Manchester City vs Aston Villa Prediction & Tips | Premier League | FootballTips.app
Manchester City
HomeFull Time
1 - 2
HT: 1 - 0
Sunday 24 May
Aston Villa
Awayauto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.29
X6.68
29.08
Recommended Bet
Home Win
Stake: Medium (7/10)
70
Opp. Value
Key Factors
League Rank: Home #2 vs Away #4
Season: Home 2.11 PPG vs Away 1.68 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.10 PPG vs Away 1.45 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.44 GPG vs Away 1.22 GPG
donut_small Win Probabilities
92%
4%
4%
Manchester City
Draw
Aston Villa
Match Preview
Manchester City's race is run in the title after their draw at Bournemouth on Tuesday saw Arsenal crowned champions for the first time since 2004.
But it still promises to be a day of celebration at the Etihad with this game Pep Guardiola's last in charge of City with the Spaniard expected to announce his departure.
Aston Villa might have had a tough second half of the season, but they clinched Champions League football after beating Liverpool last Friday before winning the Europa League on Wednesday.
Unai Emery is likely to make wholesale changes with very little riding on their trip to Manchester.
Lineups
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
Manchester City
Starting 11
-Gianluigi Donnarumma
GK6.82
-Nico O'Reilly
DL7.01
-Marc Guéhi
DC7.24
-Abdukodir Khusanov
DC6.77
-Matheus Nunes
DR7.03
-Rodri
DMC6.96
-Bernardo Silva
DMC6.77
-Jérémy Doku
AML7.29
-Rayan Cherki
AMC7.07
-Antoine Semenyo
AMR7.16
-Erling Haaland
FW7.53
Aston Villa
Starting 11
-Emiliano Martínez
GK6.78
-Ian Maatsen
DL6.50
-Pau Torres
DC6.53
-Ezri Konsa
DC6.58
-Matty Cash
DR6.74
-Douglas Luiz
DMC6.57
-Victor Lindelöf
DMC6.26
-Emiliano Buendía
AML6.54
-Ross Barkley
AMC6.50
-John McGinn
AMR6.76
-Ollie Watkins
FW6.79
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 37 matchesManchester CityvsAston Villa
radarTeam Profile
Manchester City
Aston Villa
sports_soccer
75Attack45
shield
62Defense42
swap_horiz
87Possession59
gps_fixed
73Efficiency63
auto_fix_high
73Creativity38
gavel
63Discipline62
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
76Goals Scored54
33Goals Conceded48
16Clean Sheets9
118Big Chances83
73Big Chances Missed59
3Penalty Goals0
gps_fixedShooting
578Total Shots471
202Shots on Target165
swap_horizPassing & Possession
60.7%Avg Possession53.7%
21,861Total Passes16,690
88.5%Pass Accuracy85.2%
shieldDefending
537Tackles559
295Interceptions227
89Saves112
52.5%Duels Won49.3%
gavelDiscipline
360Fouls375
66Yellow Cards58
0Red Cards1
43Offsides41
analyticsOther
235Corners195
404Successful Dribbles235
5Errors Leading to Goal14
7.02Avg Rating6.81
Statistical Comparison
Manchester CityMetricAston Villa
73
Goals
51
57
Assists
39
6.8
Average Ratings
6.4
25.3
Average Age
29.4
185.1
Average Height (cm)
183
1
Shots pg
0.8
57%
Aerial Duel Success
50%
0.9
Dribbles pg
0.5
1.2
Tackles pg
1
history Recent Form
Manchester CityD
W
W
D
W
Aston VillaW
D
L
L
W
group Head to Head
PL26 Oct 2025
1-0
PL22 Apr 2025
2-1
PL21 Dec 2024
2-1
PL3 Apr 2024
4-1
PL6 Dec 2023
1-0
63%
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
28 / 35 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
22 / 35 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
43%
15 / 35 matches
Both Teams to Score
51%
18 / 35 matches
Manchester City CS
40%
Clean Sheets
Aston Villa CS
11%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
26 Oct 2025
Aston Villa
1 - 0
Manchester City
22 Apr 2025
Manchester City
2 - 1
Aston Villa
21 Dec 2024
Aston Villa
2 - 1
Manchester City
3 Apr 2024
Manchester City
4 - 1
Aston Villa
6 Dec 2023
Aston Villa
1 - 0
Manchester City
12 Feb 2023
Manchester City
3 - 1
Aston Villa
3 Sept 2022
Aston Villa
1 - 1
Manchester City
22 May 2022
Manchester City
3 - 2
Aston Villa
1 Dec 2021
Aston Villa
1 - 2
Manchester City
21 Apr 2021
Aston Villa
1 - 2
Manchester City
20 Jan 2021
Manchester City
2 - 0
Aston Villa
1 Mar 2020
Aston Villa
1 - 2
Manchester City
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
2.11
Form (Overall)
1.68
Manchester City is +26% better in terms of Points Per Game
AFC Bournemouth
1 - 1
Manchester City
Manchester City
3 - 0
Crystal Palace
Manchester City
3 - 0
Brentford
Everton
3 - 3
Manchester City
Burnley
0 - 1
Manchester City
Aston Villa
4 - 2
Liverpool
Burnley
2 - 2
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
1 - 2
Tottenham Hotspur
Fulham
1 - 0
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
4 - 3
Sunderland
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.29
X6.68
29.08
Recommended Bet
Home Win
Stake: Medium (7/10)
70
Opp. Value
Key Factors
League Rank: Home #2 vs Away #4
Season: Home 2.11 PPG vs Away 1.68 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.10 PPG vs Away 1.45 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.44 GPG vs Away 1.22 GPG
Match Preview
Manchester City's race is run in the title after their draw at Bournemouth on Tuesday saw Arsenal crowned champions for the first time since 2004.
