Melbourne Victory vs Brisbane Roar Prediction & Tips | A-League | FootballTips.app
Melbourne Victory
HomeFull Time
1 - 1
HT: 1 - 0
Saturday 14 February
Brisbane Roar
AwayMelbourne VictoryTimelineBrisbane Roar
1st Half
Nduka C. (Mata J.)
sports_soccer
13'
D'Agostino N.
43'
2nd Half
Valadon J.
47'
Ruhs M.
53'
Esposito S.
57'
ClarismarioOut: Jelacic K.
sync_alt
58'
Grimaldi M.Out: Velupillay N.
sync_alt
69'
Vergos N.Out: Nduka C.
sync_alt
69'
Shaw E.Out: Ruhs M.
sync_alt
70'
Vrakas G.Out: Long Ch.
sync_alt
71'
D'Agostino N.
sports_soccer
76'
Vidic J.Out: D'Agostino N.
sync_alt
79'
Rawlins J.
81'
McGarry J.
85'
Brazete J.Out: Dench M.
sync_alt
90+2'
Top stats
1.10Expected goals (xG)0.65
63%Ball possession37%
14Total shots9
3Shots on target3
1Big chances1
8Corner kicks2
80% (415/519)Passes72% (224/313)
3Yellow cards3
Shots
1.10Expected goals (xG)0.65
0.71xG on target (xGOT)1.01
14Total shots9
3Shots on target3
5Shots off target4
6Blocked shots2
9Shots inside the box4
5Shots outside the box5
0Hit the woodwork1
Attack
1Big chances1
8Corner kicks2
22Touches in opposition box12
1Accurate through passes0
0Offsides5
12Free kicks14
Passes
80% (415/519)Passes72% (224/313)
37% (19/52)Long passes46% (27/59)
69% (118/172)Passes in final third52% (41/79)
19% (4/21)Crosses27% (3/11)
0.73Expected assists (xA)0.23
22Throw ins19
Defense
14Fouls12
92% (11/12)Tackles46% (6/13)
42Duels won41
18Clearances38
9Interceptions11
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0
Goalkeeping
2Goalkeeper saves2
1.01xGOT faced0.71
0.01Goals prevented-0.29
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.63
X4.04
24.88
Recommended Bet
Home Win
Stake: High (8/10)
80
Opp. Value
Key Factors
⚠️ Using limited statistical data
Attack Quality: Home 32% on target vs Away 29% on target
Standings: Home GD +2 (23pts) vs Away GD -5 (21pts)
Sofascore Stats: Home superiority - Best: Attack (+30), Discipline (+30)
donut_small Win Probabilities
95%
Melbourne Victory Win
3%
Draw
2%
Brisbane Roar Win
Melbourne Victory
Draw
Brisbane Roar
Match Preview
Melbourne Victory will host Brisbane Roar in an A-League encounter at Melbourne Rectangular Stadium on February 14th, 2026.
Melbourne Victory sits in 5th place with 23 points, while Brisbane Roar is in 8th place with 21 points.
Melbourne Victory has secured 3 wins in their last 6 A-League matches, showing decent form.
On the other hand, Brisbane Roar has struggled, losing 83% of their last 6 league games.
In their recent head-to-head clashes in the A-League, Melbourne Victory has faced defeat in 50% of their last 6 meetings against Brisbane Roar.
Our algorithm predicts Melbourne Victory to come out on top with a scoreline of 2-1.
