MK Dons vs Crawley Prediction & Tips | EFL Trophy | FootballTips.app
MK Dons
HomeFull Time
4 - 1
HT: 2 - 0
Tuesday 22 September
Crawley
Awayauto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Model Confidence
11.64
X3.97
24.01
Recommended Bet
No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
55
Best near-miss
Key Factors
Season: Home 0.70 PPG vs Away 0.80 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.85 PPG vs Away 0.15 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 0.67 GPG vs Away 1.17 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 0.67 conc vs Away 1.33 conc
donut_small Win Probabilities
52%
25%
23%
MK Dons
Draw
Crawley
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.40 | 2.00 | 1.51 | -30.1% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 2.75 | 2.00 | 2.96 | +37.7% |
| Milton Keynes Dons Win | 1.55 | 1.93 | 1.74 | -19.7% |
| Draw | 4.35 | 4.02 | 4.89 | +8.2% |
| Crawley Town Win | 4.00 | 4.29 | 4.50 | -6.8% |
| BTTS - Yes | 1.44 | 2.06 | 1.55 | -30.2% |
| BTTS - No | 2.62 | 1.94 | 2.82 | +35.0% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 7 matchesMK DonsvsCrawley
1.14Goals / Match0.86
1.43Conceded / Match1.86
2Clean Sheets0
3.29Shots on Target / Match3.43
43.6%Possession %58.1%
72.5%Pass Accuracy %79.0%
radarTeam Profile
MK Dons
Crawley
sports_soccer
43Attack29
shield
49Defense24
swap_horiz
21Possession64
gps_fixed
39Efficiency34
auto_fix_high
53Creativity39
gavel
54Discipline22
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
8Goals Scored6
10Goals Conceded13
2Clean Sheets0
16Big Chances13
11Big Chances Missed8
0Penalty Goals1
gps_fixedShooting
100Total Shots98
23Shots on Target24
swap_horizPassing & Possession
43.6%Avg Possession58.1%
2,145Total Passes2,959
72.5%Pass Accuracy79.0%
shieldDefending
97Tackles100
62Interceptions48
25Saves19
46.4%Duels Won52.3%
gavelDiscipline
87Fouls70
12Yellow Cards20
0Red Cards2
17Offsides7
analyticsOther
38Corners31
34Successful Dribbles76
1Errors Leading to Goal4
7.24Avg Rating6.92
history Recent Form
MK DonsD
D
D
L
D
CrawleyL
L
L
D
L
group Head to Head
PL17 Feb 2026
0-0
PL19 Aug 2025
1-1
PL11 May 2024
1-5
PL7 May 2024
3-0
PL29 Dec 2023
2-0
36%
Over 2.5 Goals
29%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
11 / 14 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
36%
5 / 14 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
21%
3 / 14 matches
Both Teams to Score
29%
4 / 14 matches
MK Dons CS
50%
Clean Sheets
Crawley CS
36%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
17 Feb 2026
Milton Keynes Dons
0 - 0
Crawley Town
19 Aug 2025
Crawley Town
1 - 1
Milton Keynes Dons
11 May 2024
Milton Keynes Dons
1 - 5
Crawley Town
7 May 2024
Crawley Town
3 - 0
Milton Keynes Dons
29 Dec 2023
Milton Keynes Dons
2 - 0
Crawley Town
15 Aug 2023
Crawley Town
2 - 1
Milton Keynes Dons
2 Mar 2019
Milton Keynes Dons
1 - 0
Crawley Town
3 Nov 2018
Crawley Town
0 - 4
Milton Keynes Dons
10 Jan 2015
Crawley Town
2 - 2
Milton Keynes Dons
30 Aug 2014
Milton Keynes Dons
2 - 0
Crawley Town
12 Apr 2014
Milton Keynes Dons
0 - 2
Crawley Town
26 Dec 2013
Crawley Town
0 - 2
Milton Keynes Dons
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
0.70
Form (Overall)
0.80
Crawley is +14% better in terms of Points Per Game
AFC Wimbledon
0 - 0
Milton Keynes Dons
Milton Keynes Dons
1 - 1
Peterborough United
Wycombe Wanderers
3 - 3
Milton Keynes Dons
Wigan Athletic
3 - 1
Milton Keynes Dons
Milton Keynes Dons
0 - 0
Leicester City
Grimsby Town
2 - 0
Crawley Town
Crawley Town
1 - 3
Cheltenham Town
Accrington Stanley
3 - 2
Crawley Town
Northampton Town
1 - 1
Crawley Town
Crawley Town
0 - 2
Bristol Rovers
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