Manchester City vs Southampton Prediction & Tips | FA Cup | FootballTips.app

Manchester City

Manchester City

Home
Full Time
2 - 1
HT: 0 - 0
Saturday 25 April
Southampton

Southampton

Away
Manchester CityTimelineSouthampton
2nd Half
Doku J.Out: Kovacic M.
sync_alt
58'
SavinhoOut: Foden P.
sync_alt
58'
Larin C.Out: Stewart R.
sync_alt
61'
Charles S.Out: Bragg C.
sync_alt
61'
Haaland E.Out: Marmoush O.
sync_alt
71'
O'Reilly N.Out: Ait-Nouri R.
sync_alt
71'
Matsuki K.Out: Welington
sync_alt
76'
Azaz F. (Matsuki K.)
sports_soccer
79'
Doku J. (Reijnders T.)
sports_soccer
82'
Silva B.Out: Reijnders T.
sync_alt
85'
NicoAssist: Doku J.
sports_soccer
87'
Edozie S.Out: Fellows T.
sync_alt
89'
Archer C.Out: Bree J.
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89'
Harwood-Bellis T.
90+3'

Top stats

2.06Expected goals (xG)0.17
69%Ball possession31%
26Total shots4
6Shots on target3
2Big chances0
10Corner kicks3
90% (557/619)Passes74% (201/271)
0Yellow cards1

Shots

2.06Expected goals (xG)0.17
0.81xG on target (xGOT)0.87
26Total shots4
6Shots on target3
9Shots off target0
11Blocked shots1
18Shots inside the box1
8Shots outside the box3
0Hit the woodwork0

Attack

2Big chances0
10Corner kicks3
65Touches in opposition box8
2Accurate through passes0
2Offsides3
9Free kicks9

Passes

90% (557/619)Passes74% (201/271)
58% (19/33)Long passes28% (14/50)
88% (272/308)Passes in final third51% (29/57)
25% (3/12)Crosses13% (1/8)
2.03Expected assists (xA)0.19
12Throw ins12

Defense

9Fouls9
67% (4/6)Tackles52% (13/25)
58Duels won43
19Clearances25
6Interceptions4
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

2Goalkeeper saves3
0.87xGOT faced0.81
-0.13Goals prevented-1.19
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.21
X6.96
213.10

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: Medium (6/10)
58
Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 2.00 PPG vs Away 2.60 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.50 PPG vs Away 2.40 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.25 GPG vs Away 2.50 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.25 conc vs Away 1.00 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

80%
9%
11%
Manchester City
Draw
Southampton

Match Preview

Manchester City head into Saturday’s FA Cup semi-final in strong form, sitting top of the Premier League and winning their last five matches in all competitions, although they were wasteful in midweek, scoring just once from 28 shots against Burnley. Pep Guardiola’s side have been dominant in this competition in recent years, winning their last 21 FA Cup ties against non-Premier League opposition and scoring 84 goals in the process.

Southampton FC, however, arrive with significant momentum of their own, going 20 games unbeaten prior to their midweek draw and knocking out Arsenal in the previous round. The Saints have been particularly effective in tight cup ties, winning all four rounds so far by a single-goal margin.

While City’s overall quality and depth make them favourites, their mixed record at Wembley under Guardiola offers Southampton some encouragement. Nevertheless, with their attacking firepower and experience at this stage, City will be confident of reaching another FA Cup final.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Manchester City

Starting 11
-James Trafford
GK
-Rayan Aït-Nouri
DL
-Marc Guéhi
DC
-Abdukodir Khusanov
DC
-Matheus Nunes
DR
-Bernardo Silva
DMC
-Nico O'Reilly
DMC
-Omar Marmoush
AML
-Rayan Cherki
AMC
-Savinho
AMR
-Erling Haaland
FW

Southampton

Starting 11
-Daniel Peretz
GK
-Ryan Manning
DL
-Nathan Wood
DC
-Taylor Harwood-Bellis
DC
-James Bree
DR
-Shea Charles
DMC
-Flynn Downes
DMC
-Léo Scienza
AML
-Finn Azaz
AMC
-Tom Fellows
AMR
-Ross Stewart
FW
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 33 / 44 matches
Manchester CityvsSouthampton

radarTeam Profile

Manchester City
Southampton
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
73Attack61
shield
63Defense45
swap_horiz
86Possession61
gps_fixed
73Efficiency72
auto_fix_high
73Creativity47
gavel
62Discipline57

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

66Goals Scored77
29Goals Conceded53
14Clean Sheets11
107Big Chances129
67Big Chances Missed82
3Penalty Goals1

gps_fixedShooting

503Total Shots631
179Shots on Target237

swap_horizPassing & Possession

60.2%Avg Possession56.9%
19,479Total Passes21,289
88.5%Pass Accuracy84.2%

shieldDefending

489Tackles657
275Interceptions332
80Saves105
52.5%Duels Won49.8%

gavelDiscipline

330Fouls468
59Yellow Cards82
0Red Cards1
41Offsides78

analyticsOther

201Corners254
339Successful Dribbles272
4Errors Leading to Goal9
7.02Avg Rating6.89

Statistical Comparison

Manchester CityMetricSouthampton
16
Goals
8
24.5
Average Age
25.5
184.6
Average Height (cm)
183.2

history Recent Form

Manchester CityManchester City
2.0 GPG
W
W
W
D
D
SouthamptonSouthampton
2.6 GPG
D
W
W
W
W

group Head to Head

PL10 May 2025
Southampton
0-0
Manchester City
PL26 Oct 2024
Manchester City
1-0
Southampton
PL8 Apr 2023
Southampton
1-4
Manchester City
PL11 Jan 2023
Southampton
2-0
Manchester City
PL8 Oct 2022
Manchester City
4-0
Southampton
59%
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
78%
21 / 27 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
16 / 27 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
44%
12 / 27 matches
Both Teams to Score
59%
16 / 27 matches
Manchester City CS
33%
Clean Sheets
Southampton CS
15%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

10 May 2025
Southampton
0 - 0
Manchester City
26 Oct 2024
Manchester City
1 - 0
Southampton
8 Apr 2023
Southampton
1 - 4
Manchester City
11 Jan 2023
Southampton
2 - 0
Manchester City
8 Oct 2022
Manchester City
4 - 0
Southampton
20 Mar 2022
Southampton
1 - 4
Manchester City
22 Jan 2022
Southampton
1 - 1
Manchester City
18 Sept 2021
Manchester City
0 - 0
Southampton
10 Mar 2021
Manchester City
5 - 2
Southampton
19 Dec 2020
Southampton
0 - 1
Manchester City
5 Jul 2020
Southampton
1 - 0
Manchester City
2 Nov 2019
Manchester City
2 - 1
Southampton

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Manchester City
2.00
Form (Overall)
Southampton
2.60

Southampton is +30% better in terms of Points Per Game

Burnley
0 - 1
Manchester City
Manchester City
2 - 1
Arsenal
Chelsea
0 - 3
Manchester City
West Ham United
1 - 1
Manchester City
Manchester City
2 - 2
Nottingham Forest
Southampton
2 - 2
Bristol City
Swansea City
1 - 2
Southampton
Southampton
3 - 0
Blackburn Rovers
Southampton
2 - 1
Derby County
Wrexham
1 - 5
Southampton

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