Marseille vs Toulouse Prediction & Tips | Coupe de France

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Marseille

Home

Full Time

2 - 3

HT: 1 - 1

Pens: 3 - 4

Wednesday 4 March

Toulouse

Away

MarseilleTimelineToulouse

1st Half

Greenwood M.(Penalty)

sports_soccer

Abdelli H.

11'

Gboho Y.

sports_soccer

13'

Greenwood M.

35'

Emersonn

37'

2nd Half

Nwaneri E.Out: Abdelli H.

sync_alt

46'

Paixao I. (Kondogbia G.)

sports_soccer

56'

Nadir B.Out: Vermeeren A.

sync_alt

58'

Cresswell C. (Donnum A.)

sports_soccer

60'

Kamanzi W.Out: Cresswell C.

sync_alt

65'

Russell-Rowe J.Out: Emersonn

sync_alt

83'

Traore H. J.Out: Paixao I.

sync_alt

90'

Penalties

Donnum A.(Penalty)

sports_soccer

Greenwood M.(Penalty)

sports_soccer

Gboho Y.(Penalty)

sports_soccer

Aubameyang P.(Penalty)

sports_soccer

Sidibe D.(Penalty)

sports_soccer

Balerdi L. (Penalty missed)

Casseres C. (Penalty missed)

Aguerd N.(Penalty)

sports_soccer

Demba P.(Penalty)

sports_soccer

Nwaneri E. (Penalty missed)

Top stats

1.20Expected goals (xG)1.24

62%Ball possession38%

14Total shots11

3Shots on target6

1Big chances5

6Corner kicks6

87% (448/514)Passes81% (257/317)

2Yellow cards1

Shots

1.20Expected goals (xG)1.24

1.36xG on target (xGOT)2.36

14Total shots11

3Shots on target6

6Shots off target3

5Blocked shots2

5Shots inside the box8

9Shots outside the box3

1Hit the woodwork0

0Headed goals1

Attack

1Big chances5

6Corner kicks6

29Touches in opposition box17

0Accurate through passes1

3Offsides2

11Free kicks9

Passes

87% (448/514)Passes81% (257/317)

53% (24/45)Long passes46% (21/46)

73% (88/121)Passes in final third65% (49/75)

16% (4/25)Crosses47% (7/15)

0.54Expected assists (xA)1.01

17Throw ins12

Defense

9Fouls11

50% (7/14)Tackles45% (5/11)

43Duels won47

25Clearances36

12Interceptions7

0Errors leading to shot0

0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

4Goalkeeper saves1

2.36xGOT faced1.36

0.36Goals prevented-0.64

auto_awesome

AI Prediction

verified Very High Confidence

11.64

X3.96

24.91

Recommended Bet

Home Win

Stake: Medium (8/10)

Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 1.40 PPG vs Away 1.20 PPG

Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.20 PPG vs Away 0.35 PPG

Goals (venue): Home 2.20 GPG vs Away 0.80 GPG

Defense (venue): Home 1.60 conc vs Away 1.00 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

76%

13%

11%

Marseille

Draw

Toulouse

Match Preview

The upcoming Coupe de France fixture on March 4, 2026 GMT will see Olympique Marseille square off against Toulouse at Stade Vélodrome.

Olympique Marseille has been a dominant force with 40 wins in their last 72 matches and 21 victories in their recent 35 home games.

Toulouse, on the other hand, has shown strength with a 67 percent win rate in their last 3 Coupe de France encounters but has struggled with 3 losses in their last 6 away matches.

In their previous head-to-head matchups, Olympique Marseille and Toulouse have recorded a 50 percent draw rate.

The statistical data points to a competitive match on the horizon.

Our model predicts Olympique Marseille to clinch the victory with a probability of 45%.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Marseille

Starting 11

17Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang

CF7.25

2Timothy Weah

RW7.34

10Mason Greenwood

RW8.58

19Geoffrey Kondogbia

CDM2.14

11Hamed Traorè

CAM7.83

8Pierre-Emile Højbjerg (Injured)

CM4.92

6Quinten Maduro

CM6.54

5Leonardo Balerdi (Injured)

