Manchester City vs Nottingham Prediction & Tips | Premier League | FootballTips.app

Manchester City

Manchester City

Home
Full Time
2 - 2
HT: 1 - 0
Wednesday 4 March
Nottingham

Nottingham

Away
Manchester CityTimelineNottingham
1st Half
Semenyo A. (Cherki R.)
sports_soccer
31'
Sangare I.
45+1'
2nd Half
Gibbs-White M. (Igor Jesus)
sports_soccer
56'
Murillo
60'
Rodri (Ait-Nouri R.)
sports_soccer
62'
Milenkovic N.
63'
Hudson-Odoi C.Out: Dominguez N.
sync_alt
63'
Anderson E. (Hudson-Odoi C.)
sports_soccer
76'
Khusanov A.Out: Ait-Nouri R.
sync_alt
77'
Doku J.Out: Foden P.
sync_alt
77'
Awoniyi T.Out: Igor Jesus
sync_alt
79'
SavinhoOut: Cherki R.
sync_alt
82'
MoratoOut: Williams N.
sync_alt
90'
Yates R.Out: Gibbs-White M.
sync_alt
90'
Sels M.
90+4'

Top stats

2.02Expected goals (xG)0.97
70%Ball possession30%
21Total shots9
7Shots on target4
5Big chances2
6Corner kicks1
92% (713/773)Passes82% (266/326)
0Yellow cards4

Shots

2.02Expected goals (xG)0.97
1.93xG on target (xGOT)1.16
21Total shots9
7Shots on target4
8Shots off target2
6Blocked shots3
16Shots inside the box6
5Shots outside the box3
1Hit the woodwork0
1Headed goals0

Attack

5Big chances2
6Corner kicks1
44Touches in opposition box14
2Accurate through passes0
1Offsides3
6Free kicks10

Passes

92% (713/773)Passes82% (266/326)
67% (24/36)Long passes37% (17/46)
88% (240/272)Passes in final third65% (35/54)
17% (4/24)Crosses18% (2/11)
2.13Expected assists (xA)0.36
17Throw ins6

Defense

10Fouls6
60% (6/10)Tackles68% (13/19)
46Duels won41
6Clearances28
5Interceptions6
0Errors leading to shot1
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

2Goalkeeper saves3
1.16xGOT faced1.93
-0.84Goals prevented-0.07
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.40
X5.08
28.01

Recommended Bet

cancel
Home Win
Stake: High (8/10)
83
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #2 vs Away #17
Season: Home 2.11 PPG vs Away 0.96 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.80 PPG vs Away 0.30 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.43 GPG vs Away 0.93 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

99%
1%
1%
Manchester City
Draw
Nottingham

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Manchester City

Starting 11
-Gianluigi Donnarumma
GK6.88
-Rayan Aït-Nouri
DL6.74
-Marc Guéhi
DC7.37
-Rúben Dias
DC7.00
-Matheus Nunes
DR7.07
-Rodri
DMC6.88
-Nico González
DMC6.85
-Omar Marmoush
AML6.45
-Bernardo Silva
AMC6.72
-Antoine Semenyo
AMR7.28
-Erling Haaland
FW7.59

Nottingham

Starting 11
-Matz Sels
GK6.46
-Neco Williams
DL6.87
-Nikola Milenkovic
DC6.56
-Murillo
DC6.80
-Ola Aina
DR6.73
-Ibrahim Sangaré
DMC6.66
-Elliot Anderson
DMC7.10
-Omari Hutchinson
AML6.53
-Morgan Gibbs-White
AMC6.64
-Callum Hudson-Odoi
AMR6.57
-Igor Jesus
FW6.45
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Match Preview

Manchester City will play against Nottingham Forest at Etihad Stadium in the Premier League on March 4, 2026.

Manchester City, positioned 2nd in the league standings, will face Nottingham Forest, who currently sit in 17th place, with Manchester City boasting 59 points compared to Nottingham Forest's 27.

Manchester City has been formidable in the league, securing wins in 64% of their matches, while Nottingham Forest has faced losses in 50% of their last 6 away games.

In recent head-to-head encounters between the two teams, Manchester City has been dominant, scoring 2+ goals in 67% of their matches against Nottingham Forest, who have witnessed Over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 6 away games in the Premier League.

With Manchester City holding a 68% probability of clinching the win, the encounter is likely to see Manchester City emerge victorious as per the algorithm prediction.

Manchester City continue to keep up the pressure on leaders Arsenal after making it four wins on the bounce at Leeds, although the Gunners' win over Chelsea on Sunday mean the gap is back to five points.

City have dropped just seven points at home all season and it's hard to see that number increasing here.

Nottingham Forest didn't move closer to the relegation zone having seen West Ham lose at Liverpool on Saturday, but the Brighton defeat 24 hours later was a golden opportunity missed.

Forest have played Manchester City three times at the Etihad since their return to the Premier League and they've lost all three games, conceding 11 goals and are yet to score.

