Motherwell vs Dundee Utd Prediction & Tips | Premiership | FootballTips.app

Motherwell

Motherwell

Home
Full Time
3 - 0
HT: 1 - 0
Wednesday 2 September
Dundee Utd

Dundee Utd

Away
MotherwellTimelineDundee Utd
1st Half
Agyei E.
14'
Palmer-Houlden S.Assist: Sparrow T.
sports_soccer
19'
Tait D.Out: Yoro A.
sync_alt
20'
Palmer-Houlden S.
35'
2nd Half
Randall J.Out: Merghem M.
sync_alt
46'
Girdwood-Reich J.Out: Knight-Lebel J.
sync_alt
46'
Farrugia N.Out: Bennie D.
sync_alt
57'
Rose L.Out: Sapsford Z.
sync_alt
58'
Bjorgolfsson E.Out: Palmer-Houlden S.
sync_alt
59'
Levitt D.Out: Fadinger L.
sync_alt
59'
Ciubotaru K.Out: Ferry W.
sync_alt
64'
Lowry A. (Maswanhise T.)
sports_soccer
65'
Levitt D. (Maswanhise T.)
sports_soccer
67'
O'Donnell S.Out: Sparrow T.
sync_alt
68'
Vogt W.Out: Lowry A.
sync_alt
68'

Top stats

2.14Expected goals (xG)0.19
71%Ball possession29%
25Total shots5
8Shots on target1
2Big chances0
9Corner kicks3
93% (698/750)Passes80% (237/295)
1Yellow cards0
0Red cards1

Shots

2.14Expected goals (xG)0.19
2.03xG on target (xGOT)0.18
25Total shots5
8Shots on target1
8Shots off target2
9Blocked shots2
16Shots inside the box2
9Shots outside the box3
2Hit the woodwork0

Attack

2Big chances0
9Corner kicks3
35Touches in opposition box13
0Accurate through passes0
1Offsides1
6Free kicks8

Passes

93% (698/750)Passes80% (237/295)
72% (18/25)Long passes33% (14/42)
86% (217/252)Passes in final third63% (32/51)
20% (5/25)Crosses6% (1/16)
1.55Expected assists (xA)0.17
14Throw ins17

Defense

8Fouls6
78% (14/18)Tackles78% (14/18)
44Duels won36
21Clearances28
3Interceptions5
0Errors leading to shot1
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

1Goalkeeper saves5
0.18xGOT faced2.03
0.18Goals prevented-0.97
6Goal kicks6
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.98
X3.69
23.48

Recommended Bet

check_circle
Home Win
Odds: 1.95Stake: High (8/10)
83
Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 1.50 PPG vs Away 1.30 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.53 PPG vs Away 1.17 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.25 GPG vs Away 1.40 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 0.75 conc vs Away 1.60 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

55%
24%
22%
Motherwell
Draw
Dundee Utd
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.721.89-9.0%
Motherwell Win1.951.82+7.1%
Draw3.704.17-11.3%
Dundee United Win3.604.55-20.9%
BTTS - Yes1.582.22-28.8%

Match Preview

Two of last weekend's surprise results in the Scottish Premiership involved Motherwell and Dundee United, before the two teams meet in midweek at Fir Park on Wednesday night.

Motherwell missed out on the chance to win three successive league meetings with St Mirren for the first time since April 2015, after blowing a two goal lead to go 3-2 down before recovering a point with a late leveller. The Well are unbeaten in nine Scottish Premiership games against the Buddies (D5 L4) since a sole goal defeat in September 2023, and are one of three teams yet to taste defeat in 2026/27 so far.

Dundee United were without a win in seven away Scottish Premiership games (D3 L4), the previously longest ongoing run of any team in the division before their 4-0 thumping of Kilmarnock at Rugby Park on Saturday afternoon. Having alternated between losing (5) and drawing (4) their past 9 visits to Ayrshire since a 4-2 victory in May 2016, United will be full of confidence and belief having ended a decade's wait for a win away to Killie.

