Monaco vs PSG Prediction & Tips | Champions League - Play Offs | FootballTips.app

Monaco

Monaco

Home
Full Time
2 - 3
HT: 2 - 2
Tuesday 17 February
PSG

PSG

Away
MonacoTimelinePSG
1st Half
Balogun F. (Golovin A.)
sports_soccer
1'
Balogun F. (Akliouche M.)
sports_soccer
18'
Faes W.
21'
Vitinha (Penalty missed)
close
22'
Doue D.Out: Dembele O.
sync_alt
27'
Doue D. (Barcola B.)
sports_soccer
29'
Zakaria D.
29'
Hakimi A. (Doue D.)
sports_soccer
41'
2nd Half
Golovin A.
48'
Diatta K.Out: Akliouche M.
sync_alt
58'
Doue D.Assist: Zaire-Emery W.
sports_soccer
67'
Lee Kang-InOut: Kvaratskhelia K.
sync_alt
69'
Bamba A.Out: Vanderson
sync_alt
70'
Coulibaly M.Out: Adingra S.
sync_alt
70'
Ramos G.Out: Barcola B.
sync_alt
81'
Biereth M.Out: Balogun F.
sync_alt
83'

Top stats

1.20Expected goals (xG)2.51
20%Ball possession80%
7Total shots30
4Shots on target10
2Big chances4
1Corner kicks8
73% (145/198)Passes92% (737/801)
2Yellow cards0
1Red cards0

Shots

1.20Expected goals (xG)2.51
1.39xG on target (xGOT)2.48
7Total shots30
4Shots on target10
3Shots off target10
0Blocked shots10
5Shots inside the box13
2Shots outside the box17
0Hit the woodwork0
1Headed goals0

Attack

2Big chances4
1Corner kicks8
9Touches in opposition box49
1Accurate through passes0
2Offsides2
4Free kicks11

Passes

73% (145/198)Passes92% (737/801)
43% (23/53)Long passes79% (30/38)
71% (40/56)Passes in final third90% (275/304)
50% (1/2)Crosses37% (7/19)
0.95Expected assists (xA)1.83
10Throw ins14

Defense

11Fouls4
65% (13/20)Tackles80% (8/10)
39Duels won49
28Clearances3
13Interceptions3
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

7Goalkeeper saves2
2.48xGOT faced1.39
-0.52Goals prevented-0.61
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
16.20
X4.92
21.50

Recommended Bet

check_circle
Away Win
Stake: Medium (8/10)
77
Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 1.20 PPG vs Away 1.70 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.90 PPG vs Away 2.10 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.80 GPG vs Away 1.25 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.40 conc vs Away 1.50 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

12%
11%
77%
Monaco
Draw
PSG

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Monaco

Starting 11
9Folarin Balogun
CF6.77
-Simon Adingra
LW
6Denis Zakaria
CDM6.77
10Aleksandr Golovin (Injured)
CAM6.90
11Maghnes Akliouche
7.09
15Lamine Camara
7.06
2Vanderson de Oliveira
6.58
-1Thilo Kehrer
CB6.55
12Caio Henrique
LB6.17
-Wout Faes (Injured)
CB
16Philipp Köhn
GK5.10
Substitutes
27Krepin Diatta
RW6.81
-Paris Josua Brunner (Injured)
-1Ansu Fati (Injured)
LW5.71
14Mika Bieveth
4.13
23Aladji Bamba
3.23
-1Mamadou Coulibaly
6.03
-Samuel Kondi Nibombé
-1Jordan Teze
RB6.18
-1Yann Lienard

PSG

Starting 11
10Ousmane Dembélé
RW7.01
7Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
LW7.42
14Désiré Doué
7.75
17Vitinha
CM7.91
-1Warren Zaïre-Emery
6.83
87João Neves
6.03
2Achraf Hakimi
RB7.28
-1Illia Zabarnyi
CB4.42
25Nuno Mendes
LB7.29
51Willian Pacho
CB7.00
-1Matvei Safonov
GK1.99
Substitutes
-1Gonçalo Ramos
CF5.86
27Pedro Fernández Sarmiento
1.33
29Bradley Barcola
CF6.78
-1Lee Kang-in
CAM5.99
49Ibrahim Mbaye
2.96
-Lucas Lopes Beraldo
5Marquinhos
CB6.03
-1Lucas Hernández
CB3.07
30Lucas Chevalier
5.47
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Match Preview

Monaco is scheduled to face off against PSG in a Champions League match at Stade Louis II.

on February 17, 2026.

Monaco has shown a tendency for draws in their recent outings, with a 50 percent draw rate in their last 6 matches.

Additionally, they have captured victory in 8 out of their last 16 home fixtures.

On the other hand, PSG has been in stellar form this season with 68 wins out of 99 matches and an impressive 32 victories in their last 49 away games.

In their previous head-to-head encounters, Monaco has struggled, losing 4 out of their last 6 matches against PSG.

Our algorithm predicts PSG to come out on top with a probability of 37%.

