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Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United Prediction & Tips | A-League | FootballTips.app

Melbourne Victory

Melbourne Victory

Home
Full Time
1 - 1
HT: 1 - 1
Friday 27 February
Adelaide United

Adelaide United

Away
Melbourne VictoryTimelineAdelaide United
1st Half
Jelacic K. (Mata J.)
sports_soccer
26'
Dukuly Y.
sports_soccer
35'
Roderick
42'
2nd Half
Stella X.Out: Genreau D.
sync_alt
55'
Nduka C.
61'
Jelacic K.
63'
Vergos N.Out: Nduka C.
sync_alt
66'
Grimaldi M.Out: Jelacic K.
sync_alt
66'
ClarismarioOut: Mata J.
sync_alt
66'
Alagich E.
67'
Duzel L.Out: Muniz J.
sync_alt
71'
Burkitt B.Out: Jovanovic L.
sync_alt
77'
Piscopo R.Out: Velupillay N.
sync_alt
79'
Folami B.Out: Yull J.
sync_alt
85'
Madanha P.Out: Dukuly Y.
sync_alt
86'
Vergos N.
89'

Top stats

2.07Expected goals (xG)2.05
45%Ball possession55%
19Total shots12
7Shots on target6
4Big chances4
4Corner kicks2
77% (275/355)Passes81% (360/446)
4Yellow cards1

Shots

2.07Expected goals (xG)2.05
1.78xG on target (xGOT)0.80
19Total shots12
7Shots on target6
7Shots off target5
5Blocked shots1
12Shots inside the box6
7Shots outside the box6
0Hit the woodwork1

Attack

4Big chances4
4Corner kicks2
26Touches in opposition box14
3Accurate through passes1
1Offsides3
10Free kicks7

Passes

77% (275/355)Passes81% (360/446)
42% (18/43)Long passes32% (16/50)
66% (96/146)Passes in final third63% (52/83)
7% (1/15)Crosses25% (2/8)
1.50Expected assists (xA)0.94
21Throw ins28

Defense

7Fouls10
58% (11/19)Tackles61% (11/18)
53Duels won42
16Clearances34
13Interceptions6
0Errors leading to shot2
0Errors leading to goal1

Goalkeeping

5Goalkeeper saves6
0.80xGOT faced1.78
-0.20Goals prevented0.78
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified High Confidence
11.65
X4.41
24.34

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: Low (1/10)
9
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #5 vs Away #4
Season: Home 1.50 PPG vs Away 1.61 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.05 PPG vs Away 2.10 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.88 GPG vs Away 1.50 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

37%
31%
32%
Melbourne Victory
Draw
Adelaide United

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory and Adelaide United will clash at AAMI Park on February 27, 2026, in an A-League showdown.

With Melbourne Victory sitting in 5th place and Adelaide United in 4th, both teams are aiming for a crucial victory.

Melbourne Victory has accumulated 27 points, trailing behind Adelaide United, who boast 29 points in the league standings.

In their recent performances, Melbourne Victory has secured 4 wins in their last 6 home matches, while Adelaide United has shown consistency with 4 wins in their last 6 league games.

When looking at their head-to-head encounters, Melbourne Victory has dominated with 4 wins in the last 6 matches against Adelaide United.

With an intriguing clash awaiting at AAMI Park, the stage is set for an intense battle between these two competitive sides.

As the teams prepare to face off, the anticipation is high for football fans eager to witness this matchup unfold.

Prediction: Adelaide United to win by 1-2.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Melbourne Victory

Starting 11
17Nishan Velupillay
6.85
44Charles Boniface Nduka
6.64
8Jordi Valadon (Injured)
6.99
10Denis Genreau
CAM7.19
22Joshua Rawlins
6.39
23Keegan Jelacic
6.79
64Juan Mata
CAM7.52
2Jason Davidson
LB6.83
15Sebastian Esposito
6.16
21Roderick Jefferson Gonçalves Miranda
CB6.19
40Jack Warshawsky
2.57
Substitutes
9Nikolaos Vergos
6.97
19Jing Reec
5.42
11Clarismario Santos Rodrigues
6.98
14Matthew Grimaldi
6.74
16Joshua Inserra
3.44
34Xavier Stella
2.16
25Jack Carleton Duncan
GK4.61

Adelaide United

Starting 11
19Yaya Dukuly
6.92
4Panagiotis Kikianis
7.06
7Ryan Kitto
LB6.85
9Luka Jovanovic
7.00
10Juan Muñiz Gallego
6.40
12Jonny Yull
6.55
14Jay Barnett
CDM5.83
44Ryan White
6.44
3Bart Vriends
CB6.77
22Joshua Smits
GK7.04
Substitutes
17Ben Folami
6.86
35Brody Brody Burkitt
6.54
36Panashe Madanha
5.18
23Luke Duzel
6.74
52Sotiri Phillis
4.41
65Joey Garuccio
2.83
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 18 matches
Melbourne VictoryvsAdelaide United

radarTeam Profile

Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
58Attack52
shield
57Defense46
swap_horiz
46Possession59
gps_fixed
54Efficiency83
auto_fix_high
42Creativity56
gavel
58Discipline59

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

27Goals Scored32
23Goals Conceded27
5Clean Sheets3
41Big Chances35
26Big Chances Missed20

gps_fixedShooting

304Total Shots229
100Shots on Target89

swap_horizPassing & Possession

51.6%Avg Possession52.1%
8,122Total Passes8,075
78.8%Pass Accuracy82.1%

shieldDefending

330Tackles324
176Interceptions136
41Saves74
50.4%Duels Won49.3%

gavelDiscipline

183Fouls174
30Yellow Cards26
1Red Cards2
31Offsides29

analyticsOther

114Corners95
106Successful Dribbles148
5Errors Leading to Goal4
6.81Avg Rating6.83