CB5.25

-Nayef Aguerd

3Emerson Palmieri

LB7.26

-Gerónimo Rulli

Substitutes

7Ethan Chidiebere Nwaneri

6.57

11Igor Paixão

LW7.38

-Tochukwu Nadi

-Himad Abdelli

CAM

-Arthur Vermeeren

20Conrad Jonathan Egan Riley

CB4.86

4Benjamin Pavard

RB7.18

14Facundo Medina

CB6.95

1Jeffrey de Lange

GK7.30

Toulouse

Starting 11

14Santiago Hidalgo Massa

6.97

7Julián Vignolo

4.59

10Yann Gboho

CAM7.27

6Pape Demba Diop

7.05

18Dayann Methalie

6.27

8Alexis Vossah

3.33

3Mark McKenzie

CB7.26

4Charlie Cresswell

3.42

11Warren Kamanzi

RB7.18

19Djibril Sidibé

-Guillaume Restes

Substitutes

-Jacen Russell-Rowe

9Emersonn Correia da Silva

6.77

-Noah Lahmadi

-Naime Ben Zayer Said Mchindra

-Gaetan Bakhouche Piernas

4Mário Sauer

6.59

5Seny Koumbassa

6.97

-Thibaud-Dorian Garondo

1Kjetil Haug

GK6.51

Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 24 matches

MarseillevsToulouse

radarTeam Profile

Marseille

Toulouse

sports_soccer

71Attack38

shield

43Defense57

swap_horiz

72Possession46

gps_fixed

87Efficiency66

auto_fix_high

58Creativity29

gavel

30Discipline31

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

51Goals Scored33

33Goals Conceded28

6Clean Sheets8

69Big Chances43

38Big Chances Missed23

5Penalty Goals4

gps_fixedShooting

345Total Shots314

137Shots on Target109

swap_horizPassing & Possession

57.8%Avg Possession42.9%

13,557Total Passes8,884

88.8%Pass Accuracy81.2%

shieldDefending

350Tackles398

181Interceptions222

68Saves50

48.3%Duels Won49.7%

gavelDiscipline

309Fouls344

54Yellow Cards56

4Red Cards2

26Offsides25

analyticsOther

118Corners117

151Successful Dribbles189

3Errors Leading to Goal4

6.87Avg Rating6.80

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

47.7/ 101.8

Dangerous Attacks

40.1/ 82.8

41.0%

Shots on Target

34.0%

14.0

Total Shots

11.9

61.0%

Possession

43.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

2.2

Goals Scored / Match

1.4

Goals Conceded / Match

1.1

Head-to-Head Summary

Marseille Wins

50%

Draws

50%

Toulouse Wins

Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

Market	Marseille	Toulouse
Over 1.5 Goals	88%63/72	24%17/72
Over 2.5 Goals	71%51/72	17%12/72
Both Teams to Score	57%41/72	17%12/72

* Based on last 72 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Marseille

Home Games: Marseille

Last 6: Toulouse

Away Games: Toulouse

history Recent Form

Marseille

1.4 GPG

Toulouse

1.2 GPG

group Head to Head

PL29 Nov 2025

2-2

PL6 Apr 2025

3-2

PL31 Aug 2024

1-3

PL21 Apr 2024

2-2

PL17 Sept 2023

0-0

47%

Over 2.5 Goals

60%

Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals

73%

22 / 30 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

47%

14 / 30 matches

Over 3.5 Goals

37%

11 / 30 matches

Both Teams to Score

60%

18 / 30 matches

Marseille CS

37%

Clean Sheets

Toulouse CS

17%

Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

29 Nov 2025

Olympique Marseille

2 - 2

Toulouse

6 Apr 2025

Olympique Marseille

3 - 2

Toulouse

31 Aug 2024

Toulouse

1 - 3

Olympique Marseille

21 Apr 2024

Toulouse

2 - 2

Olympique Marseille

17 Sept 2023

Olympique Marseille

0 - 0

Toulouse

19 Feb 2023

Toulouse

2 - 3

Olympique Marseille

29 Dec 2022

Olympique Marseille

6 - 1

Toulouse

8 Feb 2020

Olympique Marseille

1 - 0

Toulouse

24 Nov 2019

Toulouse

0 - 2

Olympique Marseille

18 May 2019

Toulouse

2 - 5

Olympique Marseille

10 Aug 2018

Olympique Marseille

4 - 0

Toulouse

11 Mar 2018

Toulouse

1 - 2

Olympique Marseille

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)

1.40

Form (Overall)

