Maritimo vs Benfica Prediction & Tips | Liga Portugal | FootballTips.app
Maritimo
HomeFull Time
0 - 3
HT: 0 - 1
Saturday 5 September
Benfica
AwayMaritimoTimelineBenfica
1st Half
Barreiro L. ()
sports_soccer
7'
Kaminski J.Out: Bah A.
sync_alt
17'
Danilovic V.
40'
Sudakov G.
41'
Igor Juliao
42'
2nd Half
Araujo T.
61'
Schjelderup A.Out: Rafa Silva
sync_alt
62'
Circati A.Out: Sudakov G.
sync_alt
62'
Bamba S.Out: Limbombe B.
sync_alt
66'
Ayuma I.Out: Danilovic V.
sync_alt
66'
Circati A.
66'
Barreiro L. (Pavlidis V.)
sports_soccer
71'
NiltonOut: Igor Juliao
sync_alt
78'
Boakye M.Out: Butzke A.
sync_alt
78'
Duran J.Out: Pavlidis V.
sync_alt
82'
Barrenechea E.Out: Palhinha J.
sync_alt
82'
Prestianni G.
sports_soccer
82'
Dominguez M.Out: Raphael Guzzo
sync_alt
90+2'
Top stats
0.13Expected goals (xG)1.31
40%Ball possession60%
6Total shots11
1Shots on target6
0Big chances1
3Corner kicks5
76% (252/331)Passes85% (438/513)
2Yellow cards3
Shots
0.13Expected goals (xG)1.31
0.02xG on target (xGOT)1.80
6Total shots11
1Shots on target6
2Shots off target5
3Blocked shots0
3Shots inside the box9
3Shots outside the box2
0Hit the woodwork1
0Headed goals1
Attack
0Big chances1
3Corner kicks5
10Touches in opposition box30
0Accurate through passes0
1Offsides2
14Free kicks22
Passes
76% (252/331)Passes85% (438/513)
40% (20/50)Long passes51% (22/43)
57% (39/68)Passes in final third76% (92/121)
22% (4/18)Crosses45% (5/11)
0.15Expected assists (xA)1.18
23Throw ins13
Defense
22Fouls14
76% (13/17)Tackles68% (15/22)
52Duels won64
10Clearances23
13Interceptions10
2Errors leading to shot1
0Errors leading to goal0
Goalkeeping
3Goalkeeper saves1
1.80xGOT faced0.02
-1.20Goals prevented0.02
6Goal kicks5
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
110.40
X6.15
21.24
Recommended Bet
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Home Win
Odds: 10.40Stake: Medium (7/10)
73
Opp. Value
Key Factors
⚠️ Using limited statistical data
Player Ratings Lineups: Home 6.7 vs Away 7.4
Model Consensus: 1-3 (Away)
Statistical Edge: Away leads in 4 categories
donut_small Win Probabilities
27%
Maritimo Win
17%
Draw
57%
Benfica Win
Maritimo
Draw
Benfica
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Win | 10.40 | 3.77 | 11.08 | +175.8% |
| Draw | 6.15 | 5.95 | 6.55 | +3.4% |
| Away Win | 1.24 | 1.76 | 1.32 | -29.7% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
Match Preview
Martin Tejon gave Maritimo the lead at Estádio Municipal de Arouca last time out, but Mitchell van der Gaag's side were overcome by the 55th-minute, suffering a narrow away defeat. That result was the hosts' first defeat of the Liga Portugal campaign, but they face another tough test on Saturday.
After sweeping Aarhus with a 6-2 aggregate victory in the Europa League qualification play-offs, Benfica beat Estoril 2-1 at home in the league, out-shooting their visitors 25-4. The visitors have taken seven points from a possible nine in the league.
Lineups
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
Maritimo
Starting 11
-Alfonso Pastor
GK6.66
-Paulo Henrique
DL6.99
-Romain Correia
DC6.59
-Nilton Varela
DC6.34
-Igor Julião
DR6.58
-Rodrigo Andrade
MC6.79
-Vladan Danilovic
MC6.56
-Raphael Guzzo
MC6.73
-Martín Tejón
FWL7.36
-Adrián Butzke
FW6.88
-Samuel Bamba
FWR6.19
Benfica
Starting 11
-Samuel Soares
GK6.46
-Samuel Dahl
DL7.04
-Clément Lenglet
DC7.02
-Tomás Araújo
DC6.74
-Alexander Bah
DR7.27
-Leandro Barreiro
DMC7.05
-João Palhinha
DMC7.15
-Gianluca Prestianni
AML8.55
-Heorhiy Sudakov
AMC7.22
-Rafa
AMR7.54
-Vangelis Pavlidis
FW8.90
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 34 matchesMaritimovsBenfica
0.94Goals / Match2.18
1.85Conceded / Match0.74
5Clean Sheets14
3.88Shots on Target / Match6.03
48.2%Possession %57.8%
78.4%Pass Accuracy %84.7%
radarTeam Profile
Maritimo
Benfica
sports_soccer
30Attack79
shield
41Defense66
swap_horiz
47Possession74
gps_fixed
40Efficiency75
auto_fix_high
25Creativity59
gavel
1Discipline46
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
32Goals Scored74
63Goals Conceded25
5Clean Sheets14
59Big Chances111
36Big Chances Missed60
4Penalty Goals13
gps_fixedShooting
472Total Shots578
132Shots on Target205
swap_horizPassing & Possession
48.2%Avg Possession57.8%
12,774Total Passes16,324
78.4%Pass Accuracy84.7%
shieldDefending
594Tackles560
334Interceptions263
105Saves83
50.8%Duels Won53.3%
gavelDiscipline
503Fouls379
103Yellow Cards66
10Red Cards4
63Offsides52
analyticsOther
192Corners245
280Successful Dribbles344
6Errors Leading to Goal10
6.71Avg Rating7.00
Statistical Comparison
MaritimoMetricBenfica
6
Goals
10
1
Assists
6
6.5
Average Ratings
6.9
26.4
Average Age
26.5
181
Average Height (cm)
180.5
1.1
Shots pg
2
49%
Aerial Duel Success
53%
0.7
Dribbles pg
1.2
1.4
Tackles pg
1.3
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