League Standings Context

For Melbourne Victory

PosTeamPWDLPts
4Adelaide United1892729
5Melbourne Victory1883727
6Macarthur FC1867525

For Adelaide United

PosTeamPWDLPts
3Sydney FC1892729
4Adelaide United1892729
5Melbourne Victory1883727

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

50.1/ 106.0
Dangerous Attacks
40.4/ 87.4
32.0%
Shots on Target
39.0%
16.9
Total Shots
12.7
51.0%
Possession
52.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.5
Goals Scored / Match
1.8
1.3
Goals Conceded / Match
1.5

Head-to-Head Summary

4
Melbourne Victory Wins
67%
0
Draws
0%
2
Adelaide United Wins
33%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketMelbourne VictoryAdelaide United
Over 1.5 Goals
67%12/18
89%16/18
Over 2.5 Goals
50%9/18
78%14/18
Both Teams to Score
44%8/18
72%13/18
* Based on last 18 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Melbourne Victory

Au1
Melbourne Victory
1 - 1
Brisbane Roar
Au1
Melbourne Victory
4 - 0
Sydney FC
Au1
Melbourne Victory
0 - 1
WS Wanderers
Au1
Melbourne Victory
3 - 2
Perth Glory
Au1
Melbourne Victory
5 - 1
Wellington Phoenix
Au1
Melbourne Victory
2 - 1
Adelaide United

Home Games: Melbourne Victory

Au1
Melbourne Victory
1 - 1
Brisbane Roar
Au1
Melbourne Victory
4 - 0
Sydney FC
Au1
Melbourne Victory
0 - 1
WS Wanderers
Au1
Melbourne Victory
3 - 2
Perth Glory
Au1
Melbourne Victory
5 - 1
Wellington Phoenix
Au1
Melbourne Victory
2 - 1
Adelaide United

Last 6: Adelaide United

Au1
Sydney FC
1 - 2
Adelaide United
Au1
Brisbane Roar
2 - 3
Adelaide United
Au1
Wellington Phoenix
2 - 2
Adelaide United
Au1
Perth Glory
0 - 1
Adelaide United
Au1
Melbourne Victory
2 - 1
Adelaide United
Au1
Wellington Phoenix
2 - 1
Adelaide United

Away Games: Adelaide United

Au1
Sydney FC
1 - 2
Adelaide United
Au1
Brisbane Roar
2 - 3
Adelaide United
Au1
Wellington Phoenix
2 - 2
Adelaide United
Au1
Perth Glory
0 - 1
Adelaide United
Au1
Melbourne Victory
2 - 1
Adelaide United
Au1
Wellington Phoenix
2 - 1
Adelaide United

history Recent Form

Melbourne VictoryMelbourne Victory
1.5 GPG
W
D
W
L
W
Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United
1.6 GPG
W
W
L
D
W

group Head to Head

PL17 Jan 2026
Adelaide United
2-1
Melbourne Victory FC
PL13 Dec 2025
Melbourne Victory FC
2-1
Adelaide United
PL29 Mar 2025
Melbourne Victory FC
5-3
Adelaide United
PL18 Jan 2025
Adelaide United
3-2
Melbourne Victory FC
PL21 Sept 2024
Melbourne Victory FC
1-0
Adelaide United
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
81%
42 / 52 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
29 / 52 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
12 / 52 matches
Both Teams to Score
63%
33 / 52 matches
Melbourne Victory CS
19%
Clean Sheets
Adelaide United CS
19%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

17 Jan 2026
Adelaide United
2 - 1
Melbourne Victory FC
13 Dec 2025
Melbourne Victory FC
2 - 1
Adelaide United
29 Mar 2025
Melbourne Victory FC
5 - 3
Adelaide United
18 Jan 2025
Adelaide United
3 - 2
Melbourne Victory FC
21 Sept 2024
Melbourne Victory FC
1 - 0
Adelaide United
9 Mar 2024
Adelaide United
1 - 2
Melbourne Victory FC
30 Dec 2023
Melbourne Victory FC
2 - 0
Adelaide United
4 Nov 2023
Melbourne Victory FC
1 - 1
Adelaide United
26 Feb 2023
Melbourne Victory FC
1 - 1
Adelaide United
14 Jan 2023
Adelaide United
1 - 1
Melbourne Victory FC
11 Nov 2022
Adelaide United
3 - 0
Melbourne Victory FC
2 Apr 2022
Adelaide United
0 - 1
Melbourne Victory FC

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Melbourne Victory
1.50
Form (Overall)
Adelaide United
1.61

Adelaide United is +7% better in terms of Points Per Game

Melbourne City FC
1 - 3
Melbourne Victory FC
Melbourne Victory FC
1 - 1
Brisbane Roar
Wellington Phoenix
2 - 3
Melbourne Victory FC
Central Coast Mariners
1 - 0
Melbourne Victory FC
Melbourne Victory FC
4 - 0
Sydney FC
Adelaide United
4 - 0
Perth Glory FC
Sydney FC
1 - 2
Adelaide United
Adelaide United
2 - 3
Newcastle Jets FC
Adelaide United
1 - 1
Macarthur
Brisbane Roar
2 - 3
Adelaide United

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