Mainz vs Union Berlin Prediction & Tips | Bundesliga | FootballTips.app
Mainz
HomeFull Time
1 - 3
HT: 0 - 1
Sunday 10 May
Union Berlin
Awayauto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.71
X4.19
24.84
Recommended Bet
Home Win
Stake: High (9/10)
90
Opp. Value
Key Factors
League Rank: Home #10 vs Away #13
Season: Home 1.16 PPG vs Away 1.03 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.40 PPG vs Away 0.40 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.25 GPG vs Away 0.94 GPG
donut_small Win Probabilities
75%
13%
12%
Mainz
Draw
Union Berlin
Match Preview
First-half goals from Phillip Tietz and Philipp Mwene set Mainz 05 on course for a 2-1 away win over 17th-placed St. Pauli last time out as Die Nullfünfer enjoyed a confidence-boosting three points. That result ended a three-game winless streak for Urs Fischer's men.
Union Berlin were heading for a home defeat against FC Köln last weekend until late goals from Tom Rothe and Livan Burcu salvaged a point. Marie-Louise Eta's side have picked up just two points from the last 18 available heading into the penultimate gameweek but are safe from relegation.
Lineups
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
Mainz
Starting 11
-Robin Zentner
GK6.45
-Dominik Kohr
DC6.59
-Stefan Posch
DC6.98
-Danny da Costa
DC6.68
-Phillipp Mwene
DML6.45
-Nadiem Amiri
MC7.11
-Kaishu Sano
MC6.90
-Paul Nebel
MC6.61
-Anthony Caci
DMR6.67
-Phillip Tietz
FW6.94
-Sheraldo Becker
FW6.63
Union Berlin
Starting 11
-Carl Klaus
GK6.67
-Diogo Leite
DC6.75
-Leopold Querfeld
DC6.90
-Danilho Doekhi
DC6.89
-Tom Rothe
DML6.35
-Aljoscha Kemlein
MC6.44
-Rani Khedira
MC6.63
-Christopher Trimmel
DMR6.66
-Livan Burcu
AMC6.27
-Oliver Burke
AMC6.41
-Andrej Ilic
FW6.70
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 32 matchesMainzvsUnion Berlin
radarTeam Profile
Mainz
Union Berlin
sports_soccer
44Attack33
shield
41Defense36
swap_horiz
30Possession17
gps_fixed
61Efficiency51
auto_fix_high
36Creativity17
gavel
41Discipline41
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
41Goals Scored37
50Goals Conceded57
3Clean Sheets6
98Big Chances64
64Big Chances Missed41
8Penalty Goals3
gps_fixedShooting
381Total Shots391
129Shots on Target115
swap_horizPassing & Possession
43.6%Avg Possession39.8%
11,754Total Passes10,507
75.2%Pass Accuracy71.7%
shieldDefending
494Tackles476
332Interceptions277
105Saves89
49.0%Duels Won49.0%
gavelDiscipline
351Fouls401
66Yellow Cards66
5Red Cards3
76Offsides53
analyticsOther
162Corners158
176Successful Dribbles146
4Errors Leading to Goal5
6.78Avg Rating6.71
Statistical Comparison
MainzMetricUnion Berlin
41
Goals
37
24
Assists
22
6.5
Average Ratings
6.5
29
Average Age
27
182.1
Average Height (cm)
187.9
0.8
Shots pg
0.8
48%
Aerial Duel Success
52%
0.5
Dribbles pg
0.3
1.4
Tackles pg
1.1
history Recent Form
MainzW
L
D
L
W
Union BerlinD
L
L
L
D
group Head to Head
PL10 Jan 2026
2-2
PL19 Jan 2025
2-1
PL24 Aug 2024
1-1
PL7 Feb 2024
1-1
PL20 Aug 2023
4-1
62%
Over 2.5 Goals
77%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
85%
11 / 13 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
8 / 13 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
5 / 13 matches
Both Teams to Score
77%
10 / 13 matches
Mainz CS
15%
Clean Sheets
Union Berlin CS
15%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
10 Jan 2026
Union Berlin
2 - 2
Mainz 05
19 Jan 2025
Union Berlin
2 - 1
Mainz 05
24 Aug 2024
Mainz 05
1 - 1
Union Berlin
7 Feb 2024
Mainz 05
1 - 1
Union Berlin
20 Aug 2023
Union Berlin
4 - 1
Mainz 05
4 Feb 2023
Union Berlin
2 - 1
Mainz 05
14 Aug 2022
Mainz 05
0 - 0
Union Berlin
26 Feb 2022
Union Berlin
3 - 1
Mainz 05
3 Oct 2021
Mainz 05
1 - 2
Union Berlin
6 Feb 2021
Mainz 05
1 - 0
Union Berlin
2 Oct 2020
Union Berlin
4 - 0
Mainz 05
27 May 2020
Union Berlin
1 - 1
Mainz 05
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
1.16
Form (Overall)
1.03
Mainz is +13% better in terms of Points Per Game
St. Pauli
1 - 2
Mainz 05
Mainz 05
3 - 4
Bayern München
Borussia M'gladbach
1 - 1
Mainz 05
Mainz 05
0 - 1
Freiburg
Hoffenheim
1 - 2
Mainz 05
Union Berlin
2 - 2
Köln
RB Leipzig
3 - 1
Union Berlin
Union Berlin
1 - 2
Wolfsburg
Heidenheim
3 - 1
Union Berlin
Union Berlin
1 - 1
St. Pauli
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.71
X4.19
24.84
Recommended Bet
Home Win
Stake: High (9/10)
90
Opp. Value
Key Factors
League Rank: Home #10 vs Away #13
Season: Home 1.16 PPG vs Away 1.03 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.40 PPG vs Away 0.40 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.25 GPG vs Away 0.94 GPG
Match Preview
First-half goals from Phillip Tietz and Philipp Mwene set Mainz 05 on course for a 2-1 away win over 17th-placed St. Pauli last time out as Die Nullfünfer enjoyed a confidence-boosting three points. That result ended a three-game winless streak for Urs Fischer's men.
