Metz vs Brest Prediction & Tips | Ligue 1 | FootballTips.app

Metz

Metz

Home
Full Time
0 - 1
HT: 0 - 0
Sunday 1 March
Brest

Brest

Away
MetzTimelineBrest
1st Half
Guindo D.
22'
Locko B.Out: Dina Ebimbe J.
sync_alt
26'
2nd Half
Abuashvili G.Out: Munongo B.
sync_alt
46'
Tsitaishvili G.
51'
Diaz Jr. M.
52'
Kvilitaia G.Out: Sarr B.
sync_alt
59'
Sane S.
67'
Ajorque L.Assist: Chardonnet B.
sports_soccer
69'
Labeau Lascary R.Out: Doumbia K.
sync_alt
74'
Michal L.Out: Colin M.
sync_alt
76'
Mbala N.Out: Toure A.
sync_alt
76'
Mboula U.Out: Traore B.
sync_alt
81'
Tousart L.Out: Del Castillo R.
sync_alt
83'

Top stats

1.27Expected goals (xG)0.88
66%Ball possession34%
24Total shots6
6Shots on target1
2Big chances2
12Corner kicks4
89% (492/552)Passes75% (230/306)
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards1

Shots

1.27Expected goals (xG)0.88
0.86xG on target (xGOT)0.22
24Total shots6
6Shots on target1
9Shots off target2
9Blocked shots3
12Shots inside the box3
12Shots outside the box3
0Hit the woodwork1

Attack

2Big chances2
12Corner kicks4
25Touches in opposition box6
0Accurate through passes0
1Offsides0
11Free kicks14

Passes

89% (492/552)Passes75% (230/306)
61% (19/31)Long passes44% (30/68)
84% (168/200)Passes in final third54% (43/79)
20% (9/44)Crosses17% (1/6)
1.18Expected assists (xA)0.48
19Throw ins13

Defense

14Fouls11
59% (13/22)Tackles56% (14/25)
65Duels won60
13Clearances43
10Interceptions8
0Errors leading to shot1
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

0Goalkeeper saves6
0.22xGOT faced0.86
-0.78Goals prevented0.86
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
13.64
X3.48
22.15

Recommended Bet

Away Win
Stake: High (10/10)
100
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #18 vs Away #11
Season: Home 0.57 PPG vs Away 1.30 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.20 PPG vs Away 1.90 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 0.91 GPG vs Away 1.18 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

13%
10%
77%
Metz
Draw
Brest

Match Preview

Metz is set to play against Brest in a Ligue 1 fixture at Stade Saint-Symphorien on March 1, 2026.

Positioned 18th in the standings, Metz will face 11th-placed Brest, with Metz having accumulated 13 points while Brest boasts 30 points in the league.

Metz has struggled at home, experiencing 6 losses in 11 matches in the league, while Brest has shown resilience with 3 draws in their recent 6 away matches.

In their previous head-to-head encounters in Ligue 1, Metz has faced defeat in 67% of the last 6 matches against Brest.

With the model predicting under 2.5 goals to be scored in this match, both teams will aim to put on a disciplined defensive display, setting the stage for a potentially low-scoring affair between Metz and Brest.

Metz's dismal run of form continues, failing to win in their last 11 games. They've also failed to win in their last five home matches, winning just twice on their own turf all season.

Brest are unbeaten in their last four games, but they've failed to win in their last four trips away from home. They've won just twice away from home all season.

Brest won the last meeting between the two teams back in November, securing a 3-2 victory at home. Metz have lost their last three home meetings with Brest without scoring a goal.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Metz

Starting 11
-Jonathan Fischer
GK6.66
-Fodé Ballo-Touré
DL6.38
-Terry Yegbe
DC6.26
-Sadibou Sané
DC6.39
-Koffi Kouao
DR6.68
-Boubacar Traoré
DMC6.37
-Jean-Philippe Gbamin
DMC6.46
-Giorgi Tsitaishvili
AML6.46
-Gauthier Hein
AMC6.52
-Lucas Michal
AMR5.90
-Habib Diallo
FW6.62

Brest

Starting 11
-Grégoire Coudert
GK6.79
-Daouda Guindo
DL6.51
-Brendan Chardonnet
DC6.93
-Soumaïla Coulibaly
DC6.45
-Kenny Lala
DR6.49
-Joris Chotard
DMC6.77
-Hugo Magnetti
DMC6.64
-Junior Dina Ebimbe
AML6.26
-Kamory Doumbia
AMC6.87
-Romain Del Castillo
AMR7.02
-Ludovic Ajorque
FW7.10
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 23 matches
MetzvsBrest

radarTeam Profile

Metz
Brest
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
14Attack38
shield
30Defense59
swap_horiz
59Possession33
gps_fixed
65Efficiency65
auto_fix_high
19Creativity29
gavel
46Discipline39

