Minnesota United vs FC Dallas Prediction & Tips | MLS | FootballTips.app

Minnesota United

Minnesota United

Home
8h
00:30
MLS
FC Dallas

FC Dallas

Away

Who wins?

auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
12.05
X3.86
23.16

Recommended Bet

No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below

Key Factors

Season: Home 1.26 PPG vs Away 1.61 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.00 PPG vs Away 1.35 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.00 GPG vs Away 1.77 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.00 conc vs Away 1.62 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

37%
25%
38%
Minnesota United
Draw
FC Dallas
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.551.90-18.4%
Under 2.5 Goals2.302.11+8.9%
Minnesota United Win2.102.73-23.2%
Draw3.603.96-9.0%
FC Dallas Win3.252.62+24.0%
BTTS - Yes2.621.83+43.5%
BTTS - No1.442.21-34.8%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Match Preview

Allianz Field will host the elimination phase clash between Minnesota United and FC Dallas in Major League Soccer on September 10, 2026.

Minnesota United have recorded 3 draws in their last 6 home matches, showing a pattern of close contests on their own ground.

FC Dallas come into this fixture with 50 percent wins from their most recent 6 matches in Major League Soccer, indicating solid form.

The history between the two teams points to balanced matchups, with half of their last 6 head-to-head meetings ending in draws.

Prediction: FC Dallas to win 1-2

Marcus Caldeira's brace wasn't enough to get Minnesota United back into contention against Portland Timbers at the weekend as Thursday's visitors came out on the wrong side of a 5-4 scoreline at Providence Park. Cameron Knowles' side have won just one of their last 12 MLS matches.

FC Dallas continued their stretch of chaotic matches, beating a struggling Sporting Kansas City side 4-2 after Petar Musa scored a 97th-minute penalty. Eric Quill's men have seen 32 goals scored in just their last six competitive matches, winning three, losing two and drawing one.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Minnesota United

Starting 11
-Drake Callender
GK6.59
-Nectarios Triantis
DC6.50
-Michael Boxall
DC6.38
-Nicolás Romero
DC6.75
-Anthony Markanich
DML7.07
-Wil Trapp
MC6.32
-Owen Gene
MC6.49
-Kyle Duncan
DMR6.66
-Kelvin Yeboah
FWL6.90
-Marcus Caldeira
FW6.97
-Tomás Chancalay
FWR6.67

FC Dallas

Starting 11
-Jonathan Sirois
GK7.16
-Shaq Moore
DC6.67
-Nolan Norris
DC6.80
-Osaze Urhoghide
DC7.01
-Bernard Kamungo
DML6.76
-Ramiro
MC6.44
-Kaick
MC6.58
-Herman Johansson
DMR6.55
-Logan Farrington
AMC6.85
-Santiago Moreno
AMC6.73
-Petar Musa
FW7.49
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 23 matches
Minnesota UnitedvsFC Dallas
1.48Goals / Match1.96
1.61Conceded / Match1.74
5Clean Sheets4
5.13Shots on Target / Match4.70
46.4%Possession %41.7%
82.4%Pass Accuracy %79.0%

radarTeam Profile

Minnesota United
FC Dallas
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
58Attack58
shield
45Defense42
swap_horiz
48Possession36
gps_fixed
64Efficiency85
auto_fix_high
74Creativity62
gavel
49Discipline39

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

34Goals Scored45
37Goals Conceded40
5Clean Sheets4
77Big Chances61
54Big Chances Missed37
1Penalty Goals5

gps_fixedShooting

315Total Shots280
118Shots on Target108

swap_horizPassing & Possession

46.4%Avg Possession41.7%
10,039Total Passes8,713
82.4%Pass Accuracy79.0%

shieldDefending

354Tackles356
217Interceptions220
73Saves81
48.4%Duels Won49.6%

gavelDiscipline

287Fouls306
46Yellow Cards58
40Offsides49

analyticsOther

128Corners96
145Successful Dribbles141
2Errors Leading to Goal2
6.82Avg Rating6.82

Statistical Comparison

Minnesota UnitedMetricFC Dallas
34
Goals
44
27
Assists
30
6.5
Average Ratings
6.5
26.9
Average Age
25.8
184.2
Average Height (cm)
181.5
0.9
Shots pg
0.8
53%
Aerial Duel Success
54%
0.5
Dribbles pg
0.6
1.1
Tackles pg
1.2

League Standings Context

For Minnesota United

PosTeamPWDLPts
10Real Salt Lake2285929
11Minnesota United2378829
12Los Angeles Galaxy2478929

For FC Dallas

PosTeamPWDLPts
3Los Angeles FC24107737
4FC Dallas23107637
5Saint Louis City23107637

