Metz vs Toulouse Prediction & Tips | Ligue 1 | FootballTips.app

Metz

Metz

Home
5h
16:15
Ligue 1
Toulouse

Toulouse

Away
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
14.14
X3.45
22.01

Recommended Bet

Away Win
Stake: High (10/10)
100
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #18 vs Away #12
Season: Home 0.52 PPG vs Away 1.24 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.10 PPG vs Away 0.20 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 0.83 GPG vs Away 1.08 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

12%
13%
75%
Metz
Draw
Toulouse

Match Preview

Metz will clash with Toulouse at Stade Saint-Symphorien on March 15, 2026, in a Ligue 1 showdown.

Metz, plagued by a 70% loss rate this season, will battle 67% loss-stricken Toulouse.

The head-to-head history favors Toulouse, as Metz has succumbed to defeat 3 times in their last 6 encounters across all leagues.

Notably, under 2.5 goals have been scored in 14 of Metz's last 23 matches against Toulouse, with 67% of Toulouse's recent 6 away matches witnessing fewer than 3 goals.

Toulouse to win with a probability of 36%

Metz remain bottom of Ligue 1, winning just three games all season. They've failed to win in their last 13 games, losing four games on the bounce.

Toulouse are also on a difficult run of form, failing to win in their last six matches. Away from home, they've lost three games on the bounce, winning just four times on the road all season.

Toulouse won the last meeting between the two sides earlier in the season, securing a 4-0 victory. They've also won the last three meetings without conceding a goal.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Metz

Starting 11
-Jonathan Fischer
GK6.61
-Maxime Colin
DC6.39
-Jean-Philippe Gbamin
DC6.49
-Sadibou Sané
DC6.52
-Fodé Ballo-Touré
DML6.33
-Believe Munongo
MC6.24
-Alpha Touré
MC6.19
-Boubacar Traoré
MC6.41
-Bouna Sarr
DMR5.93
-Giorgi Kvilitaia
FW6.10
-Habib Diallo
FW6.59

Toulouse

Starting 11
-Guillaume Restes
GK6.44
-Djibril Sidibé
DC6.55
-Rasmus Nicolaisen
DC6.61
-Mark McKenzie
DC6.64
-Dayann Methalie
DML6.55
-Alexis Vossah
MC6.25
-Pape Diop
MC7.27
-Warren Kamanzi
DMR6.35
-Yann Gboho
AMC7.06
-Aron Dønnum
AMC7.12
-Emersonn
FW6.52
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 25 matches
MetzvsToulouse

radarTeam Profile

Metz
Toulouse
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
13Attack37
shield
31Defense57
swap_horiz
60Possession46
gps_fixed
57Efficiency63
auto_fix_high
18Creativity28
gavel
45Discipline31

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

22Goals Scored33
56Goals Conceded29
4Clean Sheets8
32Big Chances44
18Big Chances Missed24
4Penalty Goals4

gps_fixedShooting

231Total Shots326
73Shots on Target111

swap_horizPassing & Possession

49.1%Avg Possession43.2%
11,358Total Passes9,322
86.0%Pass Accuracy81.3%

shieldDefending

421Tackles417
180Interceptions235
92Saves52
49.0%Duels Won49.5%

gavelDiscipline

288Fouls359
41Yellow Cards58
4Red Cards2
32Offsides28

analyticsOther

102Corners121
186Successful Dribbles196
4Errors Leading to Goal4
6.66Avg Rating6.80

Statistical Comparison

MetzMetricToulouse
21
Goals
32
13
Assists
20
6.2
Average Ratings
6.6
26.7
Average Age
24.3
185.2
Average Height (cm)
183.1
0.6
Shots pg
1
46%
Aerial Duel Success
53%
0.6
Dribbles pg
0.7
1.4
Tackles pg
1.3

