Millwall vs Birmingham Prediction & Tips | Championship | FootballTips.app

Millwall

Millwall

Home
Full Time
3 - 0
HT: 2 - 0
Wednesday 25 February
Birmingham

Birmingham

Away
MillwallTimelineBirmingham
1st Half
Azeez F.Assist: Crama T.
sports_soccer
25'
Crama T.
sports_soccer
31'
Solis Romero J. E.
45'
2nd Half
Gray D.Out: Osman I.
sync_alt
46'
Cooper J. (Crama T.)
sports_soccer
49'
Solis Romero J. E.
53'
Doyle T.Out: Priske A.
sync_alt
54'
Azeez F.
59'
Ivanovic M.Out: Coburn J.
sync_alt
60'
Laird E.Out: Wagner K.
sync_alt
68'
McNamara D.Out: Leonard R.
sync_alt
73'
Doughty A.Out: Sturge Z.
sync_alt
73'
Watson T.Out: Azeez F.
sync_alt
73'
Bannan B.Out: Mitchell B.
sync_alt
79'
Ducksch M.Out: Stansfield J.
sync_alt
80'
Roberts P.Out: Vicente C.
sync_alt
80'

Top stats

1.21Expected goals (xG)0.12
49%Ball possession51%
11Total shots5
5Shots on target2
4Big chances0
7Corner kicks5
77% (266/347)Passes77% (277/362)
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards1

Shots

1.21Expected goals (xG)0.12
1.55xG on target (xGOT)0.27
11Total shots5
5Shots on target2
5Shots off target1
1Blocked shots2
9Shots inside the box3
2Shots outside the box2
1Hit the woodwork0

Attack

4Big chances0
7Corner kicks5
23Touches in opposition box8
0Accurate through passes0
3Offsides1
8Free kicks14

Passes

77% (266/347)Passes77% (277/362)
44% (24/54)Long passes14% (7/49)
68% (75/110)Passes in final third60% (48/80)
33% (7/21)Crosses6% (1/18)
1.20Expected assists (xA)0.18
18Throw ins27

Defense

14Fouls8
67% (10/15)Tackles64% (7/11)
50Duels won43
29Clearances26
10Interceptions5
1Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal1

Goalkeeping

2Goalkeeper saves2
0.27xGOT faced1.55
0.27Goals prevented-1.45
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified High Confidence
12.52
X3.32
22.87

Recommended Bet

Draw
Stake: Medium (7/10)
73
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #5 vs Away #9
Season: Home 1.70 PPG vs Away 1.48 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.80 PPG vs Away 2.30 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.35 GPG vs Away 0.88 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

28%
40%
32%
Millwall
Draw
Birmingham

Match Preview

At The Den on February 25, 2026, Millwall will square off against Birmingham City in the Championship.

Positioned 3rd in the standings with 56 points, Millwall will face 7th-placed Birmingham City, who have accumulated 49 points.

Millwall has demonstrated strength at home, securing victories in 10 out of their last 18 matches played on their own turf.

Birmingham City, on the other hand, has achieved wins in 50 percent of their last 6 matches.

Additionally, under 2.5 goals were scored in 4 of Millwall's last 6 encounters with Birmingham City, and the same trend has been observed in Birmingham City's recent matches in the Championship.

With both teams expected to offer solid performances, the model predicts a draw between Millwall and Birmingham City with a probability of 38%.

Millwall missed an opportunity to close the gap to second-placed Middlesbrough at the weekend, losing 3-1 on home soil to a relegation-threatened Portsmouth side. The London club have lost just two of their last 13 Championship fixtures at The Den heading into Wednesday's contest.

Birmingham got off to a lightning-fast start against Norwich on Saturday afternoon, scoring twice inside the opening 15 minutes as they clinched all three points at Carrow Road. The Blues are now unbeaten in eight and have climbed to the outskirts of the play-off places.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Millwall

Starting 11
-Anthony Patterson
GK6.11
-Alfie Doughty
DL6.86
-Jake Cooper
DC7.11
-Caleb Taylor
DC7.21
-Tristan Crama
DR7.14
-Casper De Norre
DMC6.69
-Billy Mitchell
DMC6.62
-Camiel Neghli
AML6.51
-Barry Bannan
AMC6.24
-Femi Azeez
AMR7.26
-Mihailo Ivanovic
FW6.73

Birmingham

Starting 11
-James Beadle
GK6.68
-Kai Wagner
DL7.26
-Christoph Klarer
DC7.20
-Jonathan Panzo
DC7.53
-Bright Osayi-Samuel
DR6.31
-Tomoki Iwata
DMC6.71
-Jhon Solís
DMC6.71
-Ibrahim Osman
AML6.86
-Jay Stansfield
AMC6.60
-Carlos Vicente
AMR6.70
-Marvin Ducksch
FW6.64
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 33 / 27 matches
MillwallvsBirmingham

radarTeam Profile

Millwall
Birmingham
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
39Attack41
shield
62Defense49
swap_horiz
24Possession59
gps_fixed
55Efficiency61
auto_fix_high
29Creativity32
gavel
42Discipline64