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

49.0/ 96.1
Dangerous Attacks
36.1/ 84.0
37.0%
Shots on Target
39.0%
13.6
Total Shots
11.8
48.0%
Possession
41.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.4
Goals Scored / Match
1.9
1.6
Goals Conceded / Match
1.6

Head-to-Head Summary

2
Minnesota United Wins
33%
3
Draws
50%
1
FC Dallas Wins
17%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketMinnesota UnitedFC Dallas
Over 1.5 Goals
71%20/28
71%20/28
Over 2.5 Goals
57%16/28
61%17/28
Both Teams to Score
64%18/28
57%16/28
* Based on last 28 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Minnesota United

Us1
Minnesota United
3 - 3
Orlando City SC
Us1
Minnesota United
1 - 2
Atlanta United
LC
Minnesota United
3 - 1
Atlante FC
LC
Minnesota United
1 - 2
FC Juárez
Us1
Minnesota United
1 - 1
San Diego
Us1
Minnesota United
0 - 0
Vancouver Whitecaps

Home Games: Minnesota United

Us1
Minnesota United
3 - 3
Orlando City SC
Us1
Minnesota United
1 - 2
Atlanta United
LC
Minnesota United
3 - 1
Atlante FC
LC
Minnesota United
1 - 2
FC Juárez
Us1
Minnesota United
1 - 1
San Diego
Us1
Minnesota United
0 - 0
Vancouver Whitecaps

Last 6: FC Dallas

Us1
Saint Louis City
3 - 3
FC Dallas
Us1
Vancouver Whitecaps
5 - 0
FC Dallas
Us1
Real Salt Lake
3 - 4
FC Dallas
Us1
Austin FC
1 - 2
FC Dallas
LC
Deportivo Toluca
3 - 1
FC Dallas
LC
Guadalajara Chivas
0 - 1
FC Dallas

Away Games: FC Dallas

Us1
Saint Louis City
3 - 3
FC Dallas
Us1
Vancouver Whitecaps
5 - 0
FC Dallas
Us1
Real Salt Lake
3 - 4
FC Dallas
Us1
Austin FC
1 - 2
FC Dallas
LC
Deportivo Toluca
3 - 1
FC Dallas
LC
Guadalajara Chivas
0 - 1
FC Dallas

history Recent Form

Minnesota UnitedMinnesota United
1.1 GPG
D
L
W
L
D
FC DallasFC Dallas
1.6 GPG
D
L
W
W
L

group Head to Head

PL23 Apr 2026
FC Dallas
0-1
Minnesota United
PL5 Jul 2025
FC Dallas
1-2
Minnesota United
PL20 Apr 2025
Minnesota United
0-0
FC Dallas
PL20 Jun 2024
FC Dallas
5-3
Minnesota United
PL9 Jun 2024
Minnesota United
1-1
FC Dallas
41%
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
64%
14 / 22 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
9 / 22 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
5 / 22 matches
Both Teams to Score
45%
10 / 22 matches
Minnesota United CS
36%
Clean Sheets
FC Dallas CS
32%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

23 Apr 2026
FC Dallas
0 - 1
Minnesota United
5 Jul 2025
FC Dallas
1 - 2
Minnesota United
20 Apr 2025
Minnesota United
0 - 0
FC Dallas
20 Jun 2024
FC Dallas
5 - 3
Minnesota United
9 Jun 2024
Minnesota United
1 - 1
FC Dallas
1 May 2023
Minnesota United
0 - 0
FC Dallas
26 Feb 2023
FC Dallas
0 - 1
Minnesota United
18 Oct 2022
FC Dallas
1 - 1
Minnesota United
3 Sept 2022
Minnesota United
0 - 3
FC Dallas
23 May 2022
FC Dallas
1 - 2
Minnesota United
3 Oct 2021
FC Dallas
0 - 0
Minnesota United
20 Jun 2021
FC Dallas
1 - 1
Minnesota United

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Minnesota United
1.09
Form (Overall)
FC Dallas
1.62

FC Dallas is +49% better in terms of Points Per Game

Minnesota United
3 - 3
Orlando City
Minnesota United
1 - 2
Atlanta United FC
Minnesota United
3 - 1
Atlante
Minnesota United
1 - 2
Juárez
Minnesota United
1 - 1
San Diego
St. Louis City
3 - 3
FC Dallas
Vancouver Whitecaps
5 - 0
FC Dallas
Real Salt Lake
3 - 4
FC Dallas
Austin
1 - 2
FC Dallas
Toluca
3 - 1
FC Dallas

Subscribe for Betting Tips

Get exclusive predictions delivered to your inbox.

No spam, unsubscribe at any time.