Morocco vs Mali Prediction & Tips | Friendly International | FootballTips.app
Morocco
HomeFull Time
1 - 1
HT: 1 - 0
Sunday 4 October
Mali
Awayauto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Model Confidence
11.58
X3.59
24.82
Recommended Bet
No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
Key Factors
Season: Home 2.10 PPG vs Away 1.20 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.20 PPG vs Away 1.80 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.75 GPG vs Away 0.33 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 0.75 conc vs Away 0.50 conc
donut_small Win Probabilities
54%
25%
22%
Morocco
Draw
Mali
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morocco Win | 1.58 | 1.86 | 1.77 | -15.2% |
| Draw | 3.59 | 4.04 | 4.02 | -11.2% |
| Mali Win | 4.82 | 4.63 | 5.39 | +4.0% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
history Recent Form
MoroccoW
W
L
W
D
MaliW
W
L
D
L
group Head to Head
PL26 Dec 2025
1-1
PL7 Feb 2021
0-2
PL5 Sept 2017
0-0
PL1 Sept 2017
6-0
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
25%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
3 / 4 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
25%
1 / 4 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
1 / 4 matches
Both Teams to Score
25%
1 / 4 matches
Morocco CS
75%
Clean Sheets
Mali CS
25%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
26 Dec 2025
Morocco
1 - 1
Mali
7 Feb 2021
Mali
0 - 2
Morocco
5 Sept 2017
Mali
0 - 0
Morocco
1 Sept 2017
Morocco
6 - 0
Mali
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
2.10
Form (Overall)
1.20
Morocco is +75% better in terms of Points Per Game
Lesotho
0 - 2
Morocco
Morocco
2 - 0
Gabon
France
2 - 0
Morocco
Canada
0 - 3
Morocco
Netherlands
1 - 1
Morocco
Liberia
0 - 1
Mali
Mali
3 - 1
Cape Verde Islands
Iran
2 - 0
Mali
Russia
0 - 0
Mali
Mali
0 - 1
Senegal
Weekly Newsletter
Subscribe for Betting Tips
Get exclusive predictions delivered to your inbox.
Join our community of smart bettors. Get exclusive predictions, value picks, and statistical analysis delivered straight to your inbox.
Free Weekly Tips
Value Opportunities