Millwall vs Swansea Prediction & Tips | Championship | FootballTips.app
Millwall
HomeFull Time
0 - 1
HT: 0 - 0
Tuesday 13 October
Swansea
Awayauto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Medium Model Confidence
12.53
X3.38
22.67
Recommended Bet
No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
67
Best near-miss
Key Factors
League Rank: Home #10 vs Away #1
Season: Home 1.56 PPG vs Away 2.22 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.20 PPG vs Away 2.05 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.25 GPG vs Away 2.00 GPG
donut_small Win Probabilities
31%
24%
45%
Millwall
Draw
Swansea
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.93 | 1.88 | 2.02 | +2.7% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 1.90 | 2.14 | 1.98 | -11.1% |
| Millwall Win | 2.45 | 3.24 | 2.62 | -24.4% |
| Draw | 3.44 | 4.19 | 3.68 | -17.8% |
| Swansea City Win | 2.70 | 2.66 | 2.89 | +1.5% |
| BTTS - Yes | 1.67 | 1.79 | 1.80 | -6.5% |
| BTTS - No | 2.10 | 2.27 | 2.26 | -7.6% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
Millwall
Starting 11
-Filip Marschall
GK6.97
-Zak Sturge
DL6.83
-Jake Cooper
DC6.88
-Caleb Taylor
DC7.18
-Tristan Crama
DR6.10
-Jenson Metcalfe
DMC6.74
-Derek Mazou-Sacko
DMC6.60
-Camiel Neghli
AML7.07
-Luke Cundle
AMC6.38
-Kyrell Lisbie
AMR6.50
-Lyndon Dykes
FW7.10
Swansea
Starting 11
-Lawrence Vigouroux
GK6.84
-Josh Tymon
DL6.68
-Stephen Welsh
DC7.00
-Ben Cabango
DC6.81
-Filip Lissah
DR6.91
-Melker Widell
MC6.82
-Jay Fulton
MC6.50
-Gonçalo Franco
MC6.69
-Moussa Yeo
FWL7.03
-Zan Vipotnik
FW6.49
-Joseph Opoku
FWR6.59
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
Match Preview
Millwall ruined Graham Alexander's first game in charge of Preston on Saturday, as Camiel Neghli's second-half goal sealed a 1-0 away win at Deepdale. The London club are now unbeaten in three Championship outings after a mixed start to the season.
Swansea held serve at the top of the Championship standings in gameweek nine, coming from behind to beat Norwich 2-1 in Wales. With 20 points from a possible 27, Vitor Matos' side are four points clear of third-placed West Ham as things stand.
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 9 matchesMillwallvsSwansea
1.78Goals / Match1.67
1.67Conceded / Match0.78
4Clean Sheets4
4.00Shots on Target / Match5.22
45.1%Possession %59.4%
75.1%Pass Accuracy %82.6%
radarTeam Profile
Millwall
Swansea
sports_soccer
66Attack53
shield
53Defense67
swap_horiz
26Possession64
gps_fixed
59Efficiency88
auto_fix_high
64Creativity62
gavel
49Discipline65
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
16Goals Scored15
15Goals Conceded7
4Clean Sheets4
31Big Chances24
20Big Chances Missed14
1Penalty Goals1
gps_fixedShooting
131Total Shots108
36Shots on Target47
swap_horizPassing & Possession
45.1%Avg Possession59.4%
3,094Total Passes4,842
75.1%Pass Accuracy82.6%
shieldDefending
127Tackles155
81Interceptions67
20Saves20
53.1%Duels Won50.6%
gavelDiscipline
115Fouls84
12Yellow Cards16
1Red Cards0
30Offsides19
analyticsOther
40Corners37
38Successful Dribbles59
1Errors Leading to Goal1
7.30Avg Rating7.48
Statistical Comparison
MillwallMetricSwansea
16
Goals
15
10
Assists
12
6.6
Average Ratings
6.6
24.4
Average Age
25.5
184.6
Average Height (cm)
182.2
1
Shots pg
0.9
60%
Aerial Duel Success
46%
0.4
Dribbles pg
0.7
1.2
Tackles pg
1.5
history Recent Form
MillwallD
L
W
L
W
SwanseaW
L
W
W
D
group Head to Head
PL4 Jan 2026
2-1
PL27 Sept 2025
1-1
PL26 Apr 2025
1-0
PL26 Oct 2024
0-1
PL4 May 2024
0-1
39%
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
61%
11 / 18 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
7 / 18 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
6%
1 / 18 matches
Both Teams to Score
44%
8 / 18 matches
Millwall CS
28%
Clean Sheets
Swansea CS
33%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
4 Jan 2026
Millwall
2 - 1
Swansea City
27 Sept 2025
Swansea City
1 - 1
Millwall
26 Apr 2025
Millwall
1 - 0
Swansea City
26 Oct 2024
Swansea City
0 - 1
Millwall
4 May 2024
Swansea City
0 - 1
Millwall
30 Sept 2023
Millwall
0 - 3
Swansea City
14 Mar 2023
Millwall
2 - 1
Swansea City
16 Aug 2022
Swansea City
2 - 2
Millwall
5 Apr 2022
Millwall
0 - 1
Swansea City
15 Sept 2021
Swansea City
0 - 0
Millwall
10 Apr 2021
Millwall
0 - 3
Swansea City
3 Oct 2020
Swansea City
2 - 1
Millwall
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
1.75
Form (Overall)
2.25
Swansea is +29% better in terms of Points Per Game
Millwall
2 - 2
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Millwall
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Millwall
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Lincoln City
1 - 2
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Southampton
3 - 1
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Derby County
0 - 3
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Stoke City
1 - 2
Swansea City
Norwich City
1 - 1
Swansea City
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