Manchester City vs Newcastle Prediction & Tips | EFL Cup

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Manchester City

Home

Full Time

3 - 1

HT: 3 - 0

Wednesday 4 February

Newcastle

Away

Manchester CityTimelineNewcastle

1st Half

Marmoush O.

sports_soccer

Nunes M.

27'

Marmoush O. ()

sports_soccer

29'

Reijnders T.

sports_soccer

32'

Barnes H.Out: Gordon A.

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44'

2nd Half

Alleyne M.Out: Ake N.

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46'

Wissa Y.Out: Woltemade N.

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46'

Elanga A.Out: Willock J.

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46'

Murphy J.Out: Hall L.

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46'

Elanga A. (Thiaw M.)

sports_soccer

62'

RodriOut: O'Reilly N.

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71'

Haaland E.Out: Semenyo A.

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71'

Cherki R.Out: Foden P.

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72'

Osula W.Out: Trippier K.

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76'

Nico

78'

Lewis R.Out: Nico

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83'

Rodri

90+1'

Top stats

2.22Expected goals (xG)1.32

63%Ball possession37%

18Total shots12

8Shots on target5

5Big chances4

5Corner kicks4

90% (586/650)Passes84% (319/380)

3Yellow cards0

Shots

2.22Expected goals (xG)1.32

2.98xG on target (xGOT)1.24

18Total shots12

8Shots on target5

4Shots off target4

6Blocked shots3

12Shots inside the box6

6Shots outside the box6

1Hit the woodwork0

1Headed goals0

Attack

5Big chances4

5Corner kicks4

34Touches in opposition box14

1Accurate through passes1

1Offsides2

14Free kicks13

Passes

90% (586/650)Passes84% (319/380)

37% (13/35)Long passes47% (22/47)

83% (144/173)Passes in final third68% (66/97)

33% (2/6)Crosses22% (2/9)

1.15Expected assists (xA)1.00

14Throw ins10

Defense

13Fouls14

76% (13/17)Tackles75% (12/16)

45Duels won42

12Clearances17

10Interceptions3

2Errors leading to shot0

0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

4Goalkeeper saves5

1.24xGOT faced2.98

0.24Goals prevented-0.02

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AI Prediction

verified Very High Confidence

11.74

X4.22

24.33

Recommended Bet

Home Win

Stake: High (8/10)

Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 1.60 PPG vs Away 1.50 PPG

Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.30 PPG vs Away 0.95 PPG

Goals (venue): Home 3.20 GPG vs Away 1.25 GPG

Defense (venue): Home 0.60 conc vs Away 1.50 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

68%

17%

15%

Manchester City

Draw

Newcastle

Match Preview

Manchester City will face off against Newcastle United in the EFL Cup at the Etihad Stadium on February 4, 2026 GMT.

Manchester City, with 24 wins in their last 37 matches, have secured 1 win in their last 1 home EFL Cup match.

Meanwhile, Newcastle United has shown strong form in the EFL Cup with 3 wins in their last 4 matches but has suffered 3 losses in their last 6 away matches.

In their recent head-to-head encounters in the EFL Cup, Manchester City has lost 2 out of their last 4 matches against Newcastle United.

This sets the stage for an intriguing clash between the two teams.

Prediction: Under 2.5 goals to be scored.

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

64.4/ 112.8

Dangerous Attacks

55.3/ 100.8

38.0%

Shots on Target

38.0%

15.0

Total Shots

13.4

61.0%

Possession

53.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

2.2

Goals Scored / Match

1.6

0.9

Goals Conceded / Match

1.2

Head-to-Head Summary

Manchester City Wins

67%

Draws

17%

Newcastle Wins

17%

Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

Market	Manchester City	Newcastle
Over 1.5 Goals	92%34/37	81%30/37
Over 2.5 Goals	54%20/37	62%23/37
Both Teams to Score	46%17/37	57%21/37

* Based on last 37 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Manchester City

Home Games: Manchester City

Last 6: Newcastle

Away Games: Newcastle

history Recent Form

Manchester City

1.6 GPG

Newcastle

1.5 GPG

group Head to Head

PL13 Jan 2026

0-2

PL22 Nov 2025

2-1

PL15 Feb 2025

4-0

PL28 Sept 2024

1-1

PL16 Mar 2024

2-0

59%

Over 2.5 Goals

46%

Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals

92%

36 / 39 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

59%

23 / 39 matches

Over 3.5 Goals

46%

18 / 39 matches

Both Teams to Score

46%

18 / 39 matches

Manchester City CS

49%

Clean Sheets

Newcastle CS

Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

13 Jan 2026

Newcastle United

0 - 2

Manchester City

22 Nov 2025

Newcastle United

2 - 1

Manchester City

15 Feb 2025

Manchester City

4 - 0

Newcastle United

28 Sept 2024

Newcastle United

1 - 1

Manchester City

16 Mar 2024

Manchester City

2 - 0

Newcastle United

13 Jan 2024

Newcastle United

2 - 3

Manchester City

27 Sept 2023

Newcastle United

1 - 0

Manchester City

19 Aug 2023

Manchester City

1 - 0

Newcastle United

4 Mar 2023

Manchester City

2 - 0

Newcastle United

21 Aug 2022

Newcastle United

3 - 3

Manchester City

8 May 2022

Manchester City

5 - 0

Newcastle United

19 Dec 2021

Newcastle United

0 - 4

Manchester City

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)

