Millwall vs Derby Prediction & Tips | Championship | FootballTips.app

Millwall

Millwall

Home
Full Time
1 - 0
HT: 1 - 0
Tuesday 10 March
Derby

Derby

Away
MillwallTimelineDerby
1st Half
Coburn J.Assist: Crama T.
sports_soccer
43'
2nd Half
Clark B.Out: Ozoh D.
sync_alt
46'
Clark B.
55'
Sanderson D.
58'
Morris C.Out: Brewster R.
sync_alt
60'
Banel J.Out: Brereton Diaz B.
sync_alt
60'
Morris C.
62'
Cundle L.Out: Bannan B.
sync_alt
72'
Langstaff M.Out: Ivanovic M.
sync_alt
73'
Fraulo O.Out: Travis L.
sync_alt
84'
O'Donnell R.Out: Vickers J.
sync_alt
86'
Smallbone W.Out: Mitchell B.
sync_alt
89'
Watson T.Out: Azeez F.
sync_alt
89'
Mazou-Sacko D.Out: Coburn J.
sync_alt
90+1'

Top stats

1.45Expected goals (xG)1.25
50%Ball possession50%
15Total shots14
4Shots on target1
1Big chances2
6Corner kicks2
70% (243/347)Passes72% (256/354)
0Yellow cards3

Shots

1.45Expected goals (xG)1.25
2.23xG on target (xGOT)0.00
15Total shots14
4Shots on target1
7Shots off target7
4Blocked shots6
10Shots inside the box9
5Shots outside the box5
0Hit the woodwork1
1Headed goals0

Attack

1Big chances2
6Corner kicks2
24Touches in opposition box22
0Accurate through passes0
0Offsides3
13Free kicks7

Passes

70% (243/347)Passes72% (256/354)
42% (30/71)Long passes41% (33/81)
62% (71/115)Passes in final third64% (69/107)
33% (10/30)Crosses29% (4/14)
2.22Expected assists (xA)0.61
26Throw ins18

Defense

7Fouls13
40% (6/15)Tackles76% (13/17)
56Duels won57
29Clearances43
3Interceptions11
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

0Goalkeeper saves3
0.00xGOT faced2.23
0.00Goals prevented1.23
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified High Confidence
12.00
X3.41
23.98

Recommended Bet

check_circle
Home Win
Stake: Medium (7/10)
71
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #3 vs Away #7
Season: Home 1.81 PPG vs Away 1.50 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.55 PPG vs Away 1.95 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.44 GPG vs Away 1.65 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

50%
29%
21%
Millwall
Draw
Derby

Match Preview

In the English Championship, Millwall will take on Derby County at The Den on March 10, 2026.

Millwall currently holds the 3rd position in the standings, while Derby County follows closely in 7th place.

Millwall has accumulated 65 points this season, whereas Derby County has secured 54 points.

Millwall has shown strong form by winning 21 of their last 40 matches.

On the other hand, Derby County has experienced losses in 50% of their recent 6 Championship matches.

When it comes to goal statistics, Millwall has scored 2+ goals in 67% of their last 6 home matches.

Meanwhile, Derby County has witnessed over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 6 away games.

With both teams eager to secure a victory, the match between Millwall and Derby County at The Den is set to be a captivating encounter.

Prediction: Millwall to win 2-1.

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 36 matches
MillwallvsDerby
1.39Goals / Match1.50
1.14Conceded / Match1.31
14Clean Sheets8
4.22Shots on Target / Match3.44
46.7%Possession %43.4%
70.4%Pass Accuracy %74.7%

radarTeam Profile

Millwall
Derby
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
43Attack38
shield
64Defense46
swap_horiz
24Possession27
gps_fixed
60Efficiency78
auto_fix_high
33Creativity32
gavel
42Discipline40

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

50Goals Scored54
41Goals Conceded47
14Clean Sheets8
82Big Chances77
55Big Chances Missed44
0Penalty Goals4

gps_fixedShooting

458Total Shots372
152Shots on Target124

swap_horizPassing & Possession

46.7%Avg Possession43.4%
12,326Total Passes11,986
70.4%Pass Accuracy74.7%

shieldDefending

596Tackles526
336Interceptions318
106Saves104
50.8%Duels Won48.7%

gavelDiscipline

479Fouls431
72Yellow Cards82
2Red Cards3
77Offsides51

analyticsOther

193Corners167
194Successful Dribbles194
10Errors Leading to Goal4
6.81Avg Rating6.76