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 16 / 17 matchesMelbourne VictoryvsBrisbane Roar
radarTeam Profile
Melbourne Victory
Brisbane Roar
sports_soccer
57Attack27
shield
60Defense60
swap_horiz
46Possession39
gps_fixed
53Efficiency43
auto_fix_high
42Creativity21
gavel
59Discipline29
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
23Goals Scored17
21Goals Conceded22
5Clean Sheets6
38Big Chances22
24Big Chances Missed14
0Penalty Goals3
gps_fixedShooting
271Total Shots227
90Shots on Target65
swap_horizPassing & Possession
51.3%Avg Possession46.0%
7,264Total Passes6,308
78.9%Pass Accuracy77.3%
shieldDefending
297Tackles299
159Interceptions166
36Saves37
50.0%Duels Won51.1%
gavelDiscipline
159Fouls205
26Yellow Cards48
1Red Cards2
31Offsides32
analyticsOther
101Corners83
95Successful Dribbles113
5Errors Leading to Goal3
6.79Avg Rating6.72
League Standings Context
For Melbourne Victory
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Macarthur FC | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 25 |
| 5 | Melbourne Victory | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 23 |
| 6 | Adelaide United | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 23 |
For Brisbane Roar
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Melbourne City | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 22 |
| 8 | Brisbane Roar | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 21 |
| 9 | Perth Glory | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 20 |
Advanced Stats (Avg per match)
50.4/ 104.6
Dangerous Attacks
38.7/ 86.0
32.0%
Shots on Target
29.0%
16.9
Total Shots
13.3
51.0%
Possession
46.0%
Team Performance (Avg)
1.4
Goals Scored / Match
1.0
1.3
Goals Conceded / Match
1.3
Head-to-Head Summary
1
Melbourne Victory Wins
17%
2
Draws
33%
3
Brisbane Roar Wins
50%
Total H2H Matches: 6
Recent Form Stats
| Market | Melbourne Victory | Brisbane Roar |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 63%10/16 | 69%11/16 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50%8/16 | 56%9/16 |
| Both Teams to Score | 38%6/16 | 50%8/16 |
* Based on last 16 matches
Past Matches
Last 6: Melbourne Victory
Au1
Wellington Phoenix
2 - 3
Melbourne Victory
Au1
CC Mariners
1 - 0
Melbourne Victory
Au1
Melbourne Victory
4 - 0
Sydney FC
Au1
Adelaide United
2 - 1
Melbourne Victory
Au1
Melbourne Victory
0 - 1
WS Wanderers
Au1
Melbourne Victory
3 - 2
Perth Glory
Home Games: Melbourne Victory
Au1
Melbourne Victory
4 - 0
Sydney FC
Au1
Melbourne Victory
0 - 1
WS Wanderers
Au1
Melbourne Victory
3 - 2
Perth Glory
Au1
Melbourne Victory
5 - 1
Wellington Phoenix
Au1
Melbourne Victory
2 - 1
Adelaide United
Au1
Melbourne Victory
0 - 2
Melbourne City
Last 6: Brisbane Roar
Au1
Brisbane Roar
1 - 2
CC Mariners
Au1
Newcastle Jets
4 - 1
Brisbane Roar
Au1
Brisbane Roar
2 - 3
Adelaide United
Au1
Perth Glory
1 - 2
Brisbane Roar
Au1
Brisbane Roar
0 - 2
Auckland
Au1
Melbourne City
1 - 0
Brisbane Roar
Away Games: Brisbane Roar
Au1
Newcastle Jets
4 - 1
Brisbane Roar
Au1
Perth Glory
1 - 2
Brisbane Roar
Au1
Melbourne City
1 - 0
Brisbane Roar
Au1
CC Mariners
1 - 2
Brisbane Roar
Au1
Macarthur FC
2 - 1
Brisbane Roar
Au1
WS Wanderers
0 - 0
Brisbane Roar
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.63
X4.04
24.88
Recommended Bet
Home Win
Stake: High (8/10)
80
Opp. Value
Key Factors
⚠️ Using limited statistical data
Attack Quality: Home 32% on target vs Away 29% on target
Standings: Home GD +2 (23pts) vs Away GD -5 (21pts)
Sofascore Stats: Home superiority - Best: Attack (+30), Discipline (+30)
Match Preview
Melbourne Victory will host Brisbane Roar in an A-League encounter at Melbourne Rectangular Stadium on February 14th, 2026.
Melbourne Victory sits in 5th place with 23 points, while Brisbane Roar is in 8th place with 21 points.
Melbourne Victory has secured 3 wins in their last 6 A-League matches, showing decent form.
On the other hand, Brisbane Roar has struggled, losing 83% of their last 6 league games.
In their recent head-to-head clashes in the A-League, Melbourne Victory has faced defeat in 50% of their last 6 meetings against Brisbane Roar.