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

22Goals Scored31
52Goals Conceded34
4Clean Sheets7
30Big Chances51
16Big Chances Missed31
4Penalty Goals6

gps_fixedShooting

202Total Shots271
67Shots on Target91

swap_horizPassing & Possession

48.4%Avg Possession42.7%
10,336Total Passes8,564
85.8%Pass Accuracy78.3%

shieldDefending

377Tackles427
157Interceptions230
88Saves69
48.7%Duels Won50.3%

gavelDiscipline

257Fouls310
36Yellow Cards40
4Red Cards3
30Offsides27

analyticsOther

86Corners96
169Successful Dribbles121
4Errors Leading to Goal7
6.66Avg Rating6.78

Statistical Comparison

MetzMetricBrest
21
Goals
30
13
Assists
19
6.2
Average Ratings
6.5
25.8
Average Age
26.9
183.1
Average Height (cm)
182
0.6
Shots pg
0.9
45%
Aerial Duel Success
53%
0.7
Dribbles pg
0.3
1.4
Tackles pg
1.5

League Standings Context

For Metz

PosTeamPWDLPts
17Nantes23451417
18Metz23341613

For Brest

PosTeamPWDLPts
10Toulouse2487931
11Brest2386930
12Angers24851129

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

28.1/ 62.2
Dangerous Attacks
33.9/ 78.0
32.0%
Shots on Target
33.0%
7.3
Total Shots
9.5
48.0%
Possession
44.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.0
Goals Scored / Match
1.3
2.2
Goals Conceded / Match
1.5

Head-to-Head Summary

2
Metz Wins
33%
0
Draws
0%
4
Brest Wins
67%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketMetzBrest
Over 1.5 Goals
80%20/25
80%20/25
Over 2.5 Goals
64%16/25
48%12/25
Both Teams to Score
48%12/25
48%12/25
* Based on last 25 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Metz

Fr1
Metz
1 - 3
Auxerre
Fr1
Metz
0 - 0
Lille
Fr1
Metz
2 - 5
Lyon
CdF
Metz
0 - 4
Montpellier
Fr1
Metz
2 - 3
PSG
Fr1
Metz
0 - 1
Rennes

Home Games: Metz

Fr1
Metz
1 - 3
Auxerre
Fr1
Metz
0 - 0
Lille
Fr1
Metz
2 - 5
Lyon
CdF
Metz
0 - 4
Montpellier
Fr1
Metz
2 - 3
PSG
Fr1
Metz
0 - 1
Rennes

Last 6: Brest

Fr1
Lille
1 - 1
Brest
Fr1
Nice
2 - 2
Brest
Fr1
Lyon
2 - 1
Brest
CdF
US Avranches
1 - 1
Brest
Fr1
Rennes
3 - 1
Brest
Fr1
Strasbourg
1 - 2
Brest

Away Games: Brest

Fr1
Lille
1 - 1
Brest
Fr1
Nice
2 - 2
Brest
Fr1
Lyon
2 - 1
Brest
CdF
US Avranches
1 - 1
Brest
Fr1
Rennes
3 - 1
Brest
Fr1
Strasbourg
1 - 2
Brest

history Recent Form

MetzMetz
0.6 GPG
L
L
D
L
L
BrestBrest
1.3 GPG
W
D
W
D
L

group Head to Head

PL23 Nov 2025
Brest
3-2
Metz
PL7 Apr 2024
Brest
4-3
Metz
PL10 Dec 2023
Metz
0-1
Brest
PL24 Apr 2022
Metz
0-1
Brest
PL26 Sept 2021
Brest
1-2
Metz
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
63%
10 / 16 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
6 / 16 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
4 / 16 matches
Both Teams to Score
44%
7 / 16 matches
Metz CS
31%
Clean Sheets
Brest CS
31%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

23 Nov 2025
Brest
3 - 2
Metz
7 Apr 2024
Brest
4 - 3
Metz
10 Dec 2023
Metz
0 - 1
Brest
24 Apr 2022
Metz
0 - 1
Brest
26 Sept 2021
Brest
1 - 2
Metz
31 Jan 2021
Brest
2 - 4
Metz
29 Nov 2020
Metz
0 - 2
Brest
30 Oct 2019
Metz
1 - 1
Brest
5 Oct 2019
Brest
2 - 0
Metz
17 May 2019
Metz
1 - 0
Brest
30 Jul 2018
Brest
0 - 1
Metz
26 Feb 2016
Metz
2 - 2
Brest

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Metz
0.57
Form (Overall)
Brest
1.30

Brest is +128% better in terms of Points Per Game

PSG
3 - 0
Metz
Metz
1 - 3
Auxerre
Metz
0 - 0
Lille
Angers SCO
1 - 0
Metz
Metz
2 - 5
Olympique Lyonnais
Brest
2 - 0
Olympique Marseille
Lille
1 - 1
Brest
Brest
2 - 0
Lorient
Nice
2 - 2
Brest
Brest
0 - 2
Toulouse

Subscribe for Betting Tips

Get exclusive predictions delivered to your inbox.

No spam, unsubscribe at any time.