Melbourne City vs Melbourne Victory Prediction & Tips | A-League | FootballTips.app
Melbourne City
HomeFull Time
1 - 3
HT: 1 - 1
Saturday 21 February
Melbourne Victory
AwayMelbourne CityTimelineMelbourne Victory
1st Half
Mata J.
sports_soccer
20'
Caputo M. (Younis M.)
sports_soccer
32'
2nd Half
Rahmani K.Out: Lopane A.
sync_alt
58'
Durakovic E.Out: Memeti M.
sync_alt
59'
Behich A.
60'
Vergos N.Out: Nduka C.
sync_alt
62'
Grimaldi M.Out: Jelacic K.
sync_alt
62'
Mata J.Assist: Grimaldi M.
sports_soccer
64'
Kuen A.Out: Caputo M.
sync_alt
70'
Schreiber Z.Out: Arzani D.
sync_alt
70'
Souprayen S.Out: Rahmani K.
sync_alt
78'
ClarismarioOut: Velupillay N.
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81'
Esposito S.
87'
Clarismario (Mata J.)
sports_soccer
89'
Machar Reec J.Out: Mata J.
sync_alt
90+2'
Top stats
1.26Expected goals (xG)1.63
56%Ball possession44%
8Total shots19
4Shots on target7
3Big chances2
5Corner kicks5
78% (338/433)Passes75% (252/336)
1Yellow cards1
Shots
1.26Expected goals (xG)1.63
1.28xG on target (xGOT)2.21
8Total shots19
4Shots on target7
2Shots off target10
2Blocked shots2
5Shots inside the box10
3Shots outside the box9
0Hit the woodwork1
1Headed goals0
Attack
3Big chances2
5Corner kicks5
12Touches in opposition box32
0Accurate through passes0
2Offsides0
10Free kicks12
Passes
78% (338/433)Passes75% (252/336)
42% (20/48)Long passes46% (26/57)
66% (74/112)Passes in final third69% (98/143)
31% (4/13)Crosses19% (3/16)
1.04Expected assists (xA)1.02
28Throw ins26
Defense
12Fouls10
55% (11/20)Tackles68% (15/22)
54Duels won62
36Clearances28
5Interceptions10
4Errors leading to shot0
2Errors leading to goal0
Goalkeeping
4Goalkeeper saves3
2.21xGOT faced1.28
-0.79Goals prevented0.28
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified High Confidence
12.66
X3.39
22.53
Recommended Bet
Away Win
Stake: High (9/10)
87
Opp. Value
Key Factors
⚠️ Using limited statistical data
Attack Quality: Home 32% on target vs Away 32% on target
Standings: Home GD -2 (22pts) vs Away GD +2 (24pts)
Sofascore Stats: Away superiority - Best: Attack (+23), Creativity (+17)
donut_small Win Probabilities
19%
Melbourne City Win
25%
Draw
57%
Melbourne Victory Win
Melbourne City
Draw
Melbourne Victory
Match Preview
Melbourne City will take on Melbourne Victory at AAMI Park in the A-League on February 21, 2026, in a match between the 7th placed Melbourne City and the 6th placed Melbourne Victory.
Melbourne City has collected 22 points, just behind Melbourne Victory, who have 24 points.
Melbourne Victory has struggled on the road, losing 50% of their last 6 away matches in the A-League, making this an interesting encounter.
This match, known as the Melbourne Derby, is predicted to end in a 1-1 draw according to our algorithm.
