Marseille vs Lyon Prediction & Tips | Ligue 1 | FootballTips.app

Marseille

Marseille

Home
Full Time
3 - 2
HT: 0 - 1
Sunday 1 March
Lyon

Lyon

Away
MarseilleTimelineLyon
1st Half
Tolisso C. (Endrick)
sports_soccer
3'
Mata C.
30'
Morton T.
45+1'
2nd Half
Paixao I.Out: Timber Q.
sync_alt
46'
Paixao I. (Hojbjerg P.)
sports_soccer
52'
Himbert R.Out: Yaremchuk R.
sync_alt
60'
Nwaneri E.Out: Traore H. J.
sync_alt
63'
Kondogbia G.
74'
Himbert R. (Endrick)
sports_soccer
76'
Aubameyang P. (Paixao I.)
sports_soccer
81'
Aguerd N.
83'
Pavard B.Out: Weah T.
sync_alt
84'
Abdelli H.Out: Kondogbia G.
sync_alt
85'
Abner ViniciusOut: Tagliafico N.
sync_alt
88'
Aubameyang P.Assist: Nwaneri E.
sports_soccer
90+1'
Nnadi T.Out: Greenwood M.
sync_alt
90+4'
Abdelli H.
90+8'

Top stats

2.00Expected goals (xG)1.20
52%Ball possession48%
18Total shots12
7Shots on target6
2Big chances4
8Corner kicks1
82% (375/456)Passes82% (357/436)
3Yellow cards2

Shots

2.00Expected goals (xG)1.20
2.17xG on target (xGOT)1.72
18Total shots12
7Shots on target6
5Shots off target5
6Blocked shots1
12Shots inside the box10
6Shots outside the box2
0Hit the woodwork0

Attack

2Big chances4
8Corner kicks1
39Touches in opposition box16
1Accurate through passes1
0Offsides4
8Free kicks16

Passes

82% (375/456)Passes82% (357/436)
48% (25/52)Long passes39% (20/51)
72% (98/137)Passes in final third59% (57/96)
38% (8/21)Crosses10% (1/10)
1.83Expected assists (xA)0.79
18Throw ins14

Defense

16Fouls8
76% (13/17)Tackles63% (12/19)
40Duels won58
15Clearances29
8Interceptions2
0Errors leading to shot2
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

4Goalkeeper saves4
1.72xGOT faced2.17
-0.28Goals prevented-0.83
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
12.02
X3.79
23.72

Recommended Bet

check_circle
Home Win
Stake: Low (4/10)
37
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #4 vs Away #3
Season: Home 1.74 PPG vs Away 1.96 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.70 PPG vs Away 2.10 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.64 GPG vs Away 1.50 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

42%
32%
26%
Marseille
Draw
Lyon

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Marseille

Starting 11
-Gerónimo Rulli
GK6.82
-Leonardo Balerdi
DC6.68
-Nayef Aguerd
DC7.01
-Facundo Medina
DC6.30
-Emerson
DML6.94
-Quinten Timber
MC6.29
-Pierre-Emile Højbjerg
MC6.83
-Timothy Weah
DMR6.75
-Igor Paixão
AMC6.69
-Mason Greenwood
AMC7.36
-Amine Gouiri
FW6.96

Lyon

Starting 11
-Dominik Greif
GK6.82
-Nicolás Tagliafico
DL6.61
-Clinton Mata
DC6.78
-Moussa Niakhaté
DC7.00
-Ainsley Maitland-Niles
DR6.72
-Tanner Tessmann
MC6.69
-Tyler Morton
MC6.94
-Corentin Tolisso
MC6.99
-Abner Vinícius
FWL6.69
-Roman Yaremchuk
FW6.34
-Endrick
FWR7.10
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Match Preview

In Ligue 1 action on March 1, 2026, Olympique Marseille will take on Lyon at Orange Vélodrome.

Olympique Marseille, positioned 4th in the standings with 40 points, will clash with 3rd-placed Lyon, who sit ahead with 45 points in the league.

Olympique Marseille has shown strength at home, securing 7 wins in 11 matches in the league, while Lyon boasts a solid record with a 61% win rate in Ligue 1.

Looking at their historical meetings across all leagues, Olympique Marseille has emerged victorious in 4 out of the last 6 head-to-head matches against Lyon.

With the stage set for an exciting encounter between these rivals in the "Choc des Olympiques" derby, the algorithm predicts that over 2.5 goals will be scored in what promises to be an entertaining match between Olympique Marseille and Lyon.

Marseille have been struggling of late, even after the sacking of Roberto De Zerbi. They've failed to win in their previous four games, and have won just once at home in their last three.

Lyon have won three of their previous four trips on the road. Overall, they've won five of their last six matches, and they currently sit one place, but five points, above this weekend's opponents.

Lyon won the last meeting back in August, securing a 1-0 victory at home. Marseille have won the last three meetings on their own turf, however, with Lyon's last victory away coming back in 2022.