Our algorithm predicts Melbourne Victory to come out on top with a scoreline of 2-1.
League Standings Context
For Melbourne Victory
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Macarthur FC | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 25 |
| 5 | Melbourne Victory | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 23 |
| 6 | Adelaide United | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 23 |
For Brisbane Roar
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Melbourne City | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 22 |
| 8 | Brisbane Roar | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 21 |
| 9 | Perth Glory | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 20 |
Team Performance (Avg)
1.4
Goals Scored / Match
1.0
1.3
Goals Conceded / Match
1.3
Recent Form Stats
| Market | Melbourne Victory | Brisbane Roar |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 63%10/16 | 69%11/16 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50%8/16 | 56%9/16 |
| Both Teams to Score | 38%6/16 | 50%8/16 |
* Based on last 16 matches
donut_small Win Probabilities
95%
Melbourne Victory Win
3%
Draw
2%
Brisbane Roar Win
Melbourne Victory
Draw
Brisbane Roar
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 16 / 17 matchesMelbourne VictoryvsBrisbane Roar
radarTeam Profile
Melbourne Victory
Brisbane Roar
sports_soccer
57Attack27
shield
60Defense60
swap_horiz
46Possession39
gps_fixed
53Efficiency43
auto_fix_high
42Creativity21
gavel
59Discipline29
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
23Goals Scored17
21Goals Conceded22
5Clean Sheets6
38Big Chances22
24Big Chances Missed14
0Penalty Goals3
gps_fixedShooting
271Total Shots227
90Shots on Target65
swap_horizPassing & Possession
51.3%Avg Possession46.0%
7,264Total Passes6,308
78.9%Pass Accuracy77.3%
shieldDefending
297Tackles299
159Interceptions166
36Saves37
50.0%Duels Won51.1%
gavelDiscipline
159Fouls205
26Yellow Cards48
1Red Cards2
31Offsides32
analyticsOther
101Corners83
95Successful Dribbles113
5Errors Leading to Goal3
6.79Avg Rating6.72
Advanced Stats (Avg per match)
50.4/ 104.6
Dangerous Attacks
38.7/ 86.0
32.0%
Shots on Target
29.0%
16.9
Total Shots
13.3
51.0%
Possession
46.0%
Head-to-Head Summary
1
Melbourne Victory Wins
17%
2
Draws
33%
3
Brisbane Roar Wins
50%
Total H2H Matches: 6
Past Matches
Last 6: Melbourne Victory
Au1
Wellington Phoenix
2 - 3
Melbourne Victory
Au1
CC Mariners
1 - 0
Melbourne Victory
Au1
Melbourne Victory
4 - 0
Sydney FC
Au1
Adelaide United
2 - 1
Melbourne Victory
Au1
Melbourne Victory
0 - 1
WS Wanderers
Au1
Melbourne Victory
3 - 2
Perth Glory
Home Games: Melbourne Victory
Au1
Melbourne Victory
4 - 0
Sydney FC
Au1
Melbourne Victory
0 - 1
WS Wanderers
Au1
Melbourne Victory
3 - 2
Perth Glory
Au1
Melbourne Victory
5 - 1
Wellington Phoenix
Au1
Melbourne Victory
2 - 1
Adelaide United
Au1
Melbourne Victory
0 - 2
Melbourne City
Last 6: Brisbane Roar
Au1
Brisbane Roar
1 - 2
CC Mariners
Au1
Newcastle Jets
4 - 1
Brisbane Roar
Au1
Brisbane Roar
2 - 3
Adelaide United
Au1
Perth Glory
1 - 2
Brisbane Roar
Au1
Brisbane Roar
0 - 2
Auckland
Au1
Melbourne City
1 - 0
Brisbane Roar
Away Games: Brisbane Roar
Au1
Newcastle Jets
4 - 1
Brisbane Roar
Au1
Perth Glory
1 - 2
Brisbane Roar
Au1
Melbourne City
1 - 0
Brisbane Roar
Au1
CC Mariners
1 - 2
Brisbane Roar
Au1
Macarthur FC
2 - 1
Brisbane Roar
Au1
WS Wanderers
0 - 0
Brisbane Roar
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