But it still promises to be a day of celebration at the Etihad with this game Pep Guardiola's last in charge of City with the Spaniard expected to announce his departure.
Aston Villa might have had a tough second half of the season, but they clinched Champions League football after beating Liverpool last Friday before winning the Europa League on Wednesday.
Unai Emery is likely to make wholesale changes with very little riding on their trip to Manchester.
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 37 matchesManchester CityvsAston Villa
radarTeam Profile
Manchester City
Aston Villa
sports_soccer
75Attack45
shield
62Defense42
swap_horiz
87Possession59
gps_fixed
73Efficiency63
auto_fix_high
73Creativity38
gavel
63Discipline62
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
76Goals Scored54
33Goals Conceded48
16Clean Sheets9
118Big Chances83
73Big Chances Missed59
3Penalty Goals0
gps_fixedShooting
578Total Shots471
202Shots on Target165
swap_horizPassing & Possession
60.7%Avg Possession53.7%
21,861Total Passes16,690
88.5%Pass Accuracy85.2%
shieldDefending
537Tackles559
295Interceptions227
89Saves112
52.5%Duels Won49.3%
gavelDiscipline
360Fouls375
66Yellow Cards58
0Red Cards1
43Offsides41
analyticsOther
235Corners195
404Successful Dribbles235
5Errors Leading to Goal14
7.02Avg Rating6.81
history Recent Form
Manchester CityD
W
W
D
W
Aston VillaW
D
L
L
W
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
28 / 35 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
22 / 35 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
43%
15 / 35 matches
Both Teams to Score
51%
18 / 35 matches
Manchester City CS
40%
Clean Sheets
Aston Villa CS
11%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
26 Oct 2025
Aston Villa
1 - 0
Manchester City
22 Apr 2025
Manchester City
2 - 1
Aston Villa
21 Dec 2024
Aston Villa
2 - 1
Manchester City
3 Apr 2024
Manchester City
4 - 1
Aston Villa
6 Dec 2023
Aston Villa
1 - 0
Manchester City
12 Feb 2023
Manchester City
3 - 1
Aston Villa
3 Sept 2022
Aston Villa
1 - 1
Manchester City
22 May 2022
Manchester City
3 - 2
Aston Villa
1 Dec 2021
Aston Villa
1 - 2
Manchester City
21 Apr 2021
Aston Villa
1 - 2
Manchester City
20 Jan 2021
Manchester City
2 - 0
Aston Villa
1 Mar 2020
Aston Villa
1 - 2
Manchester City
donut_small Win Probabilities
92%
4%
4%
Manchester City
Draw
Aston Villa
Lineups
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
Manchester City
Starting 11
-Gianluigi Donnarumma
GK6.82
-Nico O'Reilly
DL7.01
-Marc Guéhi
DC7.24
-Abdukodir Khusanov
DC6.77
-Matheus Nunes
DR7.03
-Rodri
DMC6.96
-Bernardo Silva
DMC6.77
-Jérémy Doku
AML7.29
-Rayan Cherki
AMC7.07
-Antoine Semenyo
AMR7.16
-Erling Haaland
FW7.53
Aston Villa
Starting 11
-Emiliano Martínez
GK6.78
-Ian Maatsen
DL6.50
-Pau Torres
DC6.53
-Ezri Konsa
DC6.58
-Matty Cash
DR6.74
-Douglas Luiz
DMC6.57
-Victor Lindelöf
DMC6.26
-Emiliano Buendía
AML6.54
-Ross Barkley
AMC6.50
-John McGinn
AMR6.76
-Ollie Watkins
FW6.79
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
Statistical Comparison
Manchester CityMetricAston Villa
73
Goals
51
57
Assists
39
6.8
Average Ratings
6.4
25.3
Average Age
29.4
185.1
Average Height (cm)
183
1
Shots pg
0.8
57%
Aerial Duel Success
50%
0.9
Dribbles pg
0.5
1.2
Tackles pg
1
group Head to Head
PL26 Oct 2025
1-0
PL22 Apr 2025
2-1
PL21 Dec 2024
2-1
PL3 Apr 2024
4-1
PL6 Dec 2023
1-0
63%
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
Both Team Score
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
2.11
Form (Overall)
1.68
Manchester City is +26% better in terms of Points Per Game
AFC Bournemouth
1 - 1
Manchester City
Manchester City
3 - 0
Crystal Palace
Manchester City
3 - 0
Brentford
Everton
3 - 3
Manchester City
Burnley
0 - 1
Manchester City
Aston Villa
4 - 2
Liverpool
Burnley
2 - 2
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
1 - 2
Tottenham Hotspur
Fulham
1 - 0
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
4 - 3
Sunderland
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