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MK Dons vs Newport Prediction & Tips | League Two | FootballTips.app

MK Dons

MK Dons

Home
Full Time
1 - 0
HT: 1 - 0
Saturday 14 February
Newport

Newport

Away
MK DonsTimelineNewport
1st Half
Collins A. ()
sports_soccer
1'
Spellman M.
22'
Delaney R.Out: Brennan C.
sync_alt
38'
2nd Half
Biggins H.Out: Jarvis C.
sync_alt
46'
Opoku N.Out: Crole J.
sync_alt
46'
Paterson C. (Penalty missed)
close
63'
Hepburn-Murphy R.Out: Paterson C.
sync_alt
68'
Matete J.Out: Collins A.
sync_alt
77'
Sprangler S.
79'
Lloyd B.Out: Garner G.
sync_alt
86'
Evans C.Out: Kamwa B.
sync_alt
86'
Crowley D.Out: Kelly L.
sync_alt
90+5'
Hepburn-Murphy R.
90+10'

Top stats

2.29Expected goals (xG)0.68
53%Ball possession47%
20Total shots4
9Shots on target0
4Big chances2
6Corner kicks2
65% (253/389)Passes69% (240/350)
1Yellow cards2

Shots

2.29Expected goals (xG)0.68
1.72xG on target (xGOT)0.00
20Total shots4
9Shots on target0
6Shots off target3
5Blocked shots1
11Shots inside the box2
9Shots outside the box1
0Hit the woodwork0

Attack

4Big chances2
6Corner kicks2
27Touches in opposition box4
0Accurate through passes0
3Offsides2
10Free kicks7

Passes

65% (253/389)Passes69% (240/350)
32% (29/91)Long passes25% (20/81)
55% (71/130)Passes in final third54% (36/67)
32% (8/25)Crosses15% (2/13)
0.89Expected assists (xA)0.46
32Throw ins21

Defense

7Fouls10
70% (16/23)Tackles45% (5/11)
61Duels won49
18Clearances46
10Interceptions13
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

1Goalkeeper saves8
0.00xGOT faced1.72
0.00Goals prevented0.72
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.30
X4.88
28.98

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: Medium (7/10)
67
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #5 vs Away #23
Season: Home 1.80 PPG vs Away 0.70 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.50 PPG vs Away 0.55 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.93 GPG vs Away 1.00 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

94%
3%
3%
MK Dons
Draw
Newport

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

MK Dons

Starting 11
10Aaron Collins
CF6.79
6Liam Kelly
CM6.90
8Alex Gilbey
CM6.95
15Luke Offord
CB6.79
-1Aaron Evans Nemane
6.03
26Ben Wiles
CM6.87
-1Callum Paterson
CF7.22
14Joe Tomlinson
LB5.75
-1Marvin Ekpiteta
CB6.03
25Curtis Nelson
CB7.35
1Craig MacGillivray
GK6.70
Substitutes
22Jon Mellish
CB6.66
29Rushian Hepburn-Murphy
ST6.76
7Daniel Crowley
CAM4.54
28Jay Matete
5.29
2Gethin Jones
RB6.66
32Jack Sanders
7.04
-1Connal Trueman
GK0.41

Newport

Starting 11
19Gerard Garner
CF6.31
4Matthew Baker
6.65
5Sven Sprangler
6.72
8Harrison Biggins
CM3.52
21Michael Spellman
6.34
24Nathaniel Opoku
6.71
6Ciaran Brennan
RB4.66
18Liam Shephard
RB5.99
4Ryan Delaney
CB5.56
17Thomas Davies
5.79
28Jordan Wright
4.10
Substitutes
40Cole Lewis Jarvis
6.62
-1Cameron James Evans
4.55
16James Crole
3.83
33Tanatswa Nyakuhwa
4.79
-1Anthony Driscoll-Glennon
LB3.87
12Joe Thomas
4.69
-Shaun MacDonald
GK
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 30 matches
MK DonsvsNewport

radarTeam Profile

MK Dons
Newport
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
56Attack22
shield
53Defense28
swap_horiz
23Possession31
gps_fixed
86Efficiency50
auto_fix_high
37Creativity22
gavel
38Discipline46

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

59Goals Scored29
33Goals Conceded56
9Clean Sheets5
78Big Chances46
41Big Chances Missed35
6Penalty Goals0

gps_fixedShooting

361Total Shots320
134Shots on Target104

swap_horizPassing & Possession

48.7%Avg Possession47.6%
9,863Total Passes10,507
66.0%Pass Accuracy71.4%

shieldDefending

476Tackles435
255Interceptions197
66Saves82
50.9%Duels Won48.6%

gavelDiscipline

387Fouls352
64Yellow Cards55
3Red Cards3
63Offsides70

analyticsOther

128Corners96
147Successful Dribbles207
6Errors Leading to Goal7
6.82Avg Rating6.62

history Recent Form

MK DonsMK Dons
1.8 GPG
W
D
W
W
W
NewportNewport
0.7 GPG
L
D
L
L
W

group Head to Head

PL23 Aug 2025
Newport County
1-2
Milton Keynes Dons
PL18 Apr 2025
Milton Keynes Dons
0-0
Newport County
PL21 Dec 2024
Newport County
6-3
Milton Keynes Dons
PL24 Feb 2024
Milton Keynes Dons
3-0
Newport County
PL11 Nov 2023
Newport County
0-0
Milton Keynes Dons
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
70%
7 / 10 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
6 / 10 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
3 / 10 matches
Both Teams to Score
40%
4 / 10 matches
MK Dons CS
50%
Clean Sheets
Newport CS
30%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

23 Aug 2025
Newport County
1 - 2
Milton Keynes Dons
18 Apr 2025
Milton Keynes Dons
0 - 0
Newport County
21 Dec 2024
Newport County
6 - 3
Milton Keynes Dons
24 Feb 2024
Milton Keynes Dons
3 - 0
Newport County
11 Nov 2023
Newport County
0 - 0
Milton Keynes Dons
22 Nov 2022
Milton Keynes Dons
3 - 1
Newport County
7 Jan 2020
Newport County
3 - 0
Milton Keynes Dons
23 Feb 2019
Milton Keynes Dons
2 - 0
Newport County
12 Feb 2019
Newport County
0 - 1
Milton Keynes Dons
9 Aug 2016
Newport County
2 - 3
Milton Keynes Dons

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
MK Dons
1.80
Form (Overall)
Newport
0.70

MK Dons is +157% better in terms of Points Per Game

Cheltenham Town
2 - 3
Milton Keynes Dons
Grimsby Town
2 - 2
Milton Keynes Dons
Milton Keynes Dons
1 - 0
Bristol Rovers
Milton Keynes Dons
5 - 1
Shrewsbury Town
Accrington Stanley
0 - 2
Milton Keynes Dons
Swindon Town
2 - 0
Newport County
Newport County
0 - 0
Grimsby Town
Bristol Rovers
3 - 0
Newport County
Newport County
1 - 4
Accrington Stanley
Newport County
2 - 1
Chesterfield

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