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Manchester City vs AEK Athens Prediction & Tips | Champions League - League phase | FootballTips.app

Manchester City

Manchester City

Home
Full Time
5:1
Tuesday 20 October
AEK Athens

AEK Athens

Away
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Medium Confidence
11.10
X11.10
223.10

Recommended Bet

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Both Teams to Score
Odds: 2.14Stake: High (8/10)
82
Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 2.70 PPG vs Away 2.30 PPG
Recent Form: Home 2.70 PPG vs Away 2.30 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 3.00 GPG vs Away 1.40 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.67 conc vs Away 1.20 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

76%
13%
11%
Manchester City
Draw
AEK Athens
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.251.78-29.9%
Under 2.5 Goals3.702.28+62.4%
Manchester City Win1.091.32-17.1%
Draw11.507.46+54.1%
AEK Athens Win22.6113.85+63.2%
BTTS - Yes2.141.71+25.4%
BTTS - No1.642.41-32.1%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Manchester City

Starting 11
-Gianluigi Donnarumma
GK6.36
-Josko Gvardiol
DL7.22
-Marc Guéhi
DC6.58
-Rúben Dias
DC6.44
-Abdukodir Khusanov
DR6.28
-Ayyoub Bouaddi
DMC6.96
-Elliot Anderson
DMC6.77
-Rayan Cherki
AML6.34
-Phil Foden
AMC6.80
-Iliman Ndiaye
AMR7.08
-Floyd Samba
FW

AEK Athens

Starting 11
-Alberto Brignoli
GK6.47
-Stavros Pilios
DL6.96
-Filipe Relvas
DC6.70
-Harold Moukoudi
DC6.72
-Lazaros Rota
DR7.17
-Aboubakary Koïta
ML7.41
-Milán Vitális
MC6.71
-Razvan Marin
MC7.72
-Lovro Majer
MR7.65
-Luka Jovic
FW6.45
-Barnabás Varga
FW6.36
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Match Preview

Manchester City bounced back from their heavy Champions League defeat to PSG with a narrow 3-2 victory over Ipswich, although their defensive vulnerabilities remain a concern.

Enzo Maresca's side have an impressive record against Greek opposition in this competition, winning three of their four previous meetings without conceding.

AEK Athens suffered their first defeat inside 90 minutes this season against Shakhtar Donetsk last week and face a difficult task against a City side with significantly greater attacking quality.

The visitors have never won an away match in the Champions League proper, and City should have enough to secure a comfortable victory despite their recent struggles.

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 7 / 6 matches
Manchester CityvsAEK Athens
2.71Goals / Match2.67
1.00Conceded / Match0.50
3Clean Sheets3
5.29Shots on Target / Match6.33
64.4%Possession %60.3%
89.3%Pass Accuracy %87.2%

radarTeam Profile

Manchester City
AEK Athens
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
89Attack93
shield
55Defense71
swap_horiz
91Possession70
gps_fixed
83Efficiency88
auto_fix_high
99Creativity80
gavel
55Discipline43

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

19Goals Scored16
7Goals Conceded3
3Clean Sheets3
26Big Chances20
15Big Chances Missed9
0Penalty Goals1

gps_fixedShooting

102Total Shots104
37Shots on Target38

swap_horizPassing & Possession

64.4%Avg Possession60.3%
4,458Total Passes3,060
89.3%Pass Accuracy87.2%

shieldDefending

87Tackles92
49Interceptions46
21Saves12
50.9%Duels Won55.0%

gavelDiscipline

75Fouls93
9Yellow Cards11
1Red Cards0
12Offsides20

analyticsOther

39Corners28
72Successful Dribbles39
0Errors Leading to Goal1
7.89Avg Rating7.93

Statistical Comparison

Manchester CityMetricAEK Athens
4
Goals
2
4
Assists
1
6.8
Average Ratings
6.6
23.8
Average Age
28.5
183.2
Average Height (cm)
182.3
2.2
Shots pg
1.4
59%
Aerial Duel Success
66%
0.9
Dribbles pg
1.6
1.9
Tackles pg
2

history Recent Form

Manchester CityManchester City
2.7 GPG
AEK AthensAEK Athens
2.3 GPG

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Manchester City
2.70
Form (Overall)
AEK Athens
2.30

Manchester City is +17% better in terms of Points Per Game

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