Marseille vs Lille Prediction & Tips | Ligue 1 | FootballTips.app

Marseille

Marseille

Home
Full Time
1 - 2
HT: 1 - 0
Sunday 22 March
Lille

Lille

Away
MarseilleTimelineLille
1st Half
Ngoy N.
1'
Verdonk C.
13'
Greenwood M.
13'
Haraldsson H.
13'
Nwaneri E.Out: Greenwood M.
sync_alt
18'
Nwaneri E. (Paixao I.)
sports_soccer
43'
Bodart A.Out: Ozer B.
sync_alt
45+8'
2nd Half
Meunier T.
sports_soccer
49'
Gouiri A.Out: Kondogbia G.
sync_alt
64'
Traore H. J.Out: Nwaneri E.
sync_alt
75'
Perraud R.Out: Verdonk C.
sync_alt
78'
Giroud O.Out: Correia F.
sync_alt
78'
Giroud O.Assist: Meunier T.
sports_soccer
86'
Mbemba Ch.Out: Haraldsson H.
sync_alt
90'
Nadir B.Out: Timber Q.
sync_alt
90'

Top stats

0.60Expected goals (xG)0.97
55%Ball possession45%
14Total shots11
3Shots on target4
2Big chances3
6Corner kicks4
90% (464/518)Passes85% (372/439)
1Yellow cards3

Shots

0.60Expected goals (xG)0.97
0.54xG on target (xGOT)1.51
14Total shots11
3Shots on target4
6Shots off target4
5Blocked shots3
7Shots inside the box8
7Shots outside the box3
0Hit the woodwork0
0Headed goals1

Attack

2Big chances3
6Corner kicks4
15Touches in opposition box17
0Accurate through passes1
0Offsides1
6Free kicks8

Passes

90% (464/518)Passes85% (372/439)
49% (20/41)Long passes53% (27/51)
79% (141/179)Passes in final third73% (71/97)
17% (4/24)Crosses18% (2/11)
0.74Expected assists (xA)0.72
16Throw ins8

Defense

8Fouls6
100% (5/5)Tackles65% (11/17)
22Duels won37
17Clearances22
7Interceptions11
0Errors leading to shot0
1Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

2Goalkeeper saves2
1.51xGOT faced0.54
-0.49Goals prevented-0.46
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.93
X3.75
24.07

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: High (8/10)
82
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #3 vs Away #5
Season: Home 1.88 PPG vs Away 1.69 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.35 PPG vs Away 2.30 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.54 GPG vs Away 1.54 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

64%
21%
14%
Marseille
Draw
Lille

Match Preview

Marseille have won their last three games in Ligue 1, sitting in third place heading into the weekend. At home, they are unbeaten in four, only losing once all season.

Lille are also on a strong run of form, unbeaten in their previous six matches. Away from home, they've won their last two, ending a run of three away games without a win.

When the two sides met earlier in the season, Lille secured a 1-0 victory at home. Before that, the two sides had drawn their previous two matches 1-1, while Lille are unbeaten in their last six meetings.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Marseille

Starting 11
-Gerónimo Rulli
GK6.88
-Facundo Medina
DL6.41
-Leonardo Balerdi
DC6.69
-Benjamin Pavard
DC6.68
-Timothy Weah
DR6.75
-Quinten Timber
DMC6.46
-Pierre-Emile Højbjerg
DMC6.87
-Igor Paixão
AML6.77
-Amine Gouiri
AMC6.95
-Mason Greenwood
AMR7.36
-Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
FW6.90

Lille

Starting 11
-Berke Özer
GK6.70
-Romain Perraud
DL6.82
-Aïssa Mandi
DC6.81
-Nathan Ngoy
DC6.64
-Tiago Santos
DR6.31
-Nabil Bentaleb
DMC6.46
-Ayyoub Bouaddi
DMC6.65
-Matias Fernandez-Pardo
AML6.92
-Hákon Haraldsson
AMC6.74
-Ngal'ayel Mukau
AMR6.20
-Olivier Giroud
FW6.44
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 26 / 12 matches
MarseillevsLille

radarTeam Profile

Marseille
Lille
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
68Attack41
shield
49Defense54
swap_horiz
72Possession64
gps_fixed
84Efficiency58
auto_fix_high
57Creativity39
gavel
30Discipline52

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

53Goals Scored14
33Goals Conceded13
8Clean Sheets4
73Big Chances30
41Big Chances Missed20
5Penalty Goals1

gps_fixedShooting

371Total Shots154
143Shots on Target56

swap_horizPassing & Possession

57.6%Avg Possession56.8%
14,536Total Passes6,285
88.6%Pass Accuracy85.1%

shieldDefending

389Tackles188
198Interceptions101
73Saves24
48.8%Duels Won50.8%

gavelDiscipline

335Fouls135
61Yellow Cards20
4Red Cards1
28Offsides27

analyticsOther

129Corners75
170Successful Dribbles77
3Errors Leading to Goal1
6.87Avg Rating6.88

Statistical Comparison

MarseilleMetricLille
52
Goals
40
39
Assists
28
6.5
Average Ratings
6.5
27.8
Average Age
25.8
182.6
Average Height (cm)
183.5
1
Shots pg
0.9
51%
Aerial Duel Success
52%
0.7
Dribbles pg
0.5
1.1
Tackles pg
0.9

history Recent Form

MarseilleMarseille
1.9 GPG
W
W
W
L
D
LilleLille
1.7 GPG
W
D
W
W
D

group Head to Head

PL5 Dec 2025
Lille
1-0
Olympique Marseille
PL4 May 2025
Lille
1-1
Olympique Marseille
PL14 Jan 2025
Olympique Marseille
1-1
Lille
PL14 Dec 2024
Olympique Marseille
1-1
Lille
PL5 Apr 2024
Lille
3-1
Olympique Marseille
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
74%
26 / 35 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
16 / 35 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
20%
7 / 35 matches
Both Teams to Score
57%
20 / 35 matches
Marseille CS
29%
Clean Sheets
Lille CS
26%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

5 Dec 2025
Lille
1 - 0
Olympique Marseille
4 May 2025
Lille
1 - 1
Olympique Marseille
14 Jan 2025
Olympique Marseille
1 - 1
Lille
14 Dec 2024
Olympique Marseille
1 - 1
Lille
5 Apr 2024
Lille
3 - 1
Olympique Marseille
4 Nov 2023
Olympique Marseille
0 - 0
Lille
20 May 2023
Lille
2 - 1
Olympique Marseille
10 Sept 2022
Olympique Marseille
2 - 1
Lille
16 Jan 2022
Olympique Marseille
1 - 1
Lille
3 Oct 2021
Lille
2 - 0
Olympique Marseille
3 Mar 2021
Lille
2 - 0
Olympique Marseille
20 Sept 2020
Olympique Marseille
1 - 1
Lille

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Marseille
1.88
Form (Overall)
Lille
1.69

Marseille is +11% better in terms of Points Per Game

Olympique Marseille
1 - 0
Auxerre
Toulouse
0 - 1
Olympique Marseille
Olympique Marseille
3 - 2
Olympique Lyonnais
Brest
2 - 0
Olympique Marseille
Olympique Marseille
2 - 2
Strasbourg
Rennes
1 - 2
Lille
Lille
1 - 1
Lorient
Lille
1 - 0
Nantes
Angers SCO
0 - 1
Lille
Lille
1 - 1
Brest

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