Modena vs Avellino Prediction & Tips | Serie B | FootballTips.app

Modena

Modena

Home
Full Time
0 - 1
HT: 0 - 1
Sunday 6 September
Avellino

Avellino

Away
ModenaTimelineAvellino
1st Half
Besaggio M. ()
sports_soccer
8'
Cheddira W.Out: Favilli A.
sync_alt
19'
Zampano F.
34'
Simic L.
38'
2nd Half
Azzi P.Out: Zampano F.
sync_alt
46'
Cancellotti T.Out: Missori F.
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46'
Venturi M.Out: Simic L.
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46'
Bacchin L.Out: Brugman G.
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63'
Sounas D.Out: Besaggio M.
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65'
Ambrosino G.
76'
Berenbruch T.Out: Di Maggio L.
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77'
Montevago D.Out: Caso G.
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77'
Folino F.Out: Nador S.
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86'
Bozhanaj K.Out: Santoro S.
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86'
Bozhanaj K.
87'
Martinelli T.
90'

Top stats

2.03Expected goals (xG)0.37
62%Ball possession38%
43Total shots6
10Shots on target2
2Big chances2
12Corner kicks2
92% (453/495)Passes77% (242/316)
3Yellow cards2

Shots

2.03Expected goals (xG)0.37
0.87xG on target (xGOT)0.55
43Total shots6
10Shots on target2
20Shots off target3
13Blocked shots1
24Shots inside the box3
19Shots outside the box3
3Hit the woodwork1

Attack

2Big chances2
12Corner kicks2
62Touches in opposition box8
0Accurate through passes0
0Offsides0
12Free kicks17

Passes

92% (453/495)Passes77% (242/316)
84% (21/25)Long passes42% (25/60)
86% (194/225)Passes in final third56% (28/50)
36% (15/42)Crosses17% (1/6)
2.27Expected assists (xA)0.40
16Throw ins19

Defense

17Fouls12
82% (14/17)Tackles58% (11/19)
51Duels won42
16Clearances34
6Interceptions4
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

2Goalkeeper saves10
0.55xGOT faced0.87
-0.45Goals prevented0.87
4Goal kicks23
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.76
X3.49
24.76

Recommended Bet

Away Win
Odds: 4.40Stake: Medium (6/10)
58
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #3 vs Away #9
Season: Home 1.00 PPG vs Away 1.30 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 3.00 PPG vs Away 1.64 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.00 GPG vs Away 1.00 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

55%
23%
22%
Modena
Draw
Avellino
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals2.102.05+2.2%
Modena Win1.731.83-5.4%
Draw3.484.28-18.6%
Avellino Win4.404.56-3.5%
BTTS - Yes1.881.83+3.0%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Match Preview

Modena enter the clash as one of Serie B’s standout early performers, boasting maximum away points following victories over Benevento and Cremonese.

The "Canarini" are now searching for their first home win of the campaign as they build an early case for automatic promotion to Serie A.

Avellino sit on three points from their opening two fixtures after bouncing back with a 3-0 win against Vicenza.

History suggests a tight affair at the Stadio Alberto Braglia, with the last two meetings on Modena soil ending in 1-1 draws.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Modena

Starting 11
-Leandro Chichizola
GK
-Francesco Zampano
DL
-Bryant Nieling
DC
-Steven Nador
DC
-Daniel Tonoli
DR
-Simone Santoro
MC
-Alessandro Bianco
MC
-Gastón Brugman
MC
-Giacomo Olzer
FWL
-Giuseppe Ambrosino
FW
-Giuseppe Caso
FWR

Avellino

Starting 11
-Tommaso Martinelli
GK
-Patrick Enrici
DC
-Lorenco Simic
DC
-Armando Izzo
DC
-Brando Moruzzi
DML
-Luca Palmiero
MC
-Martin Palumbo
MC
-Michele Besaggio
MC
-Tommaso Cancellotti
DMR
-Raffaele Russo
FW
-Walid Cheddira
FW
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 2 matches
ModenavsAvellino
2.50Goals / Match2.00
0.50Conceded / Match1.00
1Clean Sheets1
3.50Shots on Target / Match5.50
50.0%Possession %50.5%
87.4%Pass Accuracy %85.8%

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

5Goals Scored4
1Goals Conceded2
1Clean Sheets1
4Big Chances4
1Big Chances Missed2

gps_fixedShooting

23Total Shots21
7Shots on Target11

swap_horizPassing & Possession

50.0%Avg Possession50.5%
879Total Passes904
87.4%Pass Accuracy85.8%

shieldDefending

22Tackles36
19Interceptions18
4Saves4
46.9%Duels Won58.9%

gavelDiscipline

24Fouls25
3Yellow Cards6
10Offsides0

analyticsOther

6Corners6
17Successful Dribbles9
7.62Avg Rating7.58

history Recent Form

ModenaModena
1.0 GPG
W
W
AvellinoAvellino
1.3 GPG
W
L

group Head to Head

PL8 May 2026
Avellino
1-0
Modena
PL31 Aug 2025
Modena
1-1
Avellino
PL23 Jan 2016
Modena
1-1
Avellino
PL12 Sept 2015
Avellino
2-0
Modena
PL2 Apr 2015
Avellino
1-0
Modena
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
63%
5 / 8 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
25%
2 / 8 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
0%
0 / 8 matches
Both Teams to Score
50%
4 / 8 matches
Modena CS
13%
Clean Sheets
Avellino CS
38%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

8 May 2026
Avellino
1 - 0
Modena
31 Aug 2025
Modena
1 - 1
Avellino
23 Jan 2016
Modena
1 - 1
Avellino
12 Sept 2015
Avellino
2 - 0
Modena
2 Apr 2015
Avellino
1 - 0
Modena
8 Nov 2014
Modena
1 - 2
Avellino
17 May 2014
Modena
1 - 0
Avellino
22 Dec 2013
Avellino
2 - 1
Modena

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Modena
1.00
Form (Overall)
Avellino
1.30

Avellino is +30% better in terms of Points Per Game

Cremonese
0 - 3
Modena
Benevento
1 - 2
Modena
Avellino
3 - 0
Vicenza
Avellino
1 - 2
Arezzo

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