Manchester Utd vs Aston Villa Prediction & Tips | Premier League | FootballTips.app

Manchester Utd

Manchester Utd

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2h
14:00
Premier League
Aston Villa

Aston Villa

Away
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AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.72
X4.24
24.76

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: High (10/10)
95
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #3 vs Away #4
Season: Home 1.76 PPG vs Away 1.76 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.80 PPG vs Away 0.75 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.93 GPG vs Away 1.29 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

80%
11%
9%
Manchester Utd
Draw
Aston Villa

Match Preview

Manchester United will take on Aston Villa at Old Trafford in a Premier League fixture scheduled for March 15th, 2026.

With Manchester United placed 3rd and Aston Villa in 4th in the league standings, both teams are tied with 51 points each.

Manchester United has secured victories in 60% of their home matches this season, while Aston Villa has notched up 15 wins in 29 Premier League games.

In their past head-to-head meetings in the Premier League, Manchester United has emerged triumphant in 4 out of the last 6 clashes against Aston Villa.

The upcoming match is expected to be a tightly contested battle between two closely matched teams vying for important points in the league.

Our algorithm predicts Manchester United to clinch the victory with a probability of 43%.

Following an 11-day break, Manchester United are finally back in action and will be hoping for a huge response from the disappointing defeat to 10-man Newcastle last Wednesday - their first under interim boss Michael Carrick.

The Red Devils are unbeaten at Old Trafford since losing to Everton in November and have won their last five home games against Aston Villa in all competitions.

Aston Villa's hopes of qualifying for the Champions League are in serious danger of going up in flames following a poor run of form in recent months.

Unai Emery's side have collected just five points from their last six Premier League games and could drop as low as sixth if results go against them this weekend.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Manchester Utd

Starting 11
-Senne Lammens
GK6.54
-Luke Shaw
DL6.59
-Harry Maguire
DC6.66
-Leny Yoro
DC6.36
-Diogo Dalot
DR6.82
-Casemiro
DMC7.02
-Kobbie Mainoo
DMC6.46
-Matheus Cunha
AML7.06
-Bruno Fernandes
AMC7.44
-Bryan Mbeumo
AMR6.92
-Benjamin Sesko
FW6.73

Aston Villa

Starting 11
-Emiliano Martínez
GK6.79
-Ian Maatsen
DL6.53
-Pau Torres
DC6.55
-Ezri Konsa
DC6.64
-Lamare Bogarde
DR6.15
-Amadou Onana
DMC6.76
-Douglas Luiz
DMC6.89
-Morgan Rogers
AML6.84
-Emiliano Buendía
AMC6.53
-Jadon Sancho
AMR6.33
-Ollie Watkins
FW6.69
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 29 matches
Manchester UtdvsAston Villa

radarTeam Profile

Manchester Utd
Aston Villa
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
65Attack39
shield
43Defense46
swap_horiz
57Possession59
gps_fixed
65Efficiency59
auto_fix_high
48Creativity31
gavel
63Discipline61

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

51Goals Scored39
40Goals Conceded34
5Clean Sheets8
84Big Chances57
55Big Chances Missed42
3Penalty Goals0

gps_fixedShooting

462Total Shots365
167Shots on Target126

swap_horizPassing & Possession

53.4%Avg Possession53.6%
13,726Total Passes13,041
82.9%Pass Accuracy85.0%

shieldDefending

528Tackles444
225Interceptions181
66Saves85
50.7%Duels Won49.4%

gavelDiscipline

298Fouls302
42Yellow Cards45
1Red Cards1
46Offsides33

analyticsOther

128Corners154
192Successful Dribbles184
3Errors Leading to Goal11
6.88Avg Rating6.82

Statistical Comparison

Manchester UtdMetricAston Villa
49
Goals
37
36
Assists
28
6.6
Average Ratings
6.5
26.5
Average Age
26.7
184.4
Average Height (cm)
183.5
1
Shots pg
0.8
49%
Aerial Duel Success
52%
0.5
Dribbles pg
0.5
1.1
Tackles pg
1.1

League Standings Context

For Manchester Utd

PosTeamPWDLPts
2Manchester City30187561
3Manchester United29149651
4Aston Villa29156851