League Standings Context

For Millwall

PosTeamPWDLPts
2Middlesbrough36209769
3Millwall36198965
4Ipswich Town351810764

For Derby

PosTeamPWDLPts
6Wrexham FC351512857
7Derby County361591254
8Southampton3514111053

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

46.6/ 96.9
Dangerous Attacks
40.9/ 87.8
33.0%
Shots on Target
33.0%
12.7
Total Shots
10.0
47.0%
Possession
43.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.4
Goals Scored / Match
1.5
1.2
Goals Conceded / Match
1.4

Head-to-Head Summary

3
Millwall Wins
50%
3
Draws
50%
0
Derby Wins
0%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketMillwallDerby
Over 1.5 Goals
80%32/40
80%32/40
Over 2.5 Goals
50%20/40
53%21/40
Both Teams to Score
50%20/40
70%28/40
* Based on last 40 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Millwall

CH
Millwall
3 - 0
Birmingham City
CH
Millwall
1 - 3
Portsmouth
CH
Millwall
1 - 1
Sheffield United
CH
Millwall
4 - 0
Charlton Athletic
CH
Millwall
2 - 1
Swansea City
CH
Millwall
2 - 1
Bristol City

Home Games: Millwall

CH
Millwall
3 - 0
Birmingham City
CH
Millwall
1 - 3
Portsmouth
CH
Millwall
1 - 1
Sheffield United
CH
Millwall
4 - 0
Charlton Athletic
CH
Millwall
2 - 1
Swansea City
CH
Millwall
2 - 1
Bristol City

Last 6: Derby

CH
Hull City
4 - 2
Derby County
CH
Watford
2 - 0
Derby County
CH
Bristol City
0 - 5
Derby County
CH
Charlton Athletic
1 - 2
Derby County
CH
Preston North End
0 - 1
Derby County
CH
Leicester City
2 - 1
Derby County

Away Games: Derby

CH
Hull City
4 - 2
Derby County
CH
Watford
2 - 0
Derby County
CH
Bristol City
0 - 5
Derby County
CH
Charlton Athletic
1 - 2
Derby County
CH
Preston North End
0 - 1
Derby County
CH
Leicester City
2 - 1
Derby County

history Recent Form

MillwallMillwall
1.8 GPG
W
W
W
L
W
DerbyDerby
1.5 GPG
W
W
L
L
W

group Head to Head

PL10 Dec 2025
Derby County
1-1
Millwall
PL22 Feb 2025
Derby County
0-1
Millwall
PL19 Oct 2024
Millwall
1-1
Derby County
PL23 Feb 2022
Derby County
1-2
Millwall
PL6 Nov 2021
Millwall
1-1
Derby County
35%
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
52%
12 / 23 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
35%
8 / 23 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
13%
3 / 23 matches
Both Teams to Score
39%
9 / 23 matches
Millwall CS
43%
Clean Sheets
Derby CS
35%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

10 Dec 2025
Derby County
1 - 1
Millwall
22 Feb 2025
Derby County
0 - 1
Millwall
19 Oct 2024
Millwall
1 - 1
Derby County
23 Feb 2022
Derby County
1 - 2
Millwall
6 Nov 2021
Millwall
1 - 1
Derby County
13 Mar 2021
Derby County
0 - 1
Millwall
5 Dec 2020
Millwall
0 - 1
Derby County
20 Jun 2020
Millwall
2 - 3
Derby County
14 Dec 2019
Derby County
0 - 1
Millwall
20 Feb 2019
Derby County
0 - 1
Millwall
18 Aug 2018
Millwall
2 - 1
Derby County
27 Jan 2018
Millwall
0 - 0
Derby County

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Millwall
1.81
Form (Overall)
Derby
1.50

Millwall is +21% better in terms of Points Per Game

Hull City
1 - 3
Millwall
Preston North End
0 - 2
Millwall
Millwall
3 - 0
Birmingham City
Millwall
1 - 3
Portsmouth
Sheffield Wednesday
1 - 2
Millwall
Derby County
2 - 1
Sheffield Wednesday
Derby County
3 - 1
Blackburn Rovers
Hull City
4 - 2
Derby County
Watford
2 - 0
Derby County
Derby County
2 - 0
Swansea City

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