Middlesbrough vs Southampton Prediction & Tips | Championship - Play Offs

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Middlesbrough

Home

Full Time

0 - 0

HT: 0 - 0

Saturday 9 May

Southampton

Away

MiddlesbroughTimelineSouthampton

2nd Half

Larin C.

55'

Downes F.

59'

Stewart R.Out: Larin C.

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60'

Browne A.Out: McGree R.

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68'

Matsuki K.Out: Fellows T.

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69'

Charles S.Out: Downes F.

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69'

Sarmiento J.Out: Whittaker M.

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79'

Castledine L.Out: Strelec D.

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79'

Edozie S.Out: Scienza L.

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86'

Top stats

1.82Expected goals (xG)0.58

63%Ball possession37%

21Total shots6

5Shots on target0

6Big chances1

11Corner kicks1

85% (481/568)Passes78% (257/328)

0Yellow cards2

Shots

1.82Expected goals (xG)0.58

0.47xG on target (xGOT)0.00

21Total shots6

5Shots on target0

10Shots off target5

6Blocked shots1

14Shots inside the box4

7Shots outside the box2

1Hit the woodwork1

Attack

6Big chances1

11Corner kicks1

51Touches in opposition box10

0Accurate through passes0

2Offsides4

12Free kicks7

Passes

85% (481/568)Passes78% (257/328)

49% (21/43)Long passes47% (25/53)

74% (141/191)Passes in final third70% (51/73)

18% (6/34)Crosses28% (5/18)

1.70Expected assists (xA)0.43

19Throw ins26

Defense

7Fouls12

70% (7/10)Tackles67% (6/9)

48Duels won34

19Clearances28

8Interceptions12

0Errors leading to shot0

0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

0Goalkeeper saves4

0.00xGOT faced0.47

0.00Goals prevented0.47

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AI Prediction

verified Very High Confidence

12.34

X3.20

23.27

Recommended Bet

Away Win

Stake: High (10/10)

100

Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #5 vs Away #4

Season: Home 1.74 PPG vs Away 1.74 PPG

Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.80 PPG vs Away 2.10 PPG

Goals (venue): Home 1.48 GPG vs Away 1.91 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

13%

79%

Middlesbrough

Draw

Southampton

Match Preview

First-half goals from Tommy Conway and David Strelec ended Wrexham's play-off hopes last weekend as Middlesbrough were locked into a fifth-place finish. Despite ending the campaign unbeaten in four, Kim Hellberg's side will have regrets after watching their automatic promotion hopes crumble. Now they must face the play-off favourites on home soil.

Southampton didn't let their foot off the gas after automatic promotion was taken off the cards heading into gameweek 46, instead beating Preston 3-1 on the road. The Saints are unbeaten in their last 19 Championship outings and have won seven of their last eight away from home heading into the first leg.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Middlesbrough

Starting 11

-Sol Brynn

-Adilson Malanda

-Dael Fry

-Luke Ayling

-Matt Targett

DML

-Riley McGree

-Aidan Morris

-Callum Brittain

DMR

-Tommy Conway

AMC

-Morgan Whittaker

AMC

-David Strelec

Southampton

Starting 11

-Daniel Peretz

-Ryan Manning

-Nathan Wood

-Taylor Harwood-Bellis

-James Bree

-Caspar Jander

DMC

-Flynn Downes

DMC

-Léo Scienza

AML

-Finn Azaz

AMC

-Tom Fellows

AMR

-Ross Stewart

Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 21 / 46 matches

MiddlesbroughvsSouthampton

radarTeam Profile

Middlesbrough

Southampton

sports_soccer

31Attack62

shield

18Defense44

swap_horiz

24Possession61

gps_fixed

50Efficiency72

auto_fix_high

26Creativity49

gavel

49Discipline58

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

37Goals Scored82

29Goals Conceded56

3Clean Sheets11

0Penalty Goals1

gavelDiscipline

50Yellow Cards83

1Red Cards1

history Recent Form

Middlesbrough

1.7 GPG

Southampton

1.7 GPG

group Head to Head

PL4 Jan 2026

4-0

PL27 Sept 2025

1-1

PL29 Mar 2024

1-1

PL23 Sept 2023

2-1

PL13 May 2017

1-2

63%

Over 2.5 Goals

63%

Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals

88%

7 / 8 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

63%

5 / 8 matches

Over 3.5 Goals

13%

1 / 8 matches

Both Teams to Score

63%

5 / 8 matches

Middlesbrough CS

13%

Clean Sheets

Southampton CS

25%

Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

4 Jan 2026

Middlesbrough

4 - 0

Southampton

27 Sept 2025

Southampton

1 - 1

Middlesbrough

29 Mar 2024

Southampton

1 - 1

Middlesbrough

23 Sept 2023

Middlesbrough

2 - 1

Southampton

13 May 2017

Middlesbrough

1 - 2

Southampton

11 Dec 2016

Southampton

1 - 0

Middlesbrough

21 Apr 2012

Middlesbrough

2 - 1

Southampton

29 Oct 2011

Southampton

3 - 0

Middlesbrough

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)

1.74

Form (Overall)

1.74

Both teams have equal form.

Wrexham

2 - 2

Middlesbrough

5 - 1

Watford

Middlesbrough

1 - 0

Sheffield Wednesday

Ipswich Town

2 - 2

Middlesbrough

0 - 1

Portsmouth

Preston North End

1 - 3

Southampton

2 - 2

Ipswich Town

Southampton

2 - 2

Bristol City

Swansea City

1 - 2

Southampton

3 - 0

Blackburn Rovers

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AI Prediction

verified Very High Confidence

12.34

X3.20

23.27