Marseille vs Paris FC Prediction & Tips | Ligue 1 | FootballTips.app

Marseille

Marseille

Home
Full Time
2 - 3
HT: 1 - 2
Sunday 6 September
Paris FC

Paris FC

Away
MarseilleTimelineParis FC
1st Half
Sinayoko L. (Koleosho L.)
sports_soccer
1'
Gouiri A.
sports_soccer
8'
Sinayoko L. (Pagis P.)
sports_soccer
19'
2nd Half
Gouiri A.
sports_soccer
54'
Matondo R.Out: Pagis P.
sync_alt
64'
Matondo R.
65'
Mmadi T.Out: Paixao I.
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73'
Abdallah K.Out: Gomes A.
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73'
Cornelius D.Out: Aguerd N.
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73'
Simon M.Out: Koleosho L.
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78'
Zabi P.Out: Kebbal I.
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78'
Sinayoko L.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
86'
Sinayoko L.
87'
Mbow M.Out: Lopez M.
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90+1'
Sissoko O.Out: Sinayoko L.
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90+1'
Garcia U.Out: Emerson
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90+1'
Moumbagna F.Out: Abdelli H.
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90+1'

Top stats

1.46Expected goals (xG)2.99
60%Ball possession40%
14Total shots18
5Shots on target7
3Big chances4
5Corner kicks4
93% (596/644)Passes83% (348/421)
0Yellow cards2

Shots

1.46Expected goals (xG)2.99
2.23xG on target (xGOT)3.26
14Total shots18
5Shots on target7
7Shots off target8
2Blocked shots3
10Shots inside the box12
4Shots outside the box6
1Hit the woodwork0
0Headed goals1

Attack

3Big chances4
5Corner kicks4
25Touches in opposition box28
0Accurate through passes1
2Offsides1
12Free kicks10

Passes

93% (596/644)Passes83% (348/421)
57% (21/37)Long passes33% (13/39)
85% (169/199)Passes in final third69% (45/65)
17% (2/12)Crosses29% (2/7)
1.18Expected assists (xA)2.03
13Throw ins11

Defense

10Fouls12
40% (4/10)Tackles68% (17/25)
46Duels won44
23Clearances17
11Interceptions8
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal1

Goalkeeping

4Goalkeeper saves3
3.26xGOT faced2.23
0.26Goals prevented0.23
8Goal kicks12
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.77
X4.09
24.29

Recommended Bet

check_circle
Away Win
Odds: 4.00Stake: Medium (6/10)
58
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #7 vs Away #4
Season: Home 1.80 PPG vs Away 1.40 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.36 PPG vs Away 2.09 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.29 GPG vs Away 1.00 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

53%
23%
24%
Marseille
Draw
Paris FC
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.571.63-3.6%
Olympique Marseille Win1.781.90-6.3%
Draw4.004.34-7.9%
Paris Win4.004.11-2.6%
BTTS - Yes1.591.68-5.3%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Match Preview

Marseille started the season in superb fashion, thumping Strasbourg 4-0. They did, however, suffer a 2-0 defeat against Monaco in their second match.

Paris FC have enjoyed a strong start, failing to concede in their opening two games. They drew 0-0 against Troyes before beating Nice 3-0.

The last time these two sides met was back in January, when a 2-2 draw was played out. In the reverse fixture, Marseille won 5-2 at home.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Marseille

Starting 11
-Jeffrey de Lange
GK6.73
-Emerson
DL7.00
-CJ Egan-Riley
DC6.73
-Nayef Aguerd
DC6.36
-Timothy Weah
DR6.96
-Pierre-Emile Højbjerg
DMC7.40
-Himad Abdelli
DMC6.46
-Igor Paixão
AML7.42
-Angel Gomes
AMC6.86
-Amine Harit
AMR6.24
-Amine Gouiri
FW7.26

Paris FC

Starting 11
-Kevin Trapp
GK7.14
-Thibault De Smet
DL
-Samir Chergui
DC7.81
-Diego Coppola
DC7.40
-Adama Camara
DR7.06
-Maxime Lopez
DMC6.70
-Pierre Lees-Melou
DMC7.67
-Moses Simon
AML6.40
-Pablo Pagis
AMC6.49
-Ilan Kebbal
AMR7.26
-Lassine Sinayoko
FW7.27
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 2 matches
MarseillevsParis FC
2.00Goals / Match1.50
1.00Conceded / Match0.00
1Clean Sheets2
5.00Shots on Target / Match2.50
65.5%Possession %51.5%
91.2%Pass Accuracy %89.4%

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

4Goals Scored3
2Goals Conceded0
1Clean Sheets2
5Big Chances7
3Big Chances Missed4
1Penalty Goals1

gps_fixedShooting

27Total Shots25
10Shots on Target5

swap_horizPassing & Possession

65.5%Avg Possession51.5%
1,335Total Passes1,265
91.2%Pass Accuracy89.4%

shieldDefending

34Tackles36
11Interceptions21
5Saves6
49.1%Duels Won48.5%

gavelDiscipline

16Fouls21
1Yellow Cards1
1Offsides4

analyticsOther

10Corners4
15Successful Dribbles17
7.66Avg Rating7.84

Statistical Comparison

MarseilleMetricParis FC
4
Goals
3
1
Assists
2
6.7
Average Ratings
6.9
27.5
Average Age
28.3
181.1
Average Height (cm)
181.8
1.4
Shots pg
1.4
42%
Aerial Duel Success
32%
0.9
Dribbles pg
1
1.4
Tackles pg
1.7

history Recent Form

MarseilleMarseille
1.8 GPG
L
W
Paris FCParis FC
1.4 GPG
W
D

group Head to Head

PL31 Jan 2026
Paris
2-2
Olympique Marseille
PL23 Aug 2025
Olympique Marseille
5-2
Paris
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
100%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
100%
2 / 2 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
100%
2 / 2 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
100%
2 / 2 matches
Both Teams to Score
100%
2 / 2 matches
Marseille CS
0%
Clean Sheets
Paris FC CS
0%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

31 Jan 2026
Paris
2 - 2
Olympique Marseille
23 Aug 2025
Olympique Marseille
5 - 2
Paris

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Marseille
1.80
Form (Overall)
Paris FC
1.40

Marseille is +29% better in terms of Points Per Game

Monaco
2 - 0
Olympique Marseille
Olympique Marseille
4 - 0
Strasbourg
Paris
3 - 0
Nice
Troyes
0 - 0
Paris

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