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Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle Jets Prediction & Tips | A-League | FootballTips.app

Melbourne Victory

Melbourne Victory

Home
Full Time
2 - 2
HT: 2 - 1
Friday 17 April
Newcastle Jets

Newcastle Jets

Away
Melbourne VictoryTimelineNewcastle Jets
1st Half
Adams E.
15'
Adams E. (Burgess M.)
sports_soccer
19'
Roderick
25'
Nduka C. (Rawlins J.)
sports_soccer
31'
Nduka C. (Lino F.)
sports_soccer
34'
Burgess M.
44'
2nd Half
Bertoncello X.Out: Clough Z.
sync_alt
57'
Grimaldi M.Out: Jelacic K.
sync_alt
65'
Gibson B.Out: Rose L.
sync_alt
70'
Nunes A.Out: Taylor C.
sync_alt
81'
ClarismarioOut: Velupillay N.
sync_alt
82'
D'Arrigo L.Out: Valadon J.
sync_alt
82'
Adams E.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
89'
Rawlins J.
90+1'

Top stats

2.33Expected goals (xG)2.47
38%Ball possession62%
18Total shots11
6Shots on target4
4Big chances7
7Corner kicks3
74% (235/318)Passes84% (455/541)
2Yellow cards2

Shots

2.33Expected goals (xG)2.47
2.41xG on target (xGOT)1.18
18Total shots11
6Shots on target4
5Shots off target4
7Blocked shots3
8Shots inside the box9
10Shots outside the box2
1Hit the woodwork1

Attack

4Big chances7
7Corner kicks3
28Touches in opposition box31
1Accurate through passes1
3Offsides3
12Free kicks12

Passes

74% (235/318)Passes84% (455/541)
41% (19/46)Long passes56% (20/36)
68% (102/150)Passes in final third76% (142/187)
22% (5/23)Crosses31% (4/13)
2.36Expected assists (xA)1.45
23Throw ins21

Defense

9Fouls15
70% (14/20)Tackles56% (14/25)
57Duels won52
34Clearances26
11Interceptions8
1Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

3Goalkeeper saves3
1.18xGOT faced2.41
-0.82Goals prevented0.41
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified High Confidence
11.91
X4.26
23.30

Recommended Bet

Away Win
Stake: Medium (6/10)
64
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #5 vs Away #1
Season: Home 1.50 PPG vs Away 1.83 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.45 PPG vs Away 1.20 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.00 GPG vs Away 1.92 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

33%
23%
44%
Melbourne Victory
Draw
Newcastle Jets

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Melbourne Victory

Starting 11
17Nishan Velupillay
6.88
44Charles Boniface Nduka
6.80
8Jordi Valadon (Injured)
6.97
10Denis Genreau
CAM7.24
14Matthew Grimaldi
6.71
22Joshua Rawlins
6.55
23Keegan Jelacic
6.87
2Jason Davidson
LB6.79
18Franco Lino
6.61
21Roderick Jefferson Gonçalves Miranda
CB6.41
40Jack Warshawsky
3.60
Substitutes
9Nikolaos Vergos
6.35
7Reno Piscopo (Injured)
LW5.91
27Louis Joseph D'Arrigo
CDM6.99
29Oliver Dragicevic
4.86
3Adama Traoru00e9
3.26
4Lachlan Robert Tua Jackson (Injured)
4.76
25Jack Carleton Duncan
GK3.35

Newcastle Jets

Starting 11
8Lachlan Bayliss
6.63
43Xavier Bertoncello
6.78
11Ben Gibson
6.08
13Clayton Taylor
6.94
14Max Burgess
CAM6.98
17Kostandinos Grozos
5.04
22Joel Bertolissio
6.88
28Will Dobson
6.70
23Daniel Wilmering
LB7.10
33Mark Natta
6.23
1James Nicholas Delianov
GK7.11
Substitutes
42Max Cooper
3.34
9Lachlam Rose
6.82
10Zach Paul John Clough
ST6.97
18Kota Mizunuma
RM6.31
41Lucas Scicluna
3.90
-Alex Nassiep
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 24 matches
Melbourne VictoryvsNewcastle Jets

radarTeam Profile

Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
63Attack71
shield
52Defense44
swap_horiz
47Possession65
gps_fixed
58Efficiency79
auto_fix_high
47Creativity64
gavel
59Discipline70