1.60

Form (Overall)

1.50

Manchester City is +7% better in terms of Points Per Game

Tottenham Hotspur

2 - 2

Manchester City

2 - 0

Wolverhampton Wanderers

Manchester United

2 - 0

Manchester City

1 - 1

Brighton & Hove Albion

Manchester City

1 - 1

Chelsea

Liverpool

4 - 1

Newcastle United

0 - 2

Aston Villa

Wolverhampton Wanderers

0 - 0

Newcastle United

4 - 3

Leeds United

Newcastle United

2 - 0

Crystal Palace

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AI Prediction

verified Very High Confidence

11.74

X4.22

24.33

Recommended Bet

Home Win

Stake: High (8/10)

Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 1.60 PPG vs Away 1.50 PPG

Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.30 PPG vs Away 0.95 PPG

Goals (venue): Home 3.20 GPG vs Away 1.25 GPG

Defense (venue): Home 0.60 conc vs Away 1.50 conc

Match Preview

Manchester City will face off against Newcastle United in the EFL Cup at the Etihad Stadium on February 4, 2026 GMT.

Manchester City, with 24 wins in their last 37 matches, have secured 1 win in their last 1 home EFL Cup match.

Meanwhile, Newcastle United has shown strong form in the EFL Cup with 3 wins in their last 4 matches but has suffered 3 losses in their last 6 away matches.

In their recent head-to-head encounters in the EFL Cup, Manchester City has lost 2 out of their last 4 matches against Newcastle United.

This sets the stage for an intriguing clash between the two teams.

Prediction: Under 2.5 goals to be scored.

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

64.4/ 112.8

Dangerous Attacks

55.3/ 100.8

38.0%

Shots on Target

38.0%

15.0

Total Shots

13.4

61.0%

Possession

53.0%

Head-to-Head Summary

Manchester City Wins

67%

Draws

17%

Newcastle Wins

17%

Total H2H Matches: 6

Past Matches

Last 6: Manchester City

Home Games: Manchester City

Last 6: Newcastle

Away Games: Newcastle

group Head to Head

PL13 Jan 2026

0-2

PL22 Nov 2025

2-1

PL15 Feb 2025

4-0

PL28 Sept 2024

1-1

PL16 Mar 2024

2-0

59%

Over 2.5 Goals

46%

Both Team Score

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)

1.60

Form (Overall)

1.50

Manchester City is +7% better in terms of Points Per Game

Tottenham Hotspur

2 - 2

Manchester City

2 - 0

Wolverhampton Wanderers

Manchester United

2 - 0

Manchester City

1 - 1

Brighton & Hove Albion

Manchester City

1 - 1

Chelsea

Liverpool

4 - 1

Newcastle United

0 - 2

Aston Villa

Wolverhampton Wanderers

0 - 0

Newcastle United

4 - 3

Leeds United

Newcastle United

2 - 0

Crystal Palace

donut_small Win Probabilities

68%

17%

15%

Manchester City

Draw

Newcastle

Team Performance (Avg)

2.2

Goals Scored / Match

1.6

0.9

Goals Conceded / Match

1.2

Recent Form Stats

Market	Manchester City	Newcastle
Over 1.5 Goals	92%34/37	81%30/37
Over 2.5 Goals	54%20/37	62%23/37
Both Teams to Score	46%17/37	57%21/37

* Based on last 37 matches

history Recent Form

Manchester City

1.6 GPG

Newcastle

1.5 GPG

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals

92%

36 / 39 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

59%

23 / 39 matches

Over 3.5 Goals

46%

18 / 39 matches

Both Teams to Score

46%

18 / 39 matches

Manchester City CS

49%

Clean Sheets

Newcastle CS

Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

13 Jan 2026

Newcastle United

0 - 2

Manchester City

22 Nov 2025

Newcastle United

2 - 1

Manchester City

15 Feb 2025

Manchester City

4 - 0

Newcastle United

28 Sept 2024

Newcastle United

1 - 1

Manchester City

16 Mar 2024

Manchester City

2 - 0

Newcastle United

13 Jan 2024

Newcastle United

2 - 3

Manchester City

27 Sept 2023

Newcastle United

1 - 0

Manchester City

19 Aug 2023

Manchester City

1 - 0

Newcastle United

4 Mar 2023

Manchester City

2 - 0

Newcastle United

21 Aug 2022

Newcastle United

3 - 3

Manchester City

8 May 2022

Manchester City

5 - 0

Newcastle United

19 Dec 2021

Newcastle United

0 - 4

Manchester City

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