Despite Dundee United rediscovering their goalscoring touch last time out, Motherwell were unbeaten in three league meetings against the Terrors last season so will fancy continuing their strong unbeaten recent run against the Tangerines.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Motherwell

Starting 11
-Alex Paulsen
GK6.89
-Emmanuel Longelo
DL7.05
-Martin Moormann
DC6.93
-Jamie Knight-Lebel
DC6.92
-Tom Sparrow
DR6.87
-Lukas Fadinger
DMC6.83
-Joe Hodge
DMC6.05
-Ibrahim Said
AML7.50
-Alex Lowry
AMC6.82
-Regan Charles-Cook
AMR6.74
-Tawanda Maswanhise
FW6.35

Dundee Utd

Starting 11
-Jack Walton
GK6.72
-Will Ferry
DL7.48
-Michael Forbes
DC7.38
-Bert Esselink
DC7.26
-Joshua Rawlins
DR6.55
-Panutche Camará
MC6.70
-Emmanuel Agyei
MC7.37
-Abdoulaye Yoro
MC6.06
-Daniel Bennie
FWL6.43
-Zachary Sapsford
FW6.62
-Mehdi Merghem
FWR6.72
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 3 / 4 matches
MotherwellvsDundee Utd
1.67Goals / Match1.25
1.33Conceded / Match1.75
1Clean Sheets1
4.33Shots on Target / Match4.00
55.0%Possession %55.0%
87.8%Pass Accuracy %79.7%

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

5Goals Scored5
4Goals Conceded7
1Clean Sheets1
9Big Chances12
6Big Chances Missed8
1Penalty Goals1

gps_fixedShooting

42Total Shots67
13Shots on Target16

swap_horizPassing & Possession

55.0%Avg Possession55.0%
1,585Total Passes1,723
87.8%Pass Accuracy79.7%

shieldDefending

47Tackles73
19Interceptions54
10Saves15
53.2%Duels Won51.2%

gavelDiscipline

42Fouls50
7Yellow Cards10
5Offsides7

analyticsOther

11Corners18
36Successful Dribbles31
7.66Avg Rating7.34

Statistical Comparison

MotherwellMetricDundee Utd
5
Goals
5
2
Assists
4
6.6
Average Ratings
6.7
24.1
Average Age
24.2
179.2
Average Height (cm)
182.7
1.6
Shots pg
1.3
65%
Aerial Duel Success
51%
1.4
Dribbles pg
0.8
1.5
Tackles pg
1.4

history Recent Form

MotherwellMotherwell
1.5 GPG
D
D
W
Dundee UtdDundee Utd
1.3 GPG
W
L
L
D

group Head to Head

PL28 Feb 2026
Motherwell
2-0
Dundee United
PL13 Dec 2025
Dundee United
0-0
Motherwell
PL29 Oct 2025
Motherwell
2-0
Dundee United
PL22 Feb 2025
Dundee United
1-0
Motherwell
PL14 Dec 2024
Motherwell
4-3
Dundee United
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
65%
22 / 34 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
17 / 34 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
9 / 34 matches
Both Teams to Score
47%
16 / 34 matches
Motherwell CS
26%
Clean Sheets
Dundee Utd CS
32%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

28 Feb 2026
Motherwell
2 - 0
Dundee United
13 Dec 2025
Dundee United
0 - 0
Motherwell
29 Oct 2025
Motherwell
2 - 0
Dundee United
22 Feb 2025
Dundee United
1 - 0
Motherwell
14 Dec 2024
Motherwell
4 - 3
Dundee United
30 Oct 2024
Dundee United
1 - 2
Motherwell
20 Sept 2024
Motherwell
2 - 1
Dundee United
11 Jul 2023
Dundee United
0 - 1
Motherwell
28 May 2023
Motherwell
3 - 2
Dundee United
15 Apr 2023
Motherwell
1 - 2
Dundee United
29 Oct 2022
Dundee United
0 - 1
Motherwell
3 Sept 2022
Motherwell
0 - 0
Dundee United

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Motherwell
1.50
Form (Overall)
Dundee Utd
1.30

Motherwell is +15% better in terms of Points Per Game

St. Mirren
3 - 3
Motherwell
Motherwell
0 - 0
Falkirk
Hibernian
1 - 2
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
0 - 4
Dundee United
Dundee United
0 - 2
Dundee
Hearts
4 - 0
Dundee United
Dundee United
1 - 1
Rangers

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Motherwell vs Dundee Utd Prediction & Tips | Premiership | FootballTips.app