Melbourne Victory vs Macarthur FC Prediction & Tips | A-League | FootballTips.app
Melbourne Victory
HomeFull Time
4 - 1
HT: 2 - 1
Sunday 15 March
Macarthur FC
AwayMelbourne VictoryTimelineMacarthur FC
1st Half
Talbot C.
9'
Da Silva D.
sports_soccer
11'
Rose L.
19'
Genreau D.Assist: Nduka C.
sports_soccer
25'
Roderick
36'
Vickery L. (Duran R.)
sports_soccer
37'
2nd Half
Scott W.
48'
Esposito S. (Mata J.)
sports_soccer
63'
Ikonomidis C.Out: Duran R.
sync_alt
64'
Sawyer H.Out: Duke M.
sync_alt
64'
ClarismarioOut: Velupillay N.
sync_alt
65'
Grimaldi M.Out: Jelacic K.
sync_alt
65'
Nduka C.
sports_soccer
66'
Valadon J.
73'
Oliveira H.Out: Vickery L.
sync_alt
74'
Deli F.Out: Brattan L.
sync_alt
74'
McKay W.Out: Scott W.
sync_alt
74'
Stella X.Out: Mata J.
sync_alt
79'
Traore A.Out: Lino F.
sync_alt
79'
Vergos N.Out: Genreau D.
sync_alt
88'
Top stats
2.17Expected goals (xG)0.60
50%Ball possession50%
20Total shots7
8Shots on target2
3Big chances0
3Corner kicks3
82% (365/444)Passes83% (364/441)
2Yellow cards3
Shots
2.17Expected goals (xG)0.60
2.60xG on target (xGOT)0.89
20Total shots7
8Shots on target2
7Shots off target1
5Blocked shots4
13Shots inside the box6
7Shots outside the box1
0Hit the woodwork0
1Headed goals0
Attack
3Big chances0
3Corner kicks3
39Touches in opposition box23
0Accurate through passes0
0Offsides3
12Free kicks9
Passes
82% (365/444)Passes83% (364/441)
50% (24/48)Long passes56% (28/50)
73% (123/169)Passes in final third73% (81/111)
21% (4/19)Crosses33% (7/21)
1.22Expected assists (xA)0.77
15Throw ins30
Defense
9Fouls12
50% (8/16)Tackles35% (6/17)
55Duels won39
23Clearances30
19Interceptions9
0Errors leading to shot1
0Errors leading to goal0
Goalkeeping
1Goalkeeper saves5
0.89xGOT faced2.60
-0.11Goals prevented-0.40
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.80
X4.07
23.84
Recommended Bet
Home Win
Stake: High (9/10)
89
Opp. Value
Key Factors
⚠️ Using limited statistical data
Attack Quality: Home 32% on target vs Away 30% on target
Standings: Home GD +4 (29pts) vs Away GD -6 (25pts)
Sofascore Stats: Home superiority - Best: Defense (+14), Attack (+8)
donut_small Win Probabilities
73%
Melbourne Victory Win
15%
Draw
12%
Macarthur FC Win
Melbourne Victory
Draw
Macarthur FC
Match Preview
On March 15, 2026, Melbourne Victory will take on Macarthur FC at AAMI Park in an A-League showdown between the 5th placed Victory and 7th placed Macarthur FC.
Melbourne Victory sits on 29 points, while Macarthur FC has accumulated 25 points in the standings.
Melbourne Victory has secured 3 wins in their last 6 home matches in the A-League, while Macarthur FC has suffered 4 defeats in their recent 6 games across all competitions.
In terms of goals, under 2.5 goals have been scored in the majority of past encounters between these two teams.
With a history of low-scoring games, will this match serve up another match with under 2.5 goals? Our model predicts Melbourne Victory to edge out Macarthur FC with a 1-0 victory.