1.20

Marseille is +17% better in terms of Points Per Game

Olympique Marseille

3 - 2

Olympique Lyonnais

Brest

2 - 0

Olympique Marseille

2 - 2

Strasbourg

PSG

5 - 0

Olympique Marseille

Paris

2 - 2

Olympique Marseille

Rennes

1 - 0

Toulouse

1 - 1

Paris

Le Havre

2 - 1

Toulouse

Angers SCO

1 - 0

Toulouse

0 - 0

Auxerre

auto_awesome

AI Prediction

verified Very High Confidence

11.64

X3.96

24.91

Recommended Bet

Home Win

Stake: Medium (8/10)

Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 1.40 PPG vs Away 1.20 PPG

Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.20 PPG vs Away 0.35 PPG

Goals (venue): Home 2.20 GPG vs Away 0.80 GPG

Defense (venue): Home 1.60 conc vs Away 1.00 conc

Match Preview

The upcoming Coupe de France fixture on March 4, 2026 GMT will see Olympique Marseille square off against Toulouse at Stade Vélodrome.

Olympique Marseille has been a dominant force with 40 wins in their last 72 matches and 21 victories in their recent 35 home games.

Toulouse, on the other hand, has shown strength with a 67 percent win rate in their last 3 Coupe de France encounters but has struggled with 3 losses in their last 6 away matches.

In their previous head-to-head matchups, Olympique Marseille and Toulouse have recorded a 50 percent draw rate.

The statistical data points to a competitive match on the horizon.

Our model predicts Olympique Marseille to clinch the victory with a probability of 45%.

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 24 matches

MarseillevsToulouse

radarTeam Profile

Marseille

Toulouse

sports_soccer

71Attack38

shield

43Defense57

swap_horiz

72Possession46

gps_fixed

87Efficiency66

auto_fix_high

58Creativity29

gavel

30Discipline31

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

51Goals Scored33

33Goals Conceded28

6Clean Sheets8

69Big Chances43

38Big Chances Missed23

5Penalty Goals4

gps_fixedShooting

345Total Shots314

137Shots on Target109

swap_horizPassing & Possession

57.8%Avg Possession42.9%

13,557Total Passes8,884

88.8%Pass Accuracy81.2%

shieldDefending

350Tackles398

181Interceptions222

68Saves50

48.3%Duels Won49.7%

gavelDiscipline

309Fouls344

54Yellow Cards56

4Red Cards2

26Offsides25

analyticsOther

118Corners117

151Successful Dribbles189

3Errors Leading to Goal4

6.87Avg Rating6.80

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

47.7/ 101.8

Dangerous Attacks

40.1/ 82.8

41.0%

Shots on Target

34.0%

14.0

Total Shots

11.9

61.0%

Possession

43.0%

Head-to-Head Summary

Marseille Wins

50%

Draws

50%

Toulouse Wins

Total H2H Matches: 6

Past Matches

Last 6: Marseille

Home Games: Marseille

Last 6: Toulouse

Away Games: Toulouse

group Head to Head

PL29 Nov 2025

2-2

PL6 Apr 2025

3-2

PL31 Aug 2024

1-3

PL21 Apr 2024

2-2

PL17 Sept 2023

0-0

47%

Over 2.5 Goals

60%

Both Team Score

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)

1.40

Form (Overall)

1.20

Marseille is +17% better in terms of Points Per Game

Olympique Marseille

3 - 2

Olympique Lyonnais

Brest

2 - 0

Olympique Marseille

2 - 2

Strasbourg

PSG

5 - 0

Olympique Marseille

Paris

2 - 2

Olympique Marseille

Rennes

1 - 0

Toulouse

1 - 1

Paris

Le Havre

2 - 1

Toulouse

Angers SCO

1 - 0

Toulouse

0 - 0

Auxerre

donut_small Win Probabilities

76%

13%

11%

Marseille

Draw

Toulouse

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Marseille

Starting 11

17Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang

CF7.25

2Timothy Weah

RW7.34

10Mason Greenwood

RW8.58

19Geoffrey Kondogbia

CDM2.14

11Hamed Traorè

CAM7.83

8Pierre-Emile Højbjerg (Injured)

CM4.92

6Quinten Maduro

CM6.54

5Leonardo Balerdi (Injured)