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 17 matchesMelbourne CityvsMelbourne Victory
radarTeam Profile
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
sports_soccer
32Attack55
shield
60Defense58
swap_horiz
59Possession47
gps_fixed
51Efficiency52
auto_fix_high
24Creativity41
gavel
58Discipline58
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
19Goals Scored24
21Goals Conceded22
7Clean Sheets5
33Big Chances39
21Big Chances Missed24
1Penalty Goals0
gps_fixedShooting
211Total Shots285
65Shots on Target93
swap_horizPassing & Possession
57.5%Avg Possession52.0%
8,844Total Passes7,784
83.1%Pass Accuracy79.0%
shieldDefending
246Tackles310
157Interceptions167
47Saves38
46.2%Duels Won50.1%
gavelDiscipline
194Fouls173
29Yellow Cards29
0Red Cards1
37Offsides31
analyticsOther
99Corners109
94Successful Dribbles99
7Errors Leading to Goal5
6.72Avg Rating6.79
League Standings Context
For Melbourne City
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Melbourne Victory | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 24 |
| 7 | Melbourne City | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 22 |
| 8 | Brisbane Roar | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 22 |
For Melbourne Victory
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Macarthur FC | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 25 |
| 6 | Melbourne Victory | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 24 |
| 7 | Melbourne City | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 22 |
Advanced Stats (Avg per match)
49.7/ 110.2
Dangerous Attacks
50.2/ 105.6
32.0%
Shots on Target
32.0%
11.3
Total Shots
16.8
54.0%
Possession
52.0%
Team Performance (Avg)
1.1
Goals Scored / Match
1.4
1.1
Goals Conceded / Match
1.3
Head-to-Head Summary
2
Melbourne City Wins
33%
2
Draws
33%
2
Melbourne Victory Wins
33%
Total H2H Matches: 6
Recent Form Stats
| Market | Melbourne City | Melbourne Victory |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 64%16/25 | 44%11/25 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 36%9/25 | 32%8/25 |
| Both Teams to Score | 48%12/25 | 28%7/25 |
* Based on last 25 matches
Past Matches
Last 6: Melbourne City
ACL
Melbourne City
0 - 0
Gangwon FC
Au1
Melbourne City
2 - 1
Auckland
Au1
Melbourne City
0 - 1
Newcastle Jets
Au1
Melbourne City
1 - 0
Brisbane Roar
Au1
Melbourne City
0 - 0
Sydney FC
Au1
Melbourne City
1 - 3
Perth Glory
Home Games: Melbourne City
ACL
Melbourne City
0 - 0
Gangwon FC
Au1
Melbourne City
2 - 1
Auckland
Au1
Melbourne City
0 - 1
Newcastle Jets
Au1
Melbourne City
1 - 0
Brisbane Roar
Au1
Melbourne City
0 - 0
Sydney FC
Au1
Melbourne City
1 - 3
Perth Glory
Last 6: Melbourne Victory
Au1
Wellington Phoenix
2 - 3
Melbourne Victory
Au1
CC Mariners
1 - 0
Melbourne Victory
Au1
Adelaide United
2 - 1
Melbourne Victory
Au1
Melbourne City
0 - 1
Melbourne Victory
Au1
Macarthur FC
0 - 0
Melbourne Victory
Au1
Brisbane Roar
1 - 0
Melbourne Victory
Away Games: Melbourne Victory
Au1
Wellington Phoenix
2 - 3
Melbourne Victory
Au1
CC Mariners
1 - 0
Melbourne Victory
Au1
Adelaide United
2 - 1
Melbourne Victory
Au1
Melbourne City
0 - 1
Melbourne Victory
Au1
Macarthur FC
0 - 0
Melbourne Victory
Au1
Brisbane Roar
1 - 0
Melbourne Victory
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified High Confidence
12.66
X3.39
22.53
Recommended Bet
Away Win
Stake: High (9/10)
87
Opp. Value
Key Factors
⚠️ Using limited statistical data
Attack Quality: Home 32% on target vs Away 32% on target
Standings: Home GD -2 (22pts) vs Away GD +2 (24pts)
Sofascore Stats: Away superiority - Best: Attack (+23), Creativity (+17)
Match Preview
Melbourne City will take on Melbourne Victory at AAMI Park in the A-League on February 21, 2026, in a match between the 7th placed Melbourne City and the 6th placed Melbourne Victory.
Melbourne City has collected 22 points, just behind Melbourne Victory, who have 24 points.
Melbourne Victory has struggled on the road, losing 50% of their last 6 away matches in the A-League, making this an interesting encounter.
