Marseille vs Rennes Prediction & Tips | Ligue 1 | FootballTips.app

Marseille

Marseille

Home
Full Time
3 - 1
HT: 2 - 0
Sunday 17 May
Rennes

Rennes

Away
MarseilleTimelineRennes
1st Half
Hojbjerg P. (Greenwood M.)
sports_soccer
2'
Gouiri A. ()
sports_soccer
10'
2nd Half
Embolo B.Out: Szymanski S.
sync_alt
46'
Hojbjerg P.
49'
Aubameyang P. (Hojbjerg P.)
sports_soccer
55'
Nordin A.Out: Tamari M.
sync_alt
67'
Vermeeren A.Out: Paixao I.
sync_alt
72'
Gouiri A.
76'
Camara M.
79'
Mukiele N.Out: Blas L.
sync_alt
79'
Timber Q.Out: Hojbjerg P.
sync_alt
82'
Kamissoko N.Out: Nnadi T.
sync_alt
83'
Lepaul E. (Nordin A.)
sports_soccer
84'
Pavard B.Out: Weah T.
sync_alt
88'
Pavard B.
90+5'

Top stats

3.01Expected goals (xG)2.56
45%Ball possession55%
27Total shots27
11Shots on target6
7Big chances2
4Corner kicks11
82% (328/398)Passes85% (396/464)
3Yellow cards1

Shots

3.01Expected goals (xG)2.56
2.71xG on target (xGOT)1.36
27Total shots27
11Shots on target6
9Shots off target14
7Blocked shots7
19Shots inside the box20
8Shots outside the box7
0Hit the woodwork2
0Headed goals1

Attack

7Big chances2
4Corner kicks11
36Touches in opposition box51
1Accurate through passes0
2Offsides2
10Free kicks11

Passes

82% (328/398)Passes85% (396/464)
42% (22/52)Long passes56% (24/43)
76% (105/139)Passes in final third77% (98/127)
17% (2/12)Crosses22% (7/32)
1.72Expected assists (xA)1.45
22Throw ins17

Defense

11Fouls10
94% (17/18)Tackles47% (8/17)
44Duels won53
45Clearances25
10Interceptions7
1Errors leading to shot1
0Errors leading to goal1

Goalkeeping

4Goalkeeper saves8
1.36xGOT faced2.71
0.36Goals prevented-0.29
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified High Confidence
12.10
X3.79
23.47

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: Low (5/10)
47
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #6 vs Away #5
Season: Home 1.70 PPG vs Away 1.79 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.40 PPG vs Away 2.25 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.38 GPG vs Away 1.75 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

44%
33%
23%
Marseille
Draw
Rennes

Match Preview

Marseille could climb up to fifth if they win this weekend. They're on a disappointing run of form, however, winning just once in their last four.

Rennes could see themselves climb as high as third if results go their way. They go into the game in strong form, winning five of their last six.

When the two sides last met in February in the Coupe de France, Marseille secured a 3-0 victory. At home, Marseille are unbeaten since 2017 against Rennes.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Marseille

Starting 11
-Gerónimo Rulli
GK6.75
-Facundo Medina
DC6.51
-Leonardo Balerdi
DC6.73
-Benjamin Pavard
DC6.64
-Emerson
DML6.82
-Quinten Timber
MC6.50
-Pierre-Emile Højbjerg
MC6.85
-Timothy Weah
DMR6.71
-Igor Paixão
AMC6.76
-Mason Greenwood
AMC7.28
-Amine Gouiri
FW6.89

Rennes

Starting 11
-Mathys Silistre
GK5.33
-Quentin Merlin
DL6.76
-Lilian Brassier
DC6.70
-Abdelhamid Aït Boudlal
DC6.68
-Aboubakar Nagida
DR6.48
-Mousa Tamari
ML6.74
-Mahdi Camara
MC6.79
-Valentin Rongier
MC7.11
-Sebastian Szymanski
MR6.65
-Breel Embolo
FW6.64
-Estéban Lepaul
FW7.03
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 33 matches
MarseillevsRennes

radarTeam Profile

Marseille
Rennes
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
65Attack55
shield
46Defense51
swap_horiz
71Possession60
gps_fixed
74Efficiency78
auto_fix_high
57Creativity44
gavel
33Discipline44

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

60Goals Scored58
44Goals Conceded47
9Clean Sheets10
96Big Chances78
57Big Chances Missed38
6Penalty Goals5

gps_fixedShooting

486Total Shots454
183Shots on Target163

swap_horizPassing & Possession

57.3%Avg Possession53.5%
17,985Total Passes15,754
88.1%Pass Accuracy84.7%

shieldDefending

489Tackles532
266Interceptions290
85Saves87
49.0%Duels Won50.2%

gavelDiscipline

421Fouls411
77Yellow Cards56
4Red Cards4
39Offsides80

analyticsOther

172Corners193
225Successful Dribbles222
7Errors Leading to Goal9
6.85Avg Rating6.84

Statistical Comparison

MarseilleMetricRennes
59
Goals
55
45
Assists
40
6.5
Average Ratings
6.4
27.5
Average Age
25.3
181.6
Average Height (cm)
178.9
0.9
Shots pg
0.9
52%
Aerial Duel Success
53%
0.6
Dribbles pg
0.5
1.1
Tackles pg
1.2

history Recent Form

MarseilleMarseille
1.7 GPG
W
L
D
L
W
RennesRennes
1.8 GPG
W
L
W
W
W

group Head to Head

PL3 Feb 2026
Olympique Marseille
3-0
Rennes
PL15 Aug 2025
Rennes
1-0
Olympique Marseille
PL17 May 2025
Olympique Marseille
4-2
Rennes
PL11 Jan 2025
Rennes
1-2
Olympique Marseille
PL17 Mar 2024
Rennes
2-0
Olympique Marseille
39%
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
75%
27 / 36 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
14 / 36 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
8 / 36 matches
Both Teams to Score
50%
18 / 36 matches
Marseille CS
36%
Clean Sheets
Rennes CS
17%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

3 Feb 2026
Olympique Marseille
3 - 0
Rennes
15 Aug 2025
Rennes
1 - 0
Olympique Marseille
17 May 2025
Olympique Marseille
4 - 2
Rennes
11 Jan 2025
Rennes
1 - 2
Olympique Marseille
17 Mar 2024
Rennes
2 - 0
Olympique Marseille
21 Jan 2024
Rennes
1 - 1
Olympique Marseille
3 Dec 2023
Olympique Marseille
2 - 0
Rennes
5 Mar 2023
Rennes
0 - 1
Olympique Marseille
20 Jan 2023
Olympique Marseille
1 - 0
Rennes
18 Sept 2022
Olympique Marseille
1 - 1
Rennes
14 May 2022
Rennes
2 - 0
Olympique Marseille
19 Sept 2021
Olympique Marseille
2 - 0
Rennes

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Marseille
1.70
Form (Overall)
Rennes
1.79

Rennes is +5% better in terms of Points Per Game

Le Havre
0 - 1
Olympique Marseille
Nantes
3 - 0
Olympique Marseille
Olympique Marseille
1 - 1
Nice
Lorient
2 - 0
Olympique Marseille
Olympique Marseille
3 - 1
Metz
Rennes
2 - 1
Paris
Olympique Lyonnais
4 - 2
Rennes
Rennes
2 - 1
Nantes
Strasbourg
0 - 3
Rennes
Rennes
2 - 1
Angers SCO

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