CB5.25

-Nayef Aguerd

3Emerson Palmieri

LB7.26

-Gerónimo Rulli

Substitutes

7Ethan Chidiebere Nwaneri

6.57

11Igor Paixão

LW7.38

-Tochukwu Nadi

-Himad Abdelli

CAM

-Arthur Vermeeren

20Conrad Jonathan Egan Riley

CB4.86

4Benjamin Pavard

RB7.18

14Facundo Medina

CB6.95

1Jeffrey de Lange

GK7.30

Toulouse

Starting 11

14Santiago Hidalgo Massa

6.97

7Julián Vignolo

4.59

10Yann Gboho

CAM7.27

6Pape Demba Diop

7.05

18Dayann Methalie

6.27

8Alexis Vossah

3.33

3Mark McKenzie

CB7.26

4Charlie Cresswell

3.42

11Warren Kamanzi

RB7.18

19Djibril Sidibé

-Guillaume Restes

Substitutes

-Jacen Russell-Rowe

9Emersonn Correia da Silva

6.77

-Noah Lahmadi

-Naime Ben Zayer Said Mchindra

-Gaetan Bakhouche Piernas

4Mário Sauer

6.59

5Seny Koumbassa

6.97

-Thibaud-Dorian Garondo

1Kjetil Haug

GK6.51

Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Team Performance (Avg)

2.2

Goals Scored / Match

1.4

Goals Conceded / Match

1.1

Recent Form Stats

Market	Marseille	Toulouse
Over 1.5 Goals	88%63/72	24%17/72
Over 2.5 Goals	71%51/72	17%12/72
Both Teams to Score	57%41/72	17%12/72

* Based on last 72 matches

history Recent Form

Marseille

1.4 GPG

Toulouse

1.2 GPG

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals

73%

22 / 30 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

47%

14 / 30 matches

Over 3.5 Goals

37%

11 / 30 matches

Both Teams to Score

60%

18 / 30 matches

Marseille CS

37%

Clean Sheets

Toulouse CS

17%

Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

29 Nov 2025

Olympique Marseille

2 - 2

Toulouse

6 Apr 2025

Olympique Marseille

3 - 2

Toulouse

31 Aug 2024

Toulouse

1 - 3

Olympique Marseille

21 Apr 2024

Toulouse

2 - 2

Olympique Marseille

17 Sept 2023

Olympique Marseille

0 - 0

Toulouse

19 Feb 2023

Toulouse

2 - 3

Olympique Marseille

29 Dec 2022

Olympique Marseille

6 - 1

Toulouse

8 Feb 2020

Olympique Marseille

1 - 0

Toulouse

24 Nov 2019

Toulouse

0 - 2

Olympique Marseille

18 May 2019

Toulouse

2 - 5

Olympique Marseille

10 Aug 2018

Olympique Marseille

4 - 0

Toulouse

11 Mar 2018

Toulouse

1 - 2

Olympique Marseille

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Marseille vs Toulouse Prediction & Tips | Coupe de France | FootballTips.app

Marseille

Toulouse

Top stats

Shots

Attack

Passes

Defense

Goalkeeping

Recommended Bet

Key Factors

donut_small Win Probabilities

Match Preview

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Marseille

Starting 11

Substitutes

Toulouse

Starting 11

Substitutes

compareTeam Comparison

radarTeam Profile

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

gps_fixedShooting

swap_horizPassing & Possession

shieldDefending

gavelDiscipline

analyticsOther

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

Team Performance (Avg)

Head-to-Head Summary

Recent Form Stats

Past Matches

Last 6: Marseille

Home Games: Marseille

Last 6: Toulouse

Away Games: Toulouse

history Recent Form

group Head to Head

Head-to-Head Detailed

Recent Matches

Current Form Comparison

Recommended Bet

Key Factors

Match Preview

compareTeam Comparison

radarTeam Profile

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

gps_fixedShooting

swap_horizPassing & Possession

shieldDefending

gavelDiscipline

analyticsOther

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

Head-to-Head Summary

Past Matches

Last 6: Marseille

Home Games: Marseille

Last 6: Toulouse

Away Games: Toulouse

group Head to Head

Current Form Comparison

donut_small Win Probabilities

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Marseille

Starting 11

Substitutes

Toulouse

Starting 11

Substitutes

Team Performance (Avg)

Recent Form Stats

history Recent Form

Head-to-Head Detailed

Recent Matches

Subscribe for Betting Tips