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 28 matches
Manchester CityvsNottingham
2.04Goals / Match0.93
0.89Conceded / Match1.46
12Clean Sheets6
5.14Shots on Target / Match3.93
59.2%Possession %48.3%
88.2%Pass Accuracy %82.7%

radarTeam Profile

Manchester City
Nottingham
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
71Attack26
shield
64Defense44
swap_horiz
84Possession53
gps_fixed
78Efficiency44
auto_fix_high
74Creativity24
gavel
59Discipline62

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

57Goals Scored26
25Goals Conceded41
12Clean Sheets6
89Big Chances44
57Big Chances Missed28
3Penalty Goals2

gps_fixedShooting

397Total Shots364
144Shots on Target110

swap_horizPassing & Possession

59.2%Avg Possession48.3%
16,078Total Passes11,748
88.2%Pass Accuracy82.7%

shieldDefending

428Tackles469
226Interceptions222
73Saves74
52.6%Duels Won49.9%

gavelDiscipline

283Fouls300
54Yellow Cards40
0Red Cards1
37Offsides44

analyticsOther

149Corners157
282Successful Dribbles212
3Errors Leading to Goal7
7.01Avg Rating6.76

Statistical Comparison

Manchester CityMetricNottingham
54
Goals
26
43
Assists
16
6.8
Average Ratings
6.4
26.6
Average Age
26.1
185.7
Average Height (cm)
182.5
1
Shots pg
0.9
57%
Aerial Duel Success
48%
0.5
Dribbles pg
0.7
1.3
Tackles pg
1.2

League Standings Context

For Manchester City

PosTeamPWDLPts
1Arsenal29197364
2Manchester City28185559
3Manchester United28149551

For Nottingham

PosTeamPWDLPts
16Tottenham28781329
17Nottingham Forest28761527
18West Ham28671525

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

62.1/ 112.2
Dangerous Attacks
52.0/ 94.8
38.0%
Shots on Target
33.0%
15.1
Total Shots
14.1
61.0%
Possession
50.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

2.2
Goals Scored / Match
1.3
0.9
Goals Conceded / Match
1.4

Head-to-Head Summary

5
Manchester City Wins
83%
0
Draws
0%
1
Nottingham Wins
17%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketManchester CityNottingham
Over 1.5 Goals
91%39/43
74%32/43
Over 2.5 Goals
56%24/43
53%23/43
Both Teams to Score
47%20/43
40%17/43
* Based on last 43 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Manchester City

EPL
Manchester City
2 - 1
Newcastle United
FA
Manchester City
2 - 0
Salford City
EPL
Manchester City
3 - 0
Fulham
EFL
Manchester City
3 - 1
Newcastle United
UCL
Manchester City
2 - 0
Galatasaray
EPL
Manchester City
2 - 0
Wolverhampton

Home Games: Manchester City

EPL
Manchester City
2 - 1
Newcastle United
FA
Manchester City
2 - 0
Salford City
EPL
Manchester City
3 - 0
Fulham
EFL
Manchester City
3 - 1
Newcastle United
UCL
Manchester City
2 - 0
Galatasaray
EPL
Manchester City
2 - 0
Wolverhampton

Last 6: Nottingham

EPL
Brighton
2 - 1
Nottingham Forest
UEL
Fenerbahçe
0 - 3
Nottingham Forest
EPL
Leeds United
3 - 1
Nottingham Forest
EPL
Brentford
0 - 2
Nottingham Forest
UEL
Sporting Braga
1 - 0
Nottingham Forest
FA
Wrexham FC
3 - 3
Nottingham Forest

Away Games: Nottingham

EPL
Brighton
2 - 1
Nottingham Forest
UEL
Fenerbahçe
0 - 3
Nottingham Forest
EPL
Leeds United
3 - 1
Nottingham Forest
EPL
Brentford
0 - 2
Nottingham Forest
UEL
Sporting Braga
1 - 0
Nottingham Forest
FA
Wrexham FC
3 - 3
Nottingham Forest

history Recent Form

Manchester CityManchester City
2.1 GPG
W
W
W
W
D
NottinghamNottingham
1.0 GPG
L
L
D
L
D

group Head to Head

PL27 Dec 2025
Nottingham Forest
1-2
Manchester City
PL27 Apr 2025
Nottingham Forest
0-2
Manchester City
PL8 Mar 2025
Nottingham Forest
1-0
Manchester City
PL4 Dec 2024
Manchester City
3-0
Nottingham Forest
PL28 Apr 2024
Nottingham Forest
0-2
Manchester City
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
25%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
88%
7 / 8 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
3 / 8 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
13%
1 / 8 matches
Both Teams to Score
25%
2 / 8 matches
Manchester City CS
63%
Clean Sheets
Nottingham CS
13%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

27 Dec 2025
Nottingham Forest
1 - 2
Manchester City
27 Apr 2025
Nottingham Forest
0 - 2
Manchester City
8 Mar 2025
Nottingham Forest
1 - 0
Manchester City
4 Dec 2024
Manchester City
3 - 0
Nottingham Forest
28 Apr 2024
Nottingham Forest
0 - 2
Manchester City
23 Sept 2023
Manchester City
2 - 0
Nottingham Forest
18 Feb 2023
Nottingham Forest
1 - 1
Manchester City
31 Aug 2022
Manchester City
6 - 0
Nottingham Forest

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Manchester City
2.11
Form (Overall)
Nottingham
0.96

Manchester City is +120% better in terms of Points Per Game

Leeds United
0 - 1
Manchester City
Manchester City
2 - 1
Newcastle United
Manchester City
3 - 0
Fulham
Liverpool
1 - 2
Manchester City
Tottenham Hotspur
2 - 2
Manchester City
Brighton & Hove Albion
2 - 1
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
0 - 1
Liverpool
Nottingham Forest
0 - 0
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Leeds United
3 - 1
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
1 - 1
Crystal Palace

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