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 20 matchesMelbourne VictoryvsMacarthur FC
radarTeam Profile
Melbourne Victory
Macarthur FC
sports_soccer
58Attack50
shield
56Defense42
swap_horiz
46Possession50
gps_fixed
53Efficiency46
auto_fix_high
44Creativity50
gavel
58Discipline51
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
30Goals Scored25
26Goals Conceded31
5Clean Sheets3
46Big Chances61
30Big Chances Missed45
0Penalty Goals2
gps_fixedShooting
340Total Shots285
113Shots on Target84
swap_horizPassing & Possession
50.9%Avg Possession48.4%
8,838Total Passes7,809
78.8%Pass Accuracy79.8%
shieldDefending
363Tackles326
200Interceptions183
50Saves60
50.6%Duels Won52.9%
gavelDiscipline
196Fouls195
36Yellow Cards41
1Red Cards2
33Offsides32
analyticsOther
125Corners114
123Successful Dribbles161
5Errors Leading to Goal7
6.81Avg Rating6.82
League Standings Context
For Melbourne Victory
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Adelaide United | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 32 |
| 5 | Melbourne Victory | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 29 |
| 6 | CC Mariners | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 27 |
For Macarthur FC
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | CC Mariners | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 27 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 25 |
| 8 | Brisbane Roar | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 24 |
Advanced Stats (Avg per match)
49.8/ 104.3
Dangerous Attacks
54.8/ 93.7
32.0%
Shots on Target
30.0%
17.0
Total Shots
13.5
51.0%
Possession
48.0%
Team Performance (Avg)
1.5
Goals Scored / Match
1.4
1.3
Goals Conceded / Match
1.5
Head-to-Head Summary
2
Melbourne Victory Wins
33%
2
Draws
33%
2
Macarthur FC Wins
33%
Total H2H Matches: 6
Recent Form Stats
| Market | Melbourne Victory | Macarthur FC |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 70%14/20 | 115%23/20 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50%10/20 | 70%14/20 |
| Both Teams to Score | 50%10/20 | 85%17/20 |
* Based on last 20 matches
Past Matches
Last 6: Melbourne Victory
Au1
Melbourne Victory
1 - 1
Adelaide United
Au1
Melbourne Victory
1 - 1
Brisbane Roar
Au1
Melbourne Victory
4 - 0
Sydney FC
Au1
Melbourne Victory
0 - 1
WS Wanderers
Au1
Melbourne Victory
3 - 2
Perth Glory
Au1
Melbourne Victory
5 - 1
Wellington Phoenix
Home Games: Melbourne Victory
Au1
Melbourne Victory
1 - 1
Adelaide United
Au1
Melbourne Victory
1 - 1
Brisbane Roar
Au1
Melbourne Victory
4 - 0
Sydney FC
Au1
Melbourne Victory
0 - 1
WS Wanderers
Au1
Melbourne Victory
3 - 2
Perth Glory
Au1
Melbourne Victory
5 - 1
Wellington Phoenix
Last 6: Macarthur FC
Au1
Newcastle Jets
1 - 0
Macarthur FC
AFC
Bangkok United
2 - 0
Macarthur FC
Au1
Adelaide United
1 - 1
Macarthur FC
Au1
CC Mariners
1 - 1
Macarthur FC
Au1
WS Wanderers
0 - 1
Macarthur FC
Au1
Newcastle Jets
4 - 5
Macarthur FC
Away Games: Macarthur FC
Au1
Newcastle Jets
1 - 0
Macarthur FC
AFC
Bangkok United
2 - 0
Macarthur FC
Au1
Adelaide United
1 - 1
Macarthur FC
Au1
CC Mariners
1 - 1
Macarthur FC
Au1
WS Wanderers
0 - 1
Macarthur FC
Au1
Newcastle Jets
4 - 5
Macarthur FC
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.80
X4.07
23.84
Recommended Bet
Home Win
Stake: High (9/10)
89
Opp. Value
Key Factors
⚠️ Using limited statistical data
Attack Quality: Home 32% on target vs Away 30% on target
Standings: Home GD +4 (29pts) vs Away GD -6 (25pts)
Sofascore Stats: Home superiority - Best: Defense (+14), Attack (+8)
Match Preview
On March 15, 2026, Melbourne Victory will take on Macarthur FC at AAMI Park in an A-League showdown between the 5th placed Victory and 7th placed Macarthur FC.
Melbourne Victory sits on 29 points, while Macarthur FC has accumulated 25 points in the standings.
Melbourne Victory has secured 3 wins in their last 6 home matches in the A-League, while Macarthur FC has suffered 4 defeats in their recent 6 games across all competitions.
