Mansfield vs Arsenal Prediction & Tips | FA Cup

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Mansfield

Home

Full Time

1 - 2

HT: 0 - 1

Saturday 7 March

Arsenal

Away

MansfieldTimelineArsenal

1st Half

Hincapie P.Out: Trossard L.

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38'

Madueke N. (Martinelli G.)

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41'

2nd Half

Evans W.Out: Roberts T.

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46'

Evans W.

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50'

Reed L.

60'

Eze E.Out: Havertz K.

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62'

Timber J.Out: Salmon M.

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62'

Lewis A.Out: Abbott G.

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62'

Eze E.Assist: Norgaard C.

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66'

Calafiori R.

70'

Eze E.

74'

Dixon J.Out: Calafiori R.

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76'

Saka B.Out: Dowman M.

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77'

Akins L.

77'

McLaughlin S.

80'

Adeboyejo V.Out: Oates R.

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81'

Irow O.Out: McLaughlin S.

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81'

Hewitt E.Out: Knoyle K.

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87'

Lewis A.

90+2'

Top stats

1.99Expected goals (xG)2.73

33%Ball possession67%

18Total shots19

5Shots on target8

1Big chances4

4Corner kicks8

73% (191/260)Passes85% (459/543)

4Yellow cards2

Shots

1.99Expected goals (xG)2.73

1.11xG on target (xGOT)2.45

18Total shots19

5Shots on target8

9Shots off target6

4Blocked shots5

11Shots inside the box17

7Shots outside the box2

0Hit the woodwork1

Attack

1Big chances4

4Corner kicks8

30Touches in opposition box55

0Accurate through passes2

1Offsides1

6Free kicks16

Passes

73% (191/260)Passes85% (459/543)

38% (21/55)Long passes42% (21/50)

56% (45/81)Passes in final third72% (113/157)

29% (6/21)Crosses8% (1/12)

0.85Expected assists (xA)2.12

16Throw ins16

Defense

16Fouls6

27% (6/22)Tackles80% (8/10)

45Duels won49

27Clearances34

7Interceptions3

1Errors leading to shot0

0Errors leading to goal1

Goalkeeping

5Goalkeeper saves4

2.45xGOT faced1.11

0.45Goals prevented0.11

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AI Prediction

verified Very High Confidence

122.50

X11.40

21.09

Recommended Bet

Away Win

Stake: Medium (6/10)

Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 0.90 PPG vs Away 2.60 PPG

Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.55 PPG vs Away 2.50 PPG

Goals (venue): Home 0.60 GPG vs Away 2.40 GPG

Defense (venue): Home 1.20 conc vs Away 0.80 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

90%

Mansfield

Draw

Arsenal

Match Preview

The FA Cup action continues as Mansfield face off against Arsenal at One Call Stadium on March 7, 2026.

Mansfield enters the match with an impressive record of 3 wins in their last 4 league matches, while Arsenal boasts a perfect streak with 100% wins in their last 2 FA Cup games and 100% away wins in the competition.

Prediction: Arsenal to win by 0-3.

Mansfield’s run to the fifth round has already exceeded expectations, but their recent league form has dipped and the gap in quality is significant.

Arsenal arrive in confident mood, unbeaten in 10 matches in all competitions and dominant against lower-league sides in earlier rounds.

Even with rotation, the visitors should control proceedings and avoid any upset, gradually wearing down the hosts to secure a comfortable passage into the quarter-finals.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Mansfield

Starting 11

-Liam Roberts

-Adedeji Oshilaja

-Kyle Knoyle

-Frazer Blake-Tracy

-Stephen McLaughlin

DML

-Louis Reed

-Harry Lewis

-Lucas Akins

DMR

-Tyler Roberts

AMC

-Will Evans

AMC

-Rhys Oates

Arsenal

Starting 11

-Kepa Arrizabalaga

-Riccardo Calafiori

-Gabriel Magalhães

-Marli Salmon

-Cristhian Mosquera

-Eberechi Eze

-Christian Nørgaard

-Kai Havertz

-Leandro Trossard

FWL

-Gabriel Jesus

-Noni Madueke

FWR

Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 33 / 30 matches

MansfieldvsArsenal

radarTeam Profile

Mansfield

Arsenal

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29Attack66

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57Defense67

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27Possession63

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55Efficiency73

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19Creativity55

gavel

53Discipline68

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

39Goals Scored59

37Goals Conceded22

10Clean Sheets14

61Big Chances87

39Big Chances Missed56

3Penalty Goals3

gps_fixedShooting

366Total Shots430

106Shots on Target147

swap_horizPassing & Possession

46.6%Avg Possession56.4%

12,186Total Passes14,137

73.0%Pass Accuracy84.2%

shieldDefending

541Tackles494

295Interceptions218

92Saves47

49.0%Duels Won52.3%

gavelDiscipline

373Fouls305

52Yellow Cards40

3Red Cards0

37Offsides43

analyticsOther

147Corners173

166Successful Dribbles219

2Errors Leading to Goal5

6.74Avg Rating6.94

Statistical Comparison

MansfieldMetricArsenal

Goals

30.6

Average Age

25.9

180.9

Average Height (cm)

184.5

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

43.4/ 90.7

Dangerous Attacks

58.6/ 100.8

32.0%

Shots on Target

36.0%

11.5

Total Shots

14.9

46.0%

Possession

57.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.3

Goals Scored / Match

2.2

1.2

Goals Conceded / Match

0.7

Head-to-Head Summary

Mansfield Wins

Draws

Arsenal Wins

Total H2H Matches: 0

Recent Form Stats

Market	Mansfield	Arsenal
Over 1.5 Goals	81%34/42	86%36/42
Over 2.5 Goals	48%20/42	60%25/42
Both Teams to Score	57%24/42	50%21/42

* Based on last 42 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Mansfield

Home Games: Mansfield

Last 6: Arsenal

Away Games: Arsenal

history Recent Form

Mansfield

0.9 GPG

Arsenal

2.6 GPG

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)

0.90

Form (Overall)

2.60

Arsenal is +189% better in terms of Points Per Game

Rotherham United

0 - 0

Mansfield Town

2 - 2

AFC Wimbledon

Mansfield Town

0 - 2

Lincoln City

Blackpool

1 - 0

Mansfield Town

1 - 2

Peterborough United

Brighton & Hove Albion

0 - 1

Arsenal

2 - 1

Chelsea

Tottenham Hotspur

1 - 4

Arsenal

Wolverhampton Wanderers

2 - 2

Arsenal

Brentford

1 - 1

Arsenal

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AI Prediction

verified Very High Confidence

122.50

X11.40

21.09