This match, known as the Melbourne Derby, is predicted to end in a 1-1 draw according to our algorithm.
League Standings Context
For Melbourne City
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Melbourne Victory | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 24 |
| 7 | Melbourne City | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 22 |
| 8 | Brisbane Roar | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 22 |
For Melbourne Victory
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Macarthur FC | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 25 |
| 6 | Melbourne Victory | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 24 |
| 7 | Melbourne City | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 22 |
Team Performance (Avg)
1.1
Goals Scored / Match
1.4
1.1
Goals Conceded / Match
1.3
Recent Form Stats
| Market | Melbourne City | Melbourne Victory |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 64%16/25 | 44%11/25 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 36%9/25 | 32%8/25 |
| Both Teams to Score | 48%12/25 | 28%7/25 |
* Based on last 25 matches
donut_small Win Probabilities
19%
Melbourne City Win
25%
Draw
57%
Melbourne Victory Win
Melbourne City
Draw
Melbourne Victory
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 17 matchesMelbourne CityvsMelbourne Victory
radarTeam Profile
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
sports_soccer
32Attack55
shield
60Defense58
swap_horiz
59Possession47
gps_fixed
51Efficiency52
auto_fix_high
24Creativity41
gavel
58Discipline58
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
19Goals Scored24
21Goals Conceded22
7Clean Sheets5
33Big Chances39
21Big Chances Missed24
1Penalty Goals0
gps_fixedShooting
211Total Shots285
65Shots on Target93
swap_horizPassing & Possession
57.5%Avg Possession52.0%
8,844Total Passes7,784
83.1%Pass Accuracy79.0%
shieldDefending
246Tackles310
157Interceptions167
47Saves38
46.2%Duels Won50.1%
gavelDiscipline
194Fouls173
29Yellow Cards29
0Red Cards1
37Offsides31
analyticsOther
99Corners109
94Successful Dribbles99
7Errors Leading to Goal5
6.72Avg Rating6.79
Advanced Stats (Avg per match)
49.7/ 110.2
Dangerous Attacks
50.2/ 105.6
32.0%
Shots on Target
32.0%
11.3
Total Shots
16.8
54.0%
Possession
52.0%
Head-to-Head Summary
2
Melbourne City Wins
33%
2
Draws
33%
2
Melbourne Victory Wins
33%
Total H2H Matches: 6
Past Matches
Last 6: Melbourne City
ACL
Melbourne City
0 - 0
Gangwon FC
Au1
Melbourne City
2 - 1
Auckland
Au1
Melbourne City
0 - 1
Newcastle Jets
Au1
Melbourne City
1 - 0
Brisbane Roar
Au1
Melbourne City
0 - 0
Sydney FC
Au1
Melbourne City
1 - 3
Perth Glory
Home Games: Melbourne City
ACL
Melbourne City
0 - 0
Gangwon FC
Au1
Melbourne City
2 - 1
Auckland
Au1
Melbourne City
0 - 1
Newcastle Jets
Au1
Melbourne City
1 - 0
Brisbane Roar
Au1
Melbourne City
0 - 0
Sydney FC
Au1
Melbourne City
1 - 3
Perth Glory
Last 6: Melbourne Victory
Au1
Wellington Phoenix
2 - 3
Melbourne Victory
Au1
CC Mariners
1 - 0
Melbourne Victory
Au1
Adelaide United
2 - 1
Melbourne Victory
Au1
Melbourne City
0 - 1
Melbourne Victory
Au1
Macarthur FC
0 - 0
Melbourne Victory
Au1
Brisbane Roar
1 - 0
Melbourne Victory
Away Games: Melbourne Victory
Au1
Wellington Phoenix
2 - 3
Melbourne Victory
Au1
CC Mariners
1 - 0
Melbourne Victory
Au1
Adelaide United
2 - 1
Melbourne Victory
Au1
Melbourne City
0 - 1
Melbourne Victory
Au1
Macarthur FC
0 - 0
Melbourne Victory
Au1
Brisbane Roar
1 - 0
Melbourne Victory
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