
Aerial Duel Success
54%
0.4
Dribbles pg
0.4
1.5
Tackles pg
1

League Standings Context

For Mainz

PosTeamPWDLPts
13Köln24661224
14Mainz24581123
15St Pauli24651323

For Stuttgart

PosTeamPWDLPts
3Hoffenheim24144646
4Stuttgart24144646
5RB Leipzig24135644

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

51.5/ 103.8
Dangerous Attacks
55.5/ 112.3
32.0%
Shots on Target
37.0%
11.9
Total Shots
16.3
46.0%
Possession
59.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.2
Goals Scored / Match
2.0
1.4
Goals Conceded / Match
1.2

Head-to-Head Summary

1
Mainz Wins
17%
1
Draws
17%
4
Stuttgart Wins
67%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketMainzStuttgart
Over 1.5 Goals
74%25/34
94%32/34
Over 2.5 Goals
44%15/34
74%25/34
Both Teams to Score
53%18/34
56%19/34
* Based on last 34 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Mainz

De1
Mainz
1 - 1
Hamburger SV
De1
Mainz
2 - 0
Augsburg
De1
Mainz
3 - 1
Wolfsburg
De1
Mainz
2 - 1
Heidenheim
De1
Mainz
0 - 0
St Pauli
ECL
Mainz
2 - 0
Samsunspor

Home Games: Mainz

De1
Mainz
1 - 1
Hamburger SV
De1
Mainz
2 - 0
Augsburg
De1
Mainz
3 - 1
Wolfsburg
De1
Mainz
2 - 1
Heidenheim
De1
Mainz
0 - 0
St Pauli
ECL
Mainz
2 - 0
Samsunspor

Last 6: Stuttgart

De1
Heidenheim
3 - 3
Stuttgart
UEL
Celtic
1 - 4
Stuttgart
De1
St Pauli
2 - 1
Stuttgart
DFB
Holstein Kiel
0 - 3
Stuttgart
De1
Borussia M'gladbach
0 - 3
Stuttgart
UEL
Roma
2 - 0
Stuttgart

Away Games: Stuttgart

De1
Heidenheim
3 - 3
Stuttgart
UEL
Celtic
1 - 4
Stuttgart
De1
St Pauli
2 - 1
Stuttgart
DFB
Holstein Kiel
0 - 3
Stuttgart
De1
Borussia M'gladbach
0 - 3
Stuttgart
UEL
Roma
2 - 0
Stuttgart

history Recent Form

MainzMainz
1.0 GPG
D
D
L
W
W
StuttgartStuttgart
1.9 GPG
W
D
W
L
W

group Head to Head

PL29 Oct 2025
Mainz 05
0-2
Stuttgart
PL26 Oct 2025
Stuttgart
2-1
Mainz 05
PL25 Jan 2025
Mainz 05
2-0
Stuttgart
PL31 Aug 2024
Stuttgart
3-3
Mainz 05
PL11 Feb 2024
Stuttgart
3-1
Mainz 05
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
82%
27 / 33 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
18 / 33 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
45%
15 / 33 matches
Both Teams to Score
64%
21 / 33 matches
Mainz CS
18%
Clean Sheets
Stuttgart CS
27%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

29 Oct 2025
Mainz 05
0 - 2
Stuttgart
26 Oct 2025
Stuttgart
2 - 1
Mainz 05
25 Jan 2025
Mainz 05
2 - 0
Stuttgart
31 Aug 2024
Stuttgart
3 - 3
Mainz 05
11 Feb 2024
Stuttgart
3 - 1
Mainz 05
16 Sept 2023
Mainz 05
1 - 3
Stuttgart
21 May 2023
Mainz 05
1 - 4
Stuttgart
21 Jan 2023
Stuttgart
1 - 1
Mainz 05
16 Apr 2022
Mainz 05
0 - 0
Stuttgart
26 Nov 2021
Stuttgart
2 - 1
Mainz 05
29 Jan 2021
Stuttgart
2 - 0
Mainz 05
26 Sept 2020
Mainz 05
1 - 4
Stuttgart

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Mainz
0.96
Form (Overall)
Stuttgart
1.92

Stuttgart is +100% better in terms of Points Per Game

Bayer Leverkusen
1 - 1
Mainz 05
Mainz 05
1 - 1
Hamburger SV
Borussia Dortmund
4 - 0
Mainz 05
Mainz 05
2 - 0
Augsburg
RB Leipzig
1 - 2
Mainz 05
Stuttgart
4 - 0
Wolfsburg
Heidenheim
3 - 3
Stuttgart
Stuttgart
3 - 1
Köln
St. Pauli
2 - 1
Stuttgart
Stuttgart
1 - 0
Freiburg

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