Motherwell vs Aberdeen Prediction & Tips | Premiership | FootballTips.app

Motherwell

Motherwell

Home
Full Time
2 - 0
HT: 1 - 0
Sunday 15 February
Aberdeen

Aberdeen

Away
MotherwellTimelineAberdeen
1st Half
Slattery C.
23'
Just E.Assist: Welsh S.
sports_soccer
28'
Morrison L.
32'
McIntyre T.
37'
2nd Half
Palaversa A.Out: Afeez A.
sync_alt
46'
Geiger D.
52'
Devlin N.Out: Jensen A.
sync_alt
62'
Charles-Cook R.Out: Watt E.
sync_alt
66'
Bjorgolfsson E.Out: Just E.
sync_alt
66'
Keskinen T.
67'
Lazetic M.Out: Nisbet K.
sync_alt
71'
Bilalovic K.Out: Keskinen T.
sync_alt
71'
Cameron L.
72'
Kjartansson K.Out: Geiger D.
sync_alt
79'
Nicholson S.Out: Said I.
sync_alt
81'
O'Donnell S.Out: Longelo E.
sync_alt
81'
McGhee J.Out: Maswanhise T.
sync_alt
90'
Palaversa A.
90+2'
McIntyre T.
sports_soccer
90+3'

Top stats

1.97Expected goals (xG)0.67
46%Ball possession54%
18Total shots10
8Shots on target2
1Big chances3
4Corner kicks2
82% (313/381)Passes85% (373/441)
1Yellow cards6

Shots

1.97Expected goals (xG)0.67
1.14xG on target (xGOT)0.34
18Total shots10
8Shots on target2
7Shots off target5
3Blocked shots3
16Shots inside the box4
2Shots outside the box6
0Hit the woodwork2

Attack

1Big chances3
4Corner kicks2
41Touches in opposition box17
0Accurate through passes0
0Offsides3
18Free kicks15

Passes

82% (313/381)Passes85% (373/441)
51% (25/49)Long passes55% (32/58)
71% (100/141)Passes in final third71% (92/129)
38% (6/16)Crosses0% (0/16)
1.16Expected assists (xA)0.61
10Throw ins16

Defense

15Fouls18
73% (8/11)Tackles67% (10/15)
44Duels won41
32Clearances22
7Interceptions18
1Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

2Goalkeeper saves7
0.34xGOT faced1.14
0.34Goals prevented0.14
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.65
X3.94
24.90

Recommended Bet

check_circle
Home Win
Stake: High (9/10)
88
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #4 vs Away #7
Season: Home 1.76 PPG vs Away 1.17 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.10 PPG vs Away 0.75 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.77 GPG vs Away 0.58 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

94%
3%
3%
Motherwell
Draw
Aberdeen

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Motherwell

Starting 11
-Calum Ward
GK6.97
-Emmanuel Longelo
DL6.82
-Paul McGinn
DC7.06
-Stephen Welsh
DC7.01
-Stephen O'Donnell
DR6.64
-Elliot Watt
DMC7.20
-Oscar Priestman
DMC6.38
-Callum Slattery
AML7.03
-Elijah Just
AMC7.07
-Ibrahim Said
AMR6.66
-Tawanda Maswanhise
FW7.13

Aberdeen

Starting 11
-Dimitar Mitov
GK6.60
-Mitchel Frame
DL7.16
-Tom McIntyre
DC
-Liam Morrison
DC6.17
-Nicky Devlin
DR6.52
-Lyall Cameron
MC6.54
-Afeez Aremu
MC
-Dennis Geiger
MC
-Topi Keskinen
FWL6.46
-Kevin Nisbet
FW6.47
-Kenan Bilalovic
FWR6.41
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Match Preview

Motherwell and Aberdeen are poised to meet in a Premiership fixture at Fir Park on February 15, 2026.

Motherwell currently occupies the 4th position in the league standings, while Aberdeen trails behind in 7th place.

With 44 points under their belt, Motherwell has been formidable at home, securing 5 wins in their last 6 matches in the league.

Conversely, Aberdeen has faced difficulties, registering 5 losses in their recent 6 Premiership outings.

In their past encounters, Motherwell has experienced setbacks, losing 3 out of their last 6 head-to-head matches against Aberdeen in the Premiership.

As the two teams prepare to battle it out on the field, the stats suggest a challenging contest ahead.

According to the model prediction, Motherwell is forecasted to emerge victorious with a 2-0 result.

Motherwell are looking to cement their place in the Scottish Premiership top four, up against an Aberdeen team that could be consigned to a bottom half finish if they don't start picking up points soon.

Motherwell had kept a clean sheet in their previous eight home league matches (W7 D1) and had won their previous five in a row, before their midweek match ended in a share of the spoils against Rangers at Fir Park. Having pegged back the Dons at Pittodrie in November, they'll aim for back to back victories against Aberdeen in both the Scottish Premiership and Scottish Cup.

Aberdeen's 6-2 win over Livingston was the first time that they had scored six goals in a Scottish Premiership match since May 2017, where they beat Partick Thistle 6-0. However, their hard work was undone by a capitulation in Kilmarnock, where the Dons were defeated by three goals without reply. Yet to beat the Steelmen in the league this season, now would be a good time to do so.

Despite the previous draw between the two teams up in Aberdeen, Motherwell defeated the Dons comfortably at home in September and will hope to repeat the feat at Fir Park this weekend.

