Marseille vs Metz Prediction & Tips | Ligue 1 | FootballTips.app

Marseille

Marseille

Home
Full Time
3 - 1
HT: 1 - 0
Friday 10 April
Metz

Metz

Away
MarseilleTimelineMetz
1st Half
Aubameyang P. (Greenwood M.)
sports_soccer
13'
Medina F.
45+1'
2nd Half
Paixao I.Assist: Greenwood M.
sports_soccer
48'
Tsitaishvili G. (Hein G.)
sports_soccer
49'
Colin M.
56'
Vermeeren A.Out: Aubameyang P.
sync_alt
72'
Mbala N.Out: Deminguet J.
sync_alt
81'
Ballo-Toure F.Out: Colin M.
sync_alt
82'
Traore H. J.Out: Greenwood M.
sync_alt
82'
Nnadi T.Out: Timber Q.
sync_alt
82'
Kouao K.
84'
Michal L.Out: Toure A.
sync_alt
87'
Abdelli H.Out: Paixao I.
sync_alt
90+1'
Traore H. J. (Gouiri A.)
sports_soccer
90+3'

Top stats

3.34Expected goals (xG)0.48
54%Ball possession46%
18Total shots6
9Shots on target2
6Big chances1
7Corner kicks4
87% (425/490)Passes84% (357/426)
1Yellow cards2

Shots

3.34Expected goals (xG)0.48
3.68xG on target (xGOT)0.21
18Total shots6
9Shots on target2
9Shots off target3
0Blocked shots1
12Shots inside the box4
6Shots outside the box2
0Hit the woodwork1

Attack

6Big chances1
7Corner kicks4
33Touches in opposition box10
1Accurate through passes1
3Offsides0
8Free kicks12

Passes

87% (425/490)Passes84% (357/426)
52% (17/33)Long passes51% (23/45)
73% (94/128)Passes in final third75% (56/75)
32% (6/19)Crosses15% (2/13)
1.73Expected assists (xA)0.35
22Throw ins10

Defense

12Fouls8
69% (9/13)Tackles67% (8/12)
38Duels won38
12Clearances27
15Interceptions17
0Errors leading to shot3
0Errors leading to goal1

Goalkeeping

1Goalkeeper saves6
0.21xGOT faced3.68
-0.79Goals prevented0.68
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.24
X6.78
212.70

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: Medium (7/10)
70
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #4 vs Away #18
Season: Home 1.75 PPG vs Away 0.54 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.35 PPG vs Away 0.55 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.43 GPG vs Away 0.86 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

95%
3%
2%
Marseille
Draw
Metz

Match Preview

Marseille have lost their last two games in a row, ending a run of three victories on the bounce. They've lost just once in their previous five games at home, losing just twice all season on the road.

Metz remain bottom of the Ligue 1 table, and their awful run of form continues. They've now failed to win in their last 16 matches.

Marseille secured a 3-0 victory away at Metz in their previous meeting. Metz's last win over Marseille came all the way back in 2017.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Marseille

Starting 11
-Gerónimo Rulli
GK6.81
-Benjamin Pavard
DC6.61
-Leonardo Balerdi
DC6.66
-Facundo Medina
DC6.45
-Igor Paixão
DML6.81
-Quinten Timber
MC6.46
-Pierre-Emile Højbjerg
MC6.85
-Timothy Weah
DMR6.73
-Amine Gouiri
AMC6.96
-Mason Greenwood
AMC7.32
-Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
FW6.81

Metz

Starting 11
-Pape Sy
GK7.10
-Maxime Colin
DL6.43
-Michel Mboula
DC6.40
-Sadibou Sané
DC6.63
-Koffi Kouao
DR6.82
-Alpha Touré
DMC6.19
-Jean-Philippe Gbamin
DMC6.57
-Giorgi Tsitaishvili
AML6.51
-Gauthier Hein
AMC6.55
-Bouna Sarr
AMR6.19
-Habib Diallo
FW6.58
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 28 matches
MarseillevsMetz

radarTeam Profile

Marseille
Metz
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
67Attack15
shield
46Defense37
swap_horiz
72Possession60
gps_fixed
80Efficiency55
auto_fix_high
58Creativity18
gavel
33Discipline46

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

55Goals Scored25
37Goals Conceded60
8Clean Sheets6
80Big Chances37
46Big Chances Missed22
5Penalty Goals4

gps_fixedShooting

404Total Shots274
155Shots on Target88

swap_horizPassing & Possession

57.3%Avg Possession49.1%
15,511Total Passes12,716
88.5%Pass Accuracy85.8%

shieldDefending

405Tackles481
212Interceptions206
76Saves104
48.7%Duels Won49.7%

gavelDiscipline

352Fouls325
64Yellow Cards46
4Red Cards4
32Offsides40

analyticsOther

143Corners114
192Successful Dribbles212
5Errors Leading to Goal4
6.86Avg Rating6.69

Statistical Comparison

MarseilleMetricMetz
54
Goals
24
41
Assists
14
6.5
Average Ratings
6.3
27.9
Average Age
27.3
182.6
Average Height (cm)
181.6
1
Shots pg
0.7
50%
Aerial Duel Success
48%
0.7
Dribbles pg
0.6
1
Tackles pg
1.4

history Recent Form

MarseilleMarseille
1.8 GPG
L
L
W
W
W
MetzMetz
0.5 GPG
D
D
L
L
L

group Head to Head

PL4 Oct 2025
Metz
0-3
Olympique Marseille
PL9 Feb 2024
Olympique Marseille
1-1
Metz
PL18 Aug 2023
Metz
2-2
Olympique Marseille
PL13 Feb 2022
Metz
1-2
Olympique Marseille
PL7 Nov 2021
Olympique Marseille
0-0
Metz
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
79%
11 / 14 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
6 / 14 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
21%
3 / 14 matches
Both Teams to Score
57%
8 / 14 matches
Marseille CS
36%
Clean Sheets
Metz CS
14%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

4 Oct 2025
Metz
0 - 3
Olympique Marseille
9 Feb 2024
Olympique Marseille
1 - 1
Metz
18 Aug 2023
Metz
2 - 2
Olympique Marseille
13 Feb 2022
Metz
1 - 2
Olympique Marseille
7 Nov 2021
Olympique Marseille
0 - 0
Metz
23 May 2021
Metz
1 - 1
Olympique Marseille
26 Sept 2020
Olympique Marseille
1 - 1
Metz
14 Dec 2019
Metz
1 - 1
Olympique Marseille
2 Feb 2018
Olympique Marseille
6 - 3
Metz
29 Nov 2017
Metz
0 - 3
Olympique Marseille
3 Feb 2017
Metz
1 - 0
Olympique Marseille
16 Oct 2016
Olympique Marseille
1 - 0
Metz

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Marseille
1.75
Form (Overall)
Metz
0.54

Marseille is +224% better in terms of Points Per Game

Monaco
2 - 1
Olympique Marseille
Olympique Marseille
1 - 2
Lille
Olympique Marseille
1 - 0
Auxerre
Toulouse
0 - 1
Olympique Marseille
Olympique Marseille
3 - 2
Olympique Lyonnais
Metz
0 - 0
Nantes
Rennes
0 - 0
Metz
Metz
3 - 4
Toulouse
Lens
3 - 0
Metz
Metz
0 - 1
Brest

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