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 23 matches
MarseillevsLyon
2.09Goals / Match1.61
1.35Conceded / Match1.00
6Clean Sheets12
5.65Shots on Target / Match4.65
58.1%Possession %54.8%
89.1%Pass Accuracy %85.8%

radarTeam Profile

Marseille
Lyon
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
69Attack52
shield
44Defense63
swap_horiz
73Possession60
gps_fixed
87Efficiency80
auto_fix_high
58Creativity47
gavel
31Discipline23

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

48Goals Scored37
31Goals Conceded23
6Clean Sheets12
66Big Chances65
37Big Chances Missed39
5Penalty Goals1

gps_fixedShooting

327Total Shots273
130Shots on Target107

swap_horizPassing & Possession

58.1%Avg Possession54.8%
13,101Total Passes10,810
89.1%Pass Accuracy85.8%

shieldDefending

331Tackles333
173Interceptions167
64Saves58
48.5%Duels Won49.1%

gavelDiscipline

293Fouls322
51Yellow Cards45
4Red Cards6
26Offsides31

analyticsOther

110Corners130
148Successful Dribbles135
3Errors Leading to Goal2
6.86Avg Rating6.88

Statistical Comparison

MarseilleMetricLyon
47
Goals
36
35
Assists
28
6.5
Average Ratings
6.6
27.4
Average Age
27.5
182
Average Height (cm)
183
1.1
Shots pg
1.1
49%
Aerial Duel Success
46%
0.6
Dribbles pg
0.6
1.2
Tackles pg
1.3

League Standings Context

For Marseille

PosTeamPWDLPts
3Lyon23143645
4Olympique Marseille23124740
5Rennes24117640

For Lyon

PosTeamPWDLPts
2Lens24172553
3Lyon23143645
4Olympique Marseille23124740

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

42.7/ 89.7
Dangerous Attacks
39.3/ 77.3
42.0%
Shots on Target
38.0%
12.7
Total Shots
10.9
59.0%
Possession
59.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

2.3
Goals Scored / Match
1.8
1.3
Goals Conceded / Match
0.8

Head-to-Head Summary

4
Marseille Wins
67%
0
Draws
0%
2
Lyon Wins
33%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketMarseilleLyon
Over 1.5 Goals
79%27/34
65%22/34
Over 2.5 Goals
74%25/34
50%17/34
Both Teams to Score
44%15/34
38%13/34
* Based on last 34 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Marseille

Fr1
Olympique Marseille
2 - 2
Strasbourg
CdF
Olympique Marseille
3 - 0
Rennes
Fr1
Olympique Marseille
3 - 1
Lens
UCL
Olympique Marseille
0 - 3
Liverpool
Fr1
Olympique Marseille
0 - 2
Nantes
Fr1
Olympique Marseille
1 - 0
Monaco

Home Games: Marseille

Fr1
Olympique Marseille
2 - 2
Strasbourg
CdF
Olympique Marseille
3 - 0
Rennes
Fr1
Olympique Marseille
3 - 1
Lens
UCL
Olympique Marseille
0 - 3
Liverpool
Fr1
Olympique Marseille
0 - 2
Nantes
Fr1
Olympique Marseille
1 - 0
Monaco

Last 6: Lyon

Fr1
Strasbourg
3 - 1
Lyon
Fr1
Nantes
0 - 1
Lyon
Fr1
Metz
2 - 5
Lyon
UEL
Young Boys
0 - 1
Lyon
CdF
Lille
1 - 2
Lyon
Fr1
Monaco
1 - 3
Lyon

Away Games: Lyon

Fr1
Strasbourg
3 - 1
Lyon
Fr1
Nantes
0 - 1
Lyon
Fr1
Metz
2 - 5
Lyon
UEL
Young Boys
0 - 1
Lyon
CdF
Lille
1 - 2
Lyon
Fr1
Monaco
1 - 3
Lyon

history Recent Form

MarseilleMarseille
1.7 GPG
L
D
L
D
W
LyonLyon
2.0 GPG
L
W
W
W
W

group Head to Head

PL31 Aug 2025
Olympique Lyonnais
1-0
Olympique Marseille
PL2 Feb 2025
Olympique Marseille
3-2
Olympique Lyonnais
PL22 Sept 2024
Olympique Lyonnais
2-3
Olympique Marseille
PL4 Feb 2024
Olympique Lyonnais
1-0
Olympique Marseille
PL6 Dec 2023
Olympique Marseille
3-0
Olympique Lyonnais
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
76%
26 / 34 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
19 / 34 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
11 / 34 matches
Both Teams to Score
62%
21 / 34 matches
Marseille CS
15%
Clean Sheets
Lyon CS
32%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

31 Aug 2025
Olympique Lyonnais
1 - 0
Olympique Marseille
2 Feb 2025
Olympique Marseille
3 - 2
Olympique Lyonnais
22 Sept 2024
Olympique Lyonnais
2 - 3
Olympique Marseille
4 Feb 2024
Olympique Lyonnais
1 - 0
Olympique Marseille
6 Dec 2023
Olympique Marseille
3 - 0
Olympique Lyonnais
23 Apr 2023
Olympique Lyonnais
1 - 2
Olympique Marseille
6 Nov 2022
Olympique Marseille
1 - 0
Olympique Lyonnais
1 May 2022
Olympique Marseille
0 - 3
Olympique Lyonnais
1 Feb 2022
Olympique Lyonnais
2 - 1
Olympique Marseille
28 Feb 2021
Olympique Marseille
1 - 1
Olympique Lyonnais
4 Oct 2020
Olympique Lyonnais
1 - 1
Olympique Marseille
12 Feb 2020
Olympique Lyonnais
1 - 0
Olympique Marseille

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Marseille
1.74
Form (Overall)
Lyon
1.96

Lyon is +13% better in terms of Points Per Game

Brest
2 - 0
Olympique Marseille
Olympique Marseille
2 - 2
Strasbourg
PSG
5 - 0
Olympique Marseille
Paris
2 - 2
Olympique Marseille
Olympique Marseille
3 - 1
Lens
Strasbourg
3 - 1
Olympique Lyonnais
Olympique Lyonnais
2 - 0
Nice
Nantes
0 - 1
Olympique Lyonnais
Olympique Lyonnais
1 - 0
Lille
Metz
2 - 5
Olympique Lyonnais

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