Union Berlin were heading for a home defeat against FC Köln last weekend until late goals from Tom Rothe and Livan Burcu salvaged a point. Marie-Louise Eta's side have picked up just two points from the last 18 available heading into the penultimate gameweek but are safe from relegation.
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 32 matchesMainzvsUnion Berlin
radarTeam Profile
Mainz
Union Berlin
sports_soccer
44Attack33
shield
41Defense36
swap_horiz
30Possession17
gps_fixed
61Efficiency51
auto_fix_high
36Creativity17
gavel
41Discipline41
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
41Goals Scored37
50Goals Conceded57
3Clean Sheets6
98Big Chances64
64Big Chances Missed41
8Penalty Goals3
gps_fixedShooting
381Total Shots391
129Shots on Target115
swap_horizPassing & Possession
43.6%Avg Possession39.8%
11,754Total Passes10,507
75.2%Pass Accuracy71.7%
shieldDefending
494Tackles476
332Interceptions277
105Saves89
49.0%Duels Won49.0%
gavelDiscipline
351Fouls401
66Yellow Cards66
5Red Cards3
76Offsides53
analyticsOther
162Corners158
176Successful Dribbles146
4Errors Leading to Goal5
6.78Avg Rating6.71
history Recent Form
MainzW
L
D
L
W
Union BerlinD
L
L
L
D
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
85%
11 / 13 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
8 / 13 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
5 / 13 matches
Both Teams to Score
77%
10 / 13 matches
Mainz CS
15%
Clean Sheets
Union Berlin CS
15%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
10 Jan 2026
Union Berlin
2 - 2
Mainz 05
19 Jan 2025
Union Berlin
2 - 1
Mainz 05
24 Aug 2024
Mainz 05
1 - 1
Union Berlin
7 Feb 2024
Mainz 05
1 - 1
Union Berlin
20 Aug 2023
Union Berlin
4 - 1
Mainz 05
4 Feb 2023
Union Berlin
2 - 1
Mainz 05
14 Aug 2022
Mainz 05
0 - 0
Union Berlin
26 Feb 2022
Union Berlin
3 - 1
Mainz 05
3 Oct 2021
Mainz 05
1 - 2
Union Berlin
6 Feb 2021
Mainz 05
1 - 0
Union Berlin
2 Oct 2020
Union Berlin
4 - 0
Mainz 05
27 May 2020
Union Berlin
1 - 1
Mainz 05
donut_small Win Probabilities
75%
13%
12%
Mainz
Draw
Union Berlin
Lineups
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
Mainz
Starting 11
-Robin Zentner
GK6.45
-Dominik Kohr
DC6.59
-Stefan Posch
DC6.98
-Danny da Costa
DC6.68
-Phillipp Mwene
DML6.45
-Nadiem Amiri
MC7.11
-Kaishu Sano
MC6.90
-Paul Nebel
MC6.61
-Anthony Caci
DMR6.67
-Phillip Tietz
FW6.94
-Sheraldo Becker
FW6.63
Union Berlin
Starting 11
-Carl Klaus
GK6.67
-Diogo Leite
DC6.75
-Leopold Querfeld
DC6.90
-Danilho Doekhi
DC6.89
-Tom Rothe
DML6.35
-Aljoscha Kemlein
MC6.44
-Rani Khedira
MC6.63
-Christopher Trimmel
DMR6.66
-Livan Burcu
AMC6.27
-Oliver Burke
AMC6.41
-Andrej Ilic
FW6.70
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
Statistical Comparison
MainzMetricUnion Berlin
41
Goals
37
24
Assists
22
6.5
Average Ratings
6.5
29
Average Age
27
182.1
Average Height (cm)
187.9
0.8
Shots pg
0.8
48%
Aerial Duel Success
52%
0.5
Dribbles pg
0.3
1.4
Tackles pg
1.1
group Head to Head
PL10 Jan 2026
2-2
PL19 Jan 2025
2-1
PL24 Aug 2024
1-1
PL7 Feb 2024
1-1
PL20 Aug 2023
4-1
62%
Over 2.5 Goals
77%
Both Team Score
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
1.16
Form (Overall)
1.03
Mainz is +13% better in terms of Points Per Game
St. Pauli
1 - 2
Mainz 05
Mainz 05
3 - 4
Bayern München
Borussia M'gladbach
1 - 1
Mainz 05
Mainz 05
0 - 1
Freiburg
Hoffenheim
1 - 2
Mainz 05
Union Berlin
2 - 2
Köln
RB Leipzig
3 - 1
Union Berlin
Union Berlin
1 - 2
Wolfsburg
Heidenheim
3 - 1
Union Berlin
Union Berlin
1 - 1
St. Pauli
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