For Aston Villa

PosTeamPWDLPts
3Manchester United29149651
4Aston Villa29156851
5Chelsea30139848

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

52.1/ 103.2
Dangerous Attacks
49.8/ 86.0
36.0%
Shots on Target
37.0%
16.4
Total Shots
12.5
54.0%
Possession
54.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.7
Goals Scored / Match
1.4
1.4
Goals Conceded / Match
1.1

Head-to-Head Summary

4
Manchester Utd Wins
67%
1
Draws
17%
1
Aston Villa Wins
17%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketManchester UtdAston Villa
Over 1.5 Goals
87%27/31
94%29/31
Over 2.5 Goals
61%19/31
65%20/31
Both Teams to Score
74%23/31
71%22/31
* Based on last 31 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Manchester Utd

EPL
Manchester United
2 - 1
Crystal Palace
EPL
Manchester United
2 - 0
Tottenham
EPL
Manchester United
3 - 2
Fulham
EPL
Manchester United
2 - 0
Manchester City
FA
Manchester United
1 - 2
Brighton
EPL
Manchester United
1 - 1
Wolverhampton

Home Games: Manchester Utd

EPL
Manchester United
2 - 1
Crystal Palace
EPL
Manchester United
2 - 0
Tottenham
EPL
Manchester United
3 - 2
Fulham
EPL
Manchester United
2 - 0
Manchester City
FA
Manchester United
1 - 2
Brighton
EPL
Manchester United
1 - 1
Wolverhampton

Last 6: Aston Villa

UEL
Lille
0 - 1
Aston Villa
EPL
Wolverhampton
2 - 0
Aston Villa
EPL
Bournemouth
1 - 1
Aston Villa
EPL
Newcastle United
0 - 2
Aston Villa
UEL
Fenerbahçe
0 - 1
Aston Villa
FA
Tottenham
1 - 2
Aston Villa

Away Games: Aston Villa

UEL
Lille
0 - 1
Aston Villa
EPL
Wolverhampton
2 - 0
Aston Villa
EPL
Bournemouth
1 - 1
Aston Villa
EPL
Newcastle United
0 - 2
Aston Villa
UEL
Fenerbahçe
0 - 1
Aston Villa
FA
Tottenham
1 - 2
Aston Villa

history Recent Form

Manchester UtdManchester Utd
1.8 GPG
L
W
W
D
W
Aston VillaAston Villa
1.8 GPG
L
L
D
W
D

group Head to Head

PL21 Dec 2025
Aston Villa
2-1
Manchester United
PL25 May 2025
Manchester United
2-0
Aston Villa
PL6 Oct 2024
Aston Villa
0-0
Manchester United
PL11 Feb 2024
Aston Villa
1-2
Manchester United
PL26 Dec 2023
Manchester United
3-2
Aston Villa
66%
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
74%
26 / 35 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
23 / 35 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
46%
16 / 35 matches
Both Teams to Score
57%
20 / 35 matches
Manchester Utd CS
37%
Clean Sheets
Aston Villa CS
11%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

21 Dec 2025
Aston Villa
2 - 1
Manchester United
25 May 2025
Manchester United
2 - 0
Aston Villa
6 Oct 2024
Aston Villa
0 - 0
Manchester United
11 Feb 2024
Aston Villa
1 - 2
Manchester United
26 Dec 2023
Manchester United
3 - 2
Aston Villa
30 Apr 2023
Manchester United
1 - 0
Aston Villa
10 Nov 2022
Manchester United
4 - 2
Aston Villa
6 Nov 2022
Aston Villa
3 - 1
Manchester United
23 Jul 2022
Manchester United
2 - 2
Aston Villa
15 Jan 2022
Aston Villa
2 - 2
Manchester United
10 Jan 2022
Manchester United
1 - 0
Aston Villa
25 Sept 2021
Manchester United
0 - 1
Aston Villa

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Manchester Utd
1.76
Form (Overall)
Aston Villa
1.76

Both teams have equal form.

Newcastle United
2 - 1
Manchester United
Manchester United
2 - 1
Crystal Palace
Everton
0 - 1
Manchester United
West Ham United
1 - 1
Manchester United
Manchester United
2 - 0
Tottenham Hotspur
Aston Villa
1 - 4
Chelsea
Wolverhampton Wanderers
2 - 0
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
1 - 1
Leeds United
Aston Villa
1 - 0
Brighton & Hove Albion
AFC Bournemouth
1 - 1
Aston Villa

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