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 8 matches
MonacovsPSG
1.00Goals / Match2.63
1.75Conceded / Match1.38
4Clean Sheets2
5.00Shots on Target / Match7.63
45.9%Possession %67.9%
83.0%Pass Accuracy %90.7%

radarTeam Profile

Monaco
PSG
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
46Attack99
shield
64Defense45
swap_horiz
55Possession95
gps_fixed
42Efficiency67
auto_fix_high
41Creativity79
gavel
57Discipline64

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

8Goals Scored21
14Goals Conceded11
4Clean Sheets2
27Big Chances33
22Big Chances Missed23
1Penalty Goals1

gps_fixedShooting

117Total Shots173
40Shots on Target61

swap_horizPassing & Possession

45.9%Avg Possession67.9%
3,389Total Passes5,328
83.0%Pass Accuracy90.7%

shieldDefending

139Tackles136
73Interceptions62
23Saves13
51.9%Duels Won52.7%

gavelDiscipline

92Fouls65
14Yellow Cards6
0Red Cards2
7Offsides15

analyticsOther

43Corners54
67Successful Dribbles76
2Errors Leading to Goal3
6.80Avg Rating6.98

League Standings Context

For Monaco

PosTeamPWDLPts
20Galatasaray831410
21Monaco824210
22Qarabag831410

For PSG

PosTeamPWDLPts
10Inter850315
11PSG842214
12Newcastle United842214

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

47.1/ 99.1
Dangerous Attacks
61.0/ 115.5
36.0%
Shots on Target
40.0%
12.7
Total Shots
17.1
51.0%
Possession
68.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.5
Goals Scored / Match
2.5
1.6
Goals Conceded / Match
1.0

Head-to-Head Summary

1
Monaco Wins
17%
1
Draws
17%
4
PSG Wins
67%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketMonacoPSG
Over 1.5 Goals
64%21/33
245%81/33
Over 2.5 Goals
61%20/33
194%64/33
Both Teams to Score
61%20/33
167%55/33
* Based on last 33 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Monaco

Fr1
Monaco
3 - 1
Nantes
Fr1
Nice
0 - 0
Monaco
CdF
Strasbourg
3 - 1
Monaco
Fr1
Monaco
4 - 0
Rennes
UCL
Monaco
0 - 0
Juventus
Fr1
Le Havre
0 - 0
Monaco

Home Games: Monaco

Fr1
Monaco
3 - 1
Nantes
Fr1
Monaco
4 - 0
Rennes
UCL
Monaco
0 - 0
Juventus
Fr1
Monaco
1 - 3
Lorient
Fr1
Monaco
1 - 3
Lyon
UCL
Monaco
1 - 0
Galatasaray

Last 6: PSG

Fr1
Rennes
3 - 1
PSG
Fr1
PSG
5 - 0
Olympique Marseille
Fr1
Strasbourg
1 - 2
PSG
UCL
PSG
1 - 1
Newcastle United
Fr1
Auxerre
0 - 1
PSG
UCL
Sporting CP
2 - 1
PSG

Away Games: PSG

Fr1
Rennes
3 - 1
PSG
Fr1
Strasbourg
1 - 2
PSG
Fr1
Auxerre
0 - 1
PSG
UCL
Sporting CP
2 - 1
PSG
CdF
Fontenay
0 - 4
PSG
Fr1
Metz
2 - 3
PSG

history Recent Form

MonacoMonaco
1.2 GPG
W
D
W
D
L
PSGPSG
1.7 GPG
L
W
W
W
W

group Head to Head

PL29 Nov 2025
Monaco
1-0
PSG
PL7 Feb 2025
PSG
4-1
Monaco
PL5 Jan 2025
PSG
1-0
Monaco
PL18 Dec 2024
Monaco
2-4
PSG
PL1 Mar 2024
Monaco
0-0
PSG
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
83%
30 / 36 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
18 / 36 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
39%
14 / 36 matches
Both Teams to Score
53%
19 / 36 matches
Monaco CS
22%
Clean Sheets
PSG CS
31%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

29 Nov 2025
Monaco
1 - 0
PSG
7 Feb 2025
PSG
4 - 1
Monaco
5 Jan 2025
PSG
1 - 0
Monaco
18 Dec 2024
Monaco
2 - 4
PSG
1 Mar 2024
Monaco
0 - 0
PSG
24 Nov 2023
PSG
5 - 2
Monaco
11 Feb 2023
Monaco
3 - 1
PSG
28 Aug 2022
PSG
1 - 1
Monaco
20 Mar 2022
Monaco
3 - 0
PSG
12 Dec 2021
PSG
2 - 0
Monaco
19 May 2021
Monaco
0 - 2
PSG
21 Feb 2021
PSG
0 - 2
Monaco

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Monaco
1.20
Form (Overall)
PSG
1.70

PSG is +42% better in terms of Points Per Game

Monaco
3 - 1
Nantes
Nice
0 - 0
Monaco
Monaco
4 - 0
Rennes
Le Havre
0 - 0
Monaco
Monaco
1 - 3
Lorient
Rennes
3 - 1
PSG
PSG
5 - 0
Olympique Marseille
Strasbourg
1 - 2
PSG
Auxerre
0 - 1
PSG
PSG
3 - 0
Lille

Subscribe for Betting Tips

Get exclusive predictions delivered to your inbox.

No spam, unsubscribe at any time.