Montpellier vs Pau FC Prediction & Tips | Ligue 2 | FootballTips.app
Montpellier
HomeFull Time
1 - 0
HT: 0 - 0
Friday 11 September
Pau FC
Awayauto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.91
X3.40
24.05
Recommended Bet
check_circle
Home Win
Odds: 1.83Stake: High (9/10)
87
Opp. Value
Key Factors
League Rank: Home #5 vs Away #10
Season: Home 2.00 PPG vs Away 0.80 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.40 PPG vs Away 1.00 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.67 GPG vs Away 1.33 GPG
donut_small Win Probabilities
60%
22%
17%
Montpellier
Draw
Pau FC
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.92 | 1.85 | 2.08 | +3.6% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 1.78 | 2.17 | 1.93 | -18.1% |
| Montpellier Win | 1.83 | 1.66 | 2.04 | +10.5% |
| Draw | 3.25 | 4.48 | 3.63 | -27.4% |
| Pau Win | 3.80 | 5.79 | 4.25 | -34.3% |
| BTTS - Yes | 1.75 | 1.88 | 1.92 | -6.7% |
| BTTS - No | 1.90 | 2.14 | 2.09 | -11.3% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 5 matchesMontpelliervsPau FC
0.80Goals / Match0.80
0.80Conceded / Match1.00
3Clean Sheets1
4.80Shots on Target / Match3.20
53.2%Possession %49.6%
82.9%Pass Accuracy %80.3%
radarTeam Profile
Montpellier
Pau FC
sports_soccer
35Attack27
shield
90Defense52
swap_horiz
56Possession46
gps_fixed
42Efficiency32
auto_fix_high
47Creativity42
gavel
31Discipline42
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
4Goals Scored4
4Goals Conceded5
3Clean Sheets1
14Big Chances8
10Big Chances Missed5
gps_fixedShooting
69Total Shots71
24Shots on Target16
swap_horizPassing & Possession
53.2%Avg Possession49.6%
2,211Total Passes2,091
82.9%Pass Accuracy80.3%
shieldDefending
90Tackles77
63Interceptions45
21Saves18
48.5%Duels Won49.9%
gavelDiscipline
101Fouls73
13Yellow Cards10
0Offsides15
analyticsOther
28Corners24
34Successful Dribbles30
7.40Avg Rating7.24
history Recent Form
MontpellierL
D
W
W
D
Pau FCD
D
L
W
L
group Head to Head
PL20 Mar 2026
0-0
PL6 Dec 2025
0-1
PL6 Jan 2023
2-1
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
33%
1 / 3 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
1 / 3 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
0%
0 / 3 matches
Both Teams to Score
33%
1 / 3 matches
Montpellier CS
33%
Clean Sheets
Pau FC CS
67%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
20 Mar 2026
Pau
0 - 0
Montpellier
6 Dec 2025
Montpellier
0 - 1
Pau
6 Jan 2023
Pau
2 - 1
Montpellier
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
2.00
Form (Overall)
0.80
Montpellier is +150% better in terms of Points Per Game
Saint-Étienne
3 - 1
Montpellier
Montpellier
0 - 0
Boulogne
Dunkerque
0 - 1
Montpellier
Nancy
0 - 1
Montpellier
Montpellier
1 - 1
Dijon
Pau
1 - 1
Sochaux
Rodez
2 - 2
Pau
Pau
0 - 1
Nancy
Dijon
0 - 1
Pau
Pau
0 - 1
Annecy
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