In terms of goals, under 2.5 goals have been scored in the majority of past encounters between these two teams.
With a history of low-scoring games, will this match serve up another match with under 2.5 goals? Our model predicts Melbourne Victory to edge out Macarthur FC with a 1-0 victory.
League Standings Context
For Melbourne Victory
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Adelaide United | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 32 |
| 5 | Melbourne Victory | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 29 |
| 6 | CC Mariners | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 27 |
For Macarthur FC
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | CC Mariners | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 27 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 25 |
| 8 | Brisbane Roar | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 24 |
Team Performance (Avg)
1.5
Goals Scored / Match
1.4
1.3
Goals Conceded / Match
1.5
Recent Form Stats
| Market | Melbourne Victory | Macarthur FC |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 70%14/20 | 115%23/20 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50%10/20 | 70%14/20 |
| Both Teams to Score | 50%10/20 | 85%17/20 |
* Based on last 20 matches
donut_small Win Probabilities
73%
Melbourne Victory Win
15%
Draw
12%
Macarthur FC Win
Melbourne Victory
Draw
Macarthur FC
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 20 matchesMelbourne VictoryvsMacarthur FC
radarTeam Profile
Melbourne Victory
Macarthur FC
sports_soccer
58Attack50
shield
56Defense42
swap_horiz
46Possession50
gps_fixed
53Efficiency46
auto_fix_high
44Creativity50
gavel
58Discipline51
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
30Goals Scored25
26Goals Conceded31
5Clean Sheets3
46Big Chances61
30Big Chances Missed45
0Penalty Goals2
gps_fixedShooting
340Total Shots285
113Shots on Target84
swap_horizPassing & Possession
50.9%Avg Possession48.4%
8,838Total Passes7,809
78.8%Pass Accuracy79.8%
shieldDefending
363Tackles326
200Interceptions183
50Saves60
50.6%Duels Won52.9%
gavelDiscipline
196Fouls195
36Yellow Cards41
1Red Cards2
33Offsides32
analyticsOther
125Corners114
123Successful Dribbles161
5Errors Leading to Goal7
6.81Avg Rating6.82
Advanced Stats (Avg per match)
49.8/ 104.3
Dangerous Attacks
54.8/ 93.7
32.0%
Shots on Target
30.0%
17.0
Total Shots
13.5
51.0%
Possession
48.0%
Head-to-Head Summary
2
Melbourne Victory Wins
33%
2
Draws
33%
2
Macarthur FC Wins
33%
Total H2H Matches: 6
Past Matches
Last 6: Melbourne Victory
Au1
Melbourne Victory
1 - 1
Adelaide United
Au1
Melbourne Victory
1 - 1
Brisbane Roar
Au1
Melbourne Victory
4 - 0
Sydney FC
Au1
Melbourne Victory
0 - 1
WS Wanderers
Au1
Melbourne Victory
3 - 2
Perth Glory
Au1
Melbourne Victory
5 - 1
Wellington Phoenix
Home Games: Melbourne Victory
Au1
Melbourne Victory
1 - 1
Adelaide United
Au1
Melbourne Victory
1 - 1
Brisbane Roar
Au1
Melbourne Victory
4 - 0
Sydney FC
Au1
Melbourne Victory
0 - 1
WS Wanderers
Au1
Melbourne Victory
3 - 2
Perth Glory
Au1
Melbourne Victory
5 - 1
Wellington Phoenix
Last 6: Macarthur FC
Au1
Newcastle Jets
1 - 0
Macarthur FC
AFC
Bangkok United
2 - 0
Macarthur FC
Au1
Adelaide United
1 - 1
Macarthur FC
Au1
CC Mariners
1 - 1
Macarthur FC
Au1
WS Wanderers
0 - 1
Macarthur FC
Au1
Newcastle Jets
4 - 5
Macarthur FC
Away Games: Macarthur FC
Au1
Newcastle Jets
1 - 0
Macarthur FC
AFC
Bangkok United
2 - 0
Macarthur FC
Au1
Adelaide United
1 - 1
Macarthur FC
Au1
CC Mariners
1 - 1
Macarthur FC
Au1
WS Wanderers
0 - 1
Macarthur FC
Au1
Newcastle Jets
4 - 5
Macarthur FC
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