League Standings Context

For Metz

PosTeamPWDLPts
17Nantes25451617
18Metz25341813

For Toulouse

PosTeamPWDLPts
11Angers26951232
12Toulouse25871031
13Paris FC25691027

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

30.4/ 65.6
Dangerous Attacks
39.9/ 83.5
31.0%
Shots on Target
34.0%
7.8
Total Shots
11.9
49.0%
Possession
43.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

0.9
Goals Scored / Match
1.3
2.2
Goals Conceded / Match
1.1

Head-to-Head Summary

0
Metz Wins
0%
3
Draws
50%
3
Toulouse Wins
50%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketMetzToulouse
Over 1.5 Goals
78%21/27
67%18/27
Over 2.5 Goals
63%17/27
48%13/27
Both Teams to Score
44%12/27
48%13/27
* Based on last 27 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Metz

Fr1
Metz
0 - 1
Brest
Fr1
Metz
1 - 3
Auxerre
Fr1
Metz
0 - 0
Lille
Fr1
Metz
2 - 5
Lyon
CdF
Metz
0 - 4
Montpellier
Fr1
Metz
2 - 3
PSG

Home Games: Metz

Fr1
Metz
0 - 1
Brest
Fr1
Metz
1 - 3
Auxerre
Fr1
Metz
0 - 0
Lille
Fr1
Metz
2 - 5
Lyon
CdF
Metz
0 - 4
Montpellier
Fr1
Metz
2 - 3
PSG

Last 6: Toulouse

CdF
Olympique Marseille
2 - 2
Toulouse
Fr1
Rennes
1 - 0
Toulouse
Fr1
Le Havre
2 - 1
Toulouse
Fr1
Angers
1 - 0
Toulouse
Fr1
Brest
0 - 2
Toulouse
CdF
Angers
1 - 1
Toulouse

Away Games: Toulouse

CdF
Olympique Marseille
2 - 2
Toulouse
Fr1
Rennes
1 - 0
Toulouse
Fr1
Le Havre
2 - 1
Toulouse
Fr1
Angers
1 - 0
Toulouse
Fr1
Brest
0 - 2
Toulouse
CdF
Angers
1 - 1
Toulouse

history Recent Form

MetzMetz
0.5 GPG
L
L
L
L
D
ToulouseToulouse
1.2 GPG
L
L
D
L
L

group Head to Head

PL19 Oct 2025
Toulouse
4-0
Metz
PL14 Jan 2024
Metz
0-1
Toulouse
PL1 Oct 2023
Toulouse
3-0
Metz
PL28 Sept 2019
Metz
2-2
Toulouse
PL3 Mar 2018
Metz
1-1
Toulouse
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
80%
8 / 10 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
6 / 10 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
3 / 10 matches
Both Teams to Score
50%
5 / 10 matches
Metz CS
10%
Clean Sheets
Toulouse CS
50%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

19 Oct 2025
Toulouse
4 - 0
Metz
14 Jan 2024
Metz
0 - 1
Toulouse
1 Oct 2023
Toulouse
3 - 0
Metz
28 Sept 2019
Metz
2 - 2
Toulouse
3 Mar 2018
Metz
1 - 1
Toulouse
18 Nov 2017
Toulouse
0 - 0
Metz
14 May 2017
Metz
1 - 1
Toulouse
19 Nov 2016
Toulouse
1 - 2
Metz
4 Apr 2015
Metz
3 - 2
Toulouse
8 Nov 2014
Toulouse
3 - 0
Metz

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Metz
0.52
Form (Overall)
Toulouse
1.24

Toulouse is +138% better in terms of Points Per Game

Lens
3 - 0
Metz
Metz
0 - 1
Brest
PSG
3 - 0
Metz
Metz
1 - 3
Auxerre
Metz
0 - 0
Lille
Toulouse
0 - 1
Olympique Marseille
Rennes
1 - 0
Toulouse
Toulouse
1 - 1
Paris
Le Havre
2 - 1
Toulouse
Angers SCO
1 - 0
Toulouse

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