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Malaga vs Levante Prediction & Tips | LaLiga | FootballTips.app

Malaga

Malaga

Home
Full Time
0 - 0
HT: 0 - 0
Sunday 6 September
Levante

Levante

Away
MalagaTimelineLevante
1st Half
Chupe (Penalty missed)
close
9'
Lorenzo D.
25'
Rafita
34'
Martinez P.
45+1'
2nd Half
Merino I.Out: Martinez P.
sync_alt
59'
Munoz J.Out: Cruz J.
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59'
Musuayi Y.Out: Romero I.
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60'
Puga C.Out: Rafita
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67'
Enriquez R.Out: Lorenzo D.
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67'
Dela
70'
Sotelo H.Out: Bardeli E.
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77'
Toljan J.Out: Perez N.
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77'
Cortes P.Out: Fernandez T.
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77'
Requena D.Out: Olasagasti J. A.
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86'
Cajuste J.Out: Dotor C.
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86'
Puga C.
90+2'
Mandi A.
90+5'

Top stats

1.47Expected goals (xG)0.81
63%Ball possession37%
10Total shots11
3Shots on target3
2Big chances2
6Corner kicks4
88% (507/578)Passes79% (264/334)
4Yellow cards2

Shots

1.47Expected goals (xG)0.81
1.05xG on target (xGOT)0.83
10Total shots11
3Shots on target3
5Shots off target5
2Blocked shots3
7Shots inside the box5
3Shots outside the box6
0Hit the woodwork0

Attack

2Big chances2
6Corner kicks4
28Touches in opposition box14
1Accurate through passes1
3Offsides0
11Free kicks15

Passes

88% (507/578)Passes79% (264/334)
48% (27/56)Long passes40% (19/47)
75% (96/128)Passes in final third54% (38/70)
23% (3/13)Crosses25% (3/12)
0.59Expected assists (xA)0.49
19Throw ins8

Defense

15Fouls11
75% (9/12)Tackles72% (18/25)
47Duels won53
21Clearances20
9Interceptions10
1Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

3Goalkeeper saves3
0.83xGOT faced1.05
0.83Goals prevented1.05
5Goal kicks6
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Medium Confidence
12.37
X3.37
23.07

Recommended Bet

cancel
Away Win
Odds: 3.00Stake: Low (5/10)
46
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #19 vs Away #9
Season: Home 1.10 PPG vs Away 1.60 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.33 PPG vs Away 1.53 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.00 GPG vs Away 0.80 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

37%
27%
36%
Malaga
Draw
Levante
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.981.94+2.0%
Málaga CF Win2.402.68-10.3%
Draw3.243.74-13.3%
Levante UD Win3.002.79+7.6%
BTTS - Yes1.702.02-15.9%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Match Preview

It's not been an ideal start for Malaga upon their return to La Liga. They currently sit bottom of the table, having picked up just one point from their opening three games.

Levante have improved as the season has gone on. They lost their opening game, followed by a draw, and then secured a 5-2 win over Real Betis last time out.

The last time these two sides met was back in February 2025, when a 1-1 draw was played out. At home against Levante, Malaga are unbeaten in the last 10 meetings.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Malaga

Starting 11
-Alfonso Herrero
GK6.29
-Rafita
DL6.78
-Einar Galilea
DC6.47
-Ángel Recio
DC6.09
-Carlos Puga
DR6.78
-Joaquín Muñoz
ML6.20
-Dani Lorenzo
MC6.80
-Izan Merino
MC6.20
-Carlos Dotor
MC6.59
-David Larrubia
MR6.84
-Chupe
FW6.36

Levante

Starting 11
-Mathew Ryan
GK7.28
-Manu Sánchez
DL6.69
-Adrián de la Fuente
DC6.81
-Aïssa Mandi
DC7.07
-Nacho Pérez
DR6.65
-Thiago Fernández
ML6.66
-Enzo Bardeli
MC6.75
-Oriol Rey
MC6.38
-Jon Ander Olasagasti
MC7.22
-Roger Brugué
MR7.46
-Iván Romero
FW6.40
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 3 matches
MalagavsLevante
0.33Goals / Match1.67
2.33Conceded / Match1.67
0Clean Sheets1
1.33Shots on Target / Match3.67
48.7%Possession %46.7%
87.4%Pass Accuracy %83.6%

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

1Goals Scored5
7Goals Conceded5
0Clean Sheets1
2Big Chances7
1Big Chances Missed4
1Penalty Goals0

gps_fixedShooting

32Total Shots34
4Shots on Target11

swap_horizPassing & Possession

48.7%Avg Possession46.7%
1,459Total Passes1,180
87.4%Pass Accuracy83.6%

shieldDefending

54Tackles48
24Interceptions27
12Saves14
50.0%Duels Won44.4%

gavelDiscipline

32Fouls28
6Yellow Cards2
4Offsides5

analyticsOther

14Corners10
35Successful Dribbles12
6.88Avg Rating7.25

Statistical Comparison

MalagaMetricLevante
1
Goals
5
0
Assists
3
6.3
Average Ratings
6.5
24.9
Average Age
26.7
178.7
Average Height (cm)
176.5
1.1
Shots pg
1.2
34%
Aerial Duel Success
37%
1.7
Dribbles pg
0.9
1.7
Tackles pg
1.4

history Recent Form

MalagaMalaga
1.1 GPG
L
D
L
LevanteLevante
1.6 GPG
W
D
L

group Head to Head

PL8 Feb 2025
Málaga CF
1-1
Levante UD
PL27 Nov 2024
Levante UD
4-2
Málaga CF
PL17 Mar 2023
Málaga CF
0-0
Levante UD
PL4 Dec 2022
Levante UD
1-0
Málaga CF
PL19 Apr 2018
Levante UD
1-0
Málaga CF
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
50%
10 / 20 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
8 / 20 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
6 / 20 matches
Both Teams to Score
40%
8 / 20 matches
Malaga CS
40%
Clean Sheets
Levante CS
35%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

8 Feb 2025
Málaga CF
1 - 1
Levante UD
27 Nov 2024
Levante UD
4 - 2
Málaga CF
17 Mar 2023
Málaga CF
0 - 0
Levante UD
4 Dec 2022
Levante UD
1 - 0
Málaga CF
19 Apr 2018
Levante UD
1 - 0
Málaga CF
1 Dec 2017
Málaga CF
0 - 0
Levante UD
2 May 2016
Málaga CF
3 - 1
Levante UD
30 Dec 2015
Levante UD
0 - 1
Málaga CF
7 Feb 2015
Levante UD
4 - 1
Málaga CF
13 Jan 2015
Levante UD
3 - 2
Málaga CF
6 Jan 2015
Málaga CF
2 - 0
Levante UD
13 Sept 2014
Málaga CF
0 - 0
Levante UD

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Malaga
1.10
Form (Overall)
Levante
1.60

Levante is +45% better in terms of Points Per Game

Real Madrid
4 - 0
Málaga CF
Málaga CF
1 - 1
Deportivo La Coruña
Atlético Madrid
2 - 0
Málaga CF
Levante UD
5 - 2
Real Betis
CA Osasuna
0 - 0
Levante UD
RCD Espanyol
3 - 0
Levante UD

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