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 25 / 24 matches
MotherwellvsAberdeen
1.52Goals / Match1.08
0.72Conceded / Match1.38
13Clean Sheets6
4.84Shots on Target / Match4.04
59.2%Possession %48.3%
85.9%Pass Accuracy %79.3%

radarTeam Profile

Motherwell
Aberdeen
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
48Attack30
shield
69Defense44
swap_horiz
77Possession51
gps_fixed
71Efficiency54
auto_fix_high
48Creativity26
gavel
59Discipline23

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

38Goals Scored26
18Goals Conceded33
13Clean Sheets6
60Big Chances46
36Big Chances Missed29
6Penalty Goals2

gps_fixedShooting

326Total Shots294
121Shots on Target97

swap_horizPassing & Possession

59.2%Avg Possession48.3%
13,840Total Passes9,644
85.9%Pass Accuracy79.3%

shieldDefending

367Tackles379
190Interceptions157
72Saves79
49.2%Duels Won48.0%

gavelDiscipline

296Fouls343
33Yellow Cards58
1Red Cards4
58Offsides48

analyticsOther

94Corners121
227Successful Dribbles207
3Errors Leading to Goal8
6.96Avg Rating6.72

Statistical Comparison

MotherwellMetricAberdeen
38
Goals
26
26
Assists
14
6.6
Average Ratings
6.5
26.3
Average Age
25.1
179.8
Average Height (cm)
181.4
0.9
Shots pg
0.8
46%
Aerial Duel Success
46%
0.7
Dribbles pg
0.8
1
Tackles pg
1.3

League Standings Context

For Motherwell

PosTeamPWDLPts
3Celtic25163651
4Motherwell251111344
5Hibernian27119742

For Aberdeen

PosTeamPWDLPts
6Falkirk FC271161039
7Aberdeen24841228
8Dundee United25610928

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

48.9/ 88.6
Dangerous Attacks
37.8/ 80.5
37.0%
Shots on Target
31.0%
12.0
Total Shots
11.2
57.0%
Possession
47.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.5
Goals Scored / Match
1.0
0.8
Goals Conceded / Match
1.5

Head-to-Head Summary

3
Motherwell Wins
50%
1
Draws
17%
2
Aberdeen Wins
33%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketMotherwellAberdeen
Over 1.5 Goals
70%23/33
73%24/33
Over 2.5 Goals
36%12/33
42%14/33
Both Teams to Score
42%14/33
33%11/33
* Based on last 33 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Motherwell

Sc1
Motherwell
1 - 1
Rangers
Sc1
Livingston
0 - 2
Motherwell
Sc1
Motherwell
4 - 0
Kilmarnock
FA
Motherwell
1 - 0
Ross County
Sc1
Hibernian
1 - 1
Motherwell
Sc1
Motherwell
2 - 0
St Mirren

Home Games: Motherwell

Sc1
Motherwell
1 - 1
Rangers
Sc1
Motherwell
4 - 0
Kilmarnock
FA
Motherwell
1 - 0
Ross County
Sc1
Motherwell
2 - 0
St Mirren
Sc1
Motherwell
2 - 0
Celtic
Sc1
Motherwell
1 - 0
Dundee

Last 6: Aberdeen

Sc1
Kilmarnock
3 - 0
Aberdeen
Sc1
Aberdeen
6 - 2
Livingston
FA
Aberdeen
1 - 0
Raith Rovers
Sc1
Aberdeen
0 - 2
Rangers
Sc1
Rangers
2 - 0
Aberdeen
Sc1
Falkirk FC
1 - 0
Aberdeen

Away Games: Aberdeen

Sc1
Kilmarnock
3 - 0
Aberdeen
Sc1
Rangers
2 - 0
Aberdeen
Sc1
Falkirk FC
1 - 0
Aberdeen
Sc1
Hibernian
2 - 0
Aberdeen
Sc1
Celtic
3 - 1
Aberdeen
ECL
Sparta Praha
3 - 0
Aberdeen

history Recent Form

MotherwellMotherwell
1.8 GPG
D
W
W
D
W
AberdeenAberdeen
1.2 GPG
L
W
L
L
L

group Head to Head

PL9 Nov 2025
Aberdeen
1-1
Motherwell
PL27 Sept 2025
Motherwell
2-0
Aberdeen
PL20 Sept 2025
Aberdeen
0-1
Motherwell
PL29 Mar 2025
Aberdeen
4-1
Motherwell
PL5 Jan 2025
Motherwell
2-0
Aberdeen
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
74%
34 / 46 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
23 / 46 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
13 / 46 matches
Both Teams to Score
48%
22 / 46 matches
Motherwell CS
30%
Clean Sheets
Aberdeen CS
26%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

9 Nov 2025
Aberdeen
1 - 1
Motherwell
27 Sept 2025
Motherwell
2 - 0
Aberdeen
20 Sept 2025
Aberdeen
0 - 1
Motherwell
29 Mar 2025
Aberdeen
4 - 1
Motherwell
5 Jan 2025
Motherwell
2 - 0
Aberdeen
14 Sept 2024
Aberdeen
2 - 1
Motherwell
27 Apr 2024
Aberdeen
1 - 0
Motherwell
16 Mar 2024
Motherwell
0 - 1
Aberdeen
14 Feb 2024
Aberdeen
3 - 3
Motherwell
1 Nov 2023
Motherwell
2 - 4
Aberdeen
4 Feb 2023
Aberdeen
3 - 1
Motherwell
22 Oct 2022
Motherwell
1 - 2
Aberdeen

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Motherwell
1.76
Form (Overall)
Aberdeen
1.17

Motherwell is +50% better in terms of Points Per Game

Motherwell
1 - 1
Rangers
Livingston
0 - 2
Motherwell
Motherwell
4 - 0
Kilmarnock
Hibernian
1 - 1
Motherwell
Motherwell
2 - 0
St. Mirren
Kilmarnock
3 - 0
Aberdeen
Aberdeen
6 - 2
Livingston
Aberdeen
0 - 2
Rangers
Rangers
2 - 0
Aberdeen
Falkirk
1 - 0
Aberdeen

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