Millwall vs Bolton Prediction & Tips | Championship | FootballTips.app

Millwall

Millwall

Home
Full Time
4 - 0
HT: 1 - 0
Saturday 5 September
Bolton

Bolton

Away
MillwallTimelineBolton
1st Half
Taylor C.Assist: Metcalfe J.
sports_soccer
38'
2nd Half
Rodrigues R.Out: McAtee J.
sync_alt
46'
Kelly D.Out: Mazou-Sacko D.
sync_alt
55'
Bair T.Out: Dalby S.
sync_alt
60'
Dong K.Out: Iling Junior S.
sync_alt
60'
Issoufou Y.Out: Arconte T.
sync_alt
65'
Lovelace Z.Out: Esse R.
sync_alt
65'
Famewo A.
75'
Conway M.Out: Famewo A.
sync_alt
75'
Hardie R.Out: Simons X.
sync_alt
76'
Baggott E.Out: Osei-Tutu J.
sync_alt
81'
Dykes L. (Lovelace Z.)
sports_soccer
83'
Metcalfe J.
86'
Sheehan J.
86'
Dykes L. (Sturge Z.)
sports_soccer
88'
Neghli C.
sports_soccer
90+2'

Top stats

2.60Expected goals (xG)0.95
39%Ball possession61%
12Total shots13
5Shots on target4
6Big chances1
3Corner kicks9
72% (188/262)Passes81% (334/411)
0Yellow cards1
1Red cards1

Shots

2.60Expected goals (xG)0.95
2.93xG on target (xGOT)1.77
12Total shots13
5Shots on target4
4Shots off target5
3Blocked shots4
11Shots inside the box11
1Shots outside the box2
0Hit the woodwork1
1Headed goals0

Attack

6Big chances1
3Corner kicks9
29Touches in opposition box25
0Accurate through passes0
8Offsides0
14Free kicks13

Passes

72% (188/262)Passes81% (334/411)
48% (29/61)Long passes42% (22/52)
57% (64/112)Passes in final third72% (71/99)
24% (4/17)Crosses26% (7/27)
0.64Expected assists (xA)0.96
16Throw ins13

Defense

13Fouls14
50% (7/14)Tackles11% (1/9)
56Duels won52
27Clearances32
7Interceptions4
0Errors leading to shot2
0Errors leading to goal2

Goalkeeping

4Goalkeeper saves1
1.77xGOT faced2.93
1.77Goals prevented-1.07
9Goal kicks6
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.90
X3.38
24.12

Recommended Bet

cancel
Away Win
Odds: 4.42Stake: Medium (6/10)
63
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #11 vs Away #16
Season: Home 1.50 PPG vs Away 1.40 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.17 PPG vs Away 0.72 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.25 GPG vs Away 0.75 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

50%
25%
24%
Millwall
Draw
Bolton
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals2.162.18-1.1%
Millwall Win1.861.99-6.3%
Draw3.303.92-15.9%
Bolton Wanderers Win4.424.14+6.8%
BTTS - Yes1.971.86+5.7%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Match Preview

Millwall endured a tough start to the week, losing star man Femi Azeez to Brighton before suffering a heavy 3-0 defeat to Wrexham amidst a crippling injury crisis. The Lions have conceded eight goals in their last two Championship outings after a strong start to the campaign.

Bolton took the lead inside the first minute against Sheffield United but were ultimately left empty-handed at Bramall Lane after Romelle Donovan made it 3-2 to the hosts in stoppage time. The Trotters have picked up just one point from three games since their opening weekend win.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Millwall

Starting 11
-Max Crocombe
GK5.38
-Elkan Baggott
DC5.96
-Jake Cooper
DC6.74
-Caleb Taylor
DC6.91
-Zak Sturge
DML6.42
-Jenson Metcalfe
MC6.59
-Daniel Kelly
MC6.12
-Derek Mazou-Sacko
MC6.01
-Mark Sykes
DMR6.64
-Lyndon Dykes
FW6.30
-Camiel Neghli
FW6.77

