Mazatlan FC vs Toluca Prediction & Tips | Liga MX - Clausura | FootballTips.app

Mazatlan FC

Mazatlan FC

Home
Full Time
4 - 3
HT: 0 - 1
Thursday 23 April
Toluca

Toluca

Away
Mazatlan FCTimelineToluca
1st Half
Vega A.
12'
Diaz J.
23'
del Villar E.
27'
del Villar E. (Arce F.)
sports_soccer
45+5'
2nd Half
Angulo J.Out: Diaz J.
sync_alt
46'
Rubio B. (Almada F.)
sports_soccer
49'
Briseno A. (Vega A.)
sports_soccer
54'
Bruno MendezOut: Rossi F.
sync_alt
56'
Ruiz M.
60'
Barcenas Y.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
68'
Lainez M.Out: Zaleta M.
sync_alt
72'
Fabio GomesOut: Godinez S.
sync_alt
72'
Lopez G.Out: Diaz J.
sync_alt
72'
Lopez G. (Dudu)
sports_soccer
75'
Castro N.Out: Isais M.
sync_alt
81'
Virgen O.Out: Vega A.
sync_alt
81'
Hernandez D.Out: Ovalle J.
sync_alt
86'
Arce B.Out: Rubio B.
sync_alt
87'
Castro N. (Angulo J.)
sports_soccer
87'
Hernandez D.Assist: Fabio Gomes
sports_soccer
88'
Lopez G.
90+5'

Top stats

2.01Expected goals (xG)1.58
41%Ball possession59%
16Total shots13
6Shots on target8
6Big chances2
3Corner kicks8
83% (268/322)Passes85% (393/464)
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards1

Shots

2.01Expected goals (xG)1.58
2.35xG on target (xGOT)2.47
16Total shots13
6Shots on target8
7Shots off target1
3Blocked shots4
7Shots inside the box6
9Shots outside the box7
0Hit the woodwork0
0Headed goals1

Attack

6Big chances2
3Corner kicks8
18Touches in opposition box17
0Accurate through passes0
3Offsides0
16Free kicks13

Passes

83% (268/322)Passes85% (393/464)
61% (25/41)Long passes51% (21/41)
70% (60/86)Passes in final third73% (82/112)
25% (3/12)Crosses13% (2/16)
1.27Expected assists (xA)0.38
17Throw ins24

Defense

12Fouls17
87% (26/30)Tackles58% (15/26)
64Duels won58
19Clearances17
8Interceptions8
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

4Goalkeeper saves2
2.47xGOT faced2.35
-0.53Goals prevented-1.65
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified High Confidence
15.63
X4.84
21.47

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: Medium (6/10)
64
Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 0.81 PPG vs Away 1.95 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.45 PPG vs Away 0.50 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.56 GPG vs Away 1.42 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.81 conc vs Away 0.79 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

42%
26%
33%
Mazatlan FC
Draw
Toluca

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Mazatlan FC

Starting 11
-1Luiz Eduardo Teodora da Silva
5.95
-1Edgar Yoel Bárcenas Herrera
6.83
15Brian Alejandro Rubio Rodríguez
6.86
14Mauro Zaleta
6.11
17Josue Miguel Hehemias Ovalle Aranda
6.86
31Sebastian Santos
5.40
25Said Godínez
5.67
4Jair Alberto Díaz Vázquez
5.09
5Facundo Ezequiel Almada
6.90
-1Lucas Gabriel Merolla
5.45
-1Ricardo Rodríguez Mazzocco
4.18
Substitutes
9Billy Vladimir Arce Mina
LW4.11
-1Omar Fernando Moreno Villegas
5.96
90Fábio Gomes
ST6.53
-1Gabriel López
3.32
-1Mauro Alberto Laínez Leyva
5.71
28Jesús Daniel Hernández Casiano
4.29
31Ángel Saavedra
3.42
-Luis Alberto Carrillo
16José Joaquín Esquivel Martínez
5.78
-1Víctor André Alcaráz Díaz

Toluca

Starting 11
5Franco Agustín Romero
6.31
9Ernesto Alexis Vega Rojas
7.56
26José Paulo Bezerra Maciel Júnior
CF7.21
-1Nicolás Castro
CM7.02
10Jesús Ricardo Angulo Uriarte
6.49
19Santiago Simón
RW6.24
20Jesús Daniel Gallardo Vasconcelos
6.76
2Diego Armando Barbosa Zaragoza
5.81
-1Bruno Méndez Cittadini
CB5.05
-1Everardo López
5.51
22Luis Manuel García Palomera
2.92
Substitutes
27Franco Andrés Rossi Donazar
2.87
-1Francisco Sebastián Córdova Reyes
4.60
-1Helio Junio Nunes de Castro
RW6.99
14Marcel Alejandro Ruiz Suárez (Injured)
7.09
15Pavel Uriel Pérez Hernández
6.41
17Mauricio André Isais
1.33
23Oswaldo Virgen
2.19
-1Fernando David Arce Juárez
1.63
3Antonio Briseño Vázquez
3.64
-1Hugo Alfonso González Durán
4.07
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 15 / 16 matches
Mazatlan FCvsToluca

radarTeam Profile

Mazatlan FC
Toluca
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
27Attack34
shield
33Defense23
swap_horiz
40Possession24
gps_fixed
70Efficiency50
auto_fix_high
26Creativity0
gavel
43Discipline49

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

17Goals Scored37
29Goals Conceded25
1Clean Sheets4
1Penalty Goals1

gavelDiscipline

32Yellow Cards26
1Red Cards3

history Recent Form

Mazatlan FCMazatlan FC
0.8 GPG
D
L
L
D
L
TolucaToluca
1.9 GPG
L
D
L
D
D

group Head to Head

PL28 Sept 2025
Toluca
3-1
Mazatlán
PL25 Jan 2025
Mazatlán
2-1
Toluca
PL18 Jul 2024
Toluca
3-0
Mazatlán
PL20 Jan 2024
Toluca
4-1
Mazatlán
PL11 Nov 2023
Mazatlán
1-0
Toluca
82%
Over 2.5 Goals
82%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
91%
10 / 11 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
82%
9 / 11 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
45%
5 / 11 matches
Both Teams to Score
82%
9 / 11 matches
Mazatlan FC CS
9%
Clean Sheets
Toluca CS
9%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

28 Sept 2025
Toluca
3 - 1
Mazatlán
25 Jan 2025
Mazatlán
2 - 1
Toluca
18 Jul 2024
Toluca
3 - 0
Mazatlán
20 Jan 2024
Toluca
4 - 1
Mazatlán
11 Nov 2023
Mazatlán
1 - 0
Toluca
12 Mar 2023
Toluca
4 - 1
Mazatlán
17 Sept 2022
Mazatlán
1 - 1
Toluca
22 Jan 2022
Mazatlán
1 - 2
Toluca
17 Aug 2021
Toluca
2 - 2
Mazatlán
7 Feb 2021
Toluca
4 - 1
Mazatlán
8 Aug 2020
Mazatlán
2 - 1
Toluca

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Mazatlan FC
0.81
Form (Overall)
Toluca
1.95

Toluca is +141% better in terms of Points Per Game

Mazatlán
1 - 1
Querétaro
Pumas UNAM
3 - 1
Mazatlán
Necaxa
2 - 1
Mazatlán
Mazatlán
1 - 1
Cruz Azul
América
2 - 0
Mazatlán
América
2 - 1
Toluca
Toluca
1 - 1
Atlético San Luis
Querétaro
1 - 0
Toluca
Pachuca
1 - 1
Toluca
Toluca
1 - 1
Atlas

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