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

42Goals Scored38
40Goals Conceded28
12Clean Sheets8
72Big Chances52
50Big Chances Missed37

gps_fixedShooting

422Total Shots342
138Shots on Target117

swap_horizPassing & Possession

46.8%Avg Possession53.7%
11,363Total Passes12,108
70.5%Pass Accuracy84.8%

shieldDefending

553Tackles422
307Interceptions163
98Saves81
51.1%Duels Won49.6%

gavelDiscipline

434Fouls273
65Yellow Cards39
2Red Cards1
72Offsides31

analyticsOther

178Corners146
178Successful Dribbles177
10Errors Leading to Goal11
6.79Avg Rating6.84

Statistical Comparison

MillwallMetricBirmingham
38
Goals
44
28
Assists
28
6.5
Average Ratings
6.6
26.1
Average Age
25.3
183
Average Height (cm)
183.1
0.8
Shots pg
0.9
54%
Aerial Duel Success
51%
0.5
Dribbles pg
0.5
1.2
Tackles pg
1.4

League Standings Context

For Millwall

PosTeamPWDLPts
4Hull City331761057
5Millwall33168956
6Wrexham FC341412854

For Birmingham

PosTeamPWDLPts
8Bristol City341481250
9Birmingham City3313101049
10Preston North End341213949

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

47.3/ 97.6
Dangerous Attacks
49.5/ 96.2
33.0%
Shots on Target
27.0%
12.7
Total Shots
14.3
47.0%
Possession
54.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.3
Goals Scored / Match
1.4
1.3
Goals Conceded / Match
1.2

Head-to-Head Summary

1
Millwall Wins
17%
3
Draws
50%
2
Birmingham Wins
33%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketMillwallBirmingham
Over 1.5 Goals
78%29/37
81%30/37
Over 2.5 Goals
49%18/37
49%18/37
Both Teams to Score
51%19/37
59%22/37
* Based on last 37 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Millwall

CH
Millwall
1 - 3
Portsmouth
CH
Millwall
1 - 1
Sheffield United
CH
Millwall
4 - 0
Charlton Athletic
CH
Millwall
2 - 1
Swansea City
CH
Millwall
2 - 1
Bristol City
CH
Millwall
0 - 0
Ipswich Town

Home Games: Millwall

CH
Millwall
1 - 3
Portsmouth
CH
Millwall
1 - 1
Sheffield United
CH
Millwall
4 - 0
Charlton Athletic
CH
Millwall
2 - 1
Swansea City
CH
Millwall
2 - 1
Bristol City
CH
Millwall
0 - 0
Ipswich Town

Last 6: Birmingham

CH
Norwich City
1 - 2
Birmingham City
CH
Oxford United
0 - 2
Birmingham City
CH
Sheffield Wednesday
0 - 2
Birmingham City
CH
Swansea City
1 - 1
Birmingham City
FA
Cambridge Utd
2 - 3
Birmingham City
CH
Watford
3 - 0
Birmingham City

Away Games: Birmingham

CH
Norwich City
1 - 2
Birmingham City
CH
Oxford United
0 - 2
Birmingham City
CH
Sheffield Wednesday
0 - 2
Birmingham City
CH
Swansea City
1 - 1
Birmingham City
FA
Cambridge Utd
2 - 3
Birmingham City
CH
Watford
3 - 0
Birmingham City

history Recent Form

MillwallMillwall
1.7 GPG
L
W
W
D
W
BirminghamBirmingham
1.5 GPG
W
D
W
W
D

group Head to Head

PL4 Nov 2025
Birmingham City
4-0
Millwall
PL9 Mar 2024
Millwall
1-0
Birmingham City
PL2 Sept 2023
Birmingham City
1-1
Millwall
PL18 Apr 2023
Millwall
0-1
Birmingham City
PL2 Nov 2022
Birmingham City
0-0
Millwall
42%
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
71%
17 / 24 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
10 / 24 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
9 / 24 matches
Both Teams to Score
38%
9 / 24 matches
Millwall CS
38%
Clean Sheets
Birmingham CS
38%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

4 Nov 2025
Birmingham City
4 - 0
Millwall
9 Mar 2024
Millwall
1 - 0
Birmingham City
2 Sept 2023
Birmingham City
1 - 1
Millwall
18 Apr 2023
Millwall
0 - 1
Birmingham City
2 Nov 2022
Birmingham City
0 - 0
Millwall
23 Apr 2022
Birmingham City
2 - 2
Millwall
4 Dec 2021
Millwall
3 - 1
Birmingham City
17 Feb 2021
Millwall
2 - 0
Birmingham City
28 Nov 2020
Birmingham City
0 - 0
Millwall
26 Feb 2020
Millwall
0 - 0
Birmingham City
30 Nov 2019
Birmingham City
1 - 1
Millwall
13 Mar 2019
Birmingham City
0 - 2
Millwall

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Millwall
1.70
Form (Overall)
Birmingham
1.48

Millwall is +15% better in terms of Points Per Game

Millwall
1 - 3
Portsmouth
Sheffield Wednesday
1 - 2
Millwall
Wrexham
0 - 2
Millwall
Millwall
1 - 1
Sheffield United
Millwall
4 - 0
Charlton Athletic
Norwich City
1 - 2
Birmingham City
Birmingham City
0 - 0
West Bromwich Albion
Birmingham City
2 - 1
Leicester City
Oxford United
0 - 2
Birmingham City
Birmingham City
1 - 1
Stoke City

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