Bolton

Starting 11
-Jack Bonham
GK6.86
-Max Conway
DL6.73
-Akin Famewo
DC6.82
-Chris Forino
DC7.63
-Lewis Brunt
DR6.64
-Josh Sheehan
DMC6.60
-Xavier Simons
DMC6.93
-Thierry Gale
AML6.99
-John McAtee
AMC6.69
-Samuel Iling-Junior
AMR6.51
-Sam Dalby
FW7.17
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 4 matches
MillwallvsBolton
1.50Goals / Match1.00
2.00Conceded / Match1.25
2Clean Sheets1
3.75Shots on Target / Match4.50
51.0%Possession %53.8%
79.2%Pass Accuracy %80.0%

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

6Goals Scored4
8Goals Conceded5
2Clean Sheets1
12Big Chances7
8Big Chances Missed5

gps_fixedShooting

62Total Shots56
15Shots on Target18

swap_horizPassing & Possession

51.0%Avg Possession53.8%
1,589Total Passes1,727
79.2%Pass Accuracy80.0%

shieldDefending

62Tackles60
34Interceptions33
5Saves14
50.3%Duels Won51.2%

gavelDiscipline

47Fouls39
6Yellow Cards6
14Offsides7

analyticsOther

26Corners26
14Successful Dribbles26
1Errors Leading to Goal1
7.04Avg Rating7.03

Statistical Comparison

MillwallMetricBolton
6
Goals
4
3
Assists
2
6.5
Average Ratings
6.6
25.2
Average Age
25.9
185.9
Average Height (cm)
184.4
1.2
Shots pg
1.1
55%
Aerial Duel Success
54%
0.2
Dribbles pg
0.8
1.1
Tackles pg
1.3

history Recent Form

MillwallMillwall
1.5 GPG
L
L
W
W
BoltonBolton
1.4 GPG
L
L
D
W

group Head to Head

PL9 Mar 2019
Bolton Wanderers
2-1
Millwall
PL24 Nov 2018
Millwall
1-1
Bolton Wanderers
PL10 Apr 2018
Bolton Wanderers
0-2
Millwall
PL12 Aug 2017
Millwall
1-1
Bolton Wanderers
PL19 Nov 2016
Bolton Wanderers
2-0
Millwall
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
92%
12 / 13 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
23%
3 / 13 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
8%
1 / 13 matches
Both Teams to Score
54%
7 / 13 matches
Millwall CS
8%
Clean Sheets
Bolton CS
38%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

9 Mar 2019
Bolton Wanderers
2 - 1
Millwall
24 Nov 2018
Millwall
1 - 1
Bolton Wanderers
10 Apr 2018
Bolton Wanderers
0 - 2
Millwall
12 Aug 2017
Millwall
1 - 1
Bolton Wanderers
19 Nov 2016
Bolton Wanderers
2 - 0
Millwall
18 Oct 2016
Millwall
0 - 2
Bolton Wanderers
14 Mar 2015
Bolton Wanderers
2 - 0
Millwall
19 Dec 2014
Millwall
0 - 1
Bolton Wanderers
15 Feb 2014
Millwall
1 - 1
Bolton Wanderers
9 Nov 2013
Bolton Wanderers
3 - 1
Millwall
12 Jan 2013
Bolton Wanderers
1 - 1
Millwall
6 Oct 2012
Millwall
2 - 1
Bolton Wanderers

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Millwall
1.50
Form (Overall)
Bolton
1.40

Millwall is +7% better in terms of Points Per Game

Millwall
0 - 3
Wrexham
Southampton
5 - 1
Millwall
Millwall
3 - 0
Norwich City
Bristol City
0 - 2
Millwall
Sheffield United
3 - 2
Bolton Wanderers
Bolton Wanderers
0 - 1
Lincoln City
Queens Park Rangers
0 - 0
Bolton Wanderers
Bolton Wanderers
2 - 1
Preston North End

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