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

40Goals Scored49
31Goals Conceded37
5Clean Sheets4
55Big Chances79
33Big Chances Missed48
0Penalty Goals1

gps_fixedShooting

416Total Shots355
138Shots on Target134

swap_horizPassing & Possession

50.7%Avg Possession52.9%
10,489Total Passes11,372
78.7%Pass Accuracy82.4%

shieldDefending

430Tackles426
238Interceptions190
54Saves89
50.6%Duels Won49.1%

gavelDiscipline

235Fouls232
43Yellow Cards27
1Red Cards1
37Offsides40

analyticsOther

149Corners119
157Successful Dribbles230
5Errors Leading to Goal8
6.84Avg Rating6.86

history Recent Form

Melbourne VictoryMelbourne Victory
1.5 GPG
D
L
W
W
D
Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets
1.8 GPG
D
L
W
L
W

group Head to Head

PL24 Oct 2025
Newcastle Jets FC
5-2
Melbourne Victory FC
PL4 May 2025
Melbourne Victory FC
1-1
Newcastle Jets FC
PL8 Feb 2025
Newcastle Jets FC
3-0
Melbourne Victory FC
PL3 Feb 2024
Newcastle Jets FC
1-1
Melbourne Victory FC
PL29 Oct 2023
Melbourne Victory FC
5-3
Newcastle Jets FC
59%
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
80%
37 / 46 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
27 / 46 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
35%
16 / 46 matches
Both Teams to Score
63%
29 / 46 matches
Melbourne Victory CS
24%
Clean Sheets
Newcastle Jets CS
17%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

24 Oct 2025
Newcastle Jets FC
5 - 2
Melbourne Victory FC
4 May 2025
Melbourne Victory FC
1 - 1
Newcastle Jets FC
8 Feb 2025
Newcastle Jets FC
3 - 0
Melbourne Victory FC
3 Feb 2024
Newcastle Jets FC
1 - 1
Melbourne Victory FC
29 Oct 2023
Melbourne Victory FC
5 - 3
Newcastle Jets FC
17 Jul 2023
Newcastle Jets FC
2 - 2
Melbourne Victory FC
12 Feb 2023
Newcastle Jets FC
2 - 1
Melbourne Victory FC
4 Nov 2022
Melbourne Victory FC
4 - 0
Newcastle Jets FC
16 Apr 2022
Newcastle Jets FC
1 - 2
Melbourne Victory FC
12 Feb 2022
Melbourne Victory FC
1 - 2
Newcastle Jets FC
10 Apr 2021
Newcastle Jets FC
1 - 2
Melbourne Victory FC
21 Feb 2021
Melbourne Victory FC
0 - 1
Newcastle Jets FC

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Melbourne Victory
1.50
Form (Overall)
Newcastle Jets
1.83

Newcastle Jets is +22% better in terms of Points Per Game

Auckland
2 - 2
Melbourne Victory FC
Melbourne Victory FC
0 - 1
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory FC
4 - 1
Central Coast Mariners
Melbourne Victory FC
4 - 1
Macarthur
Sydney FC
2 - 2
Melbourne Victory FC
Newcastle Jets FC
1 - 1
Adelaide United
Macarthur
3 - 2
Newcastle Jets FC
Sydney FC
1 - 2
Newcastle Jets FC
Newcastle Jets FC
1 - 2
Auckland
Newcastle Jets FC
2 